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Realities of Forex Investment
mnandii
#3221 Posted : Tuesday, July 21, 2015 5:20:20 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304


AUDUSD. Moving up as expected.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3222 Posted : Tuesday, July 21, 2015 7:02:34 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
mnandii wrote:
SELL GOLD!


I like this! smile

Chart and implication similar to mine.

Elliott Wave International on GOLD
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3223 Posted : Tuesday, July 21, 2015 7:37:16 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304



Tomorrow looks to provide a nice opportunity to short USDJPY for about 160 pips and with a SL at 124.47

All the best.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
Ceinz
#3224 Posted : Tuesday, July 21, 2015 8:36:46 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
mnandii wrote:



Tomorrow looks to provide a nice opportunity to short USDJPY for about 160 pips and with a SL at 124.47

All the best.


I wouldn't recommend this trade, USD is still strong.
“small step for man”
Cde Monomotapa
#3225 Posted : Wednesday, July 22, 2015 11:54:05 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Some say Disinflation, mixed results

Why the commodities crush is very good for stocks

http://www.cnbc.com/2015...ry-good-for-stocks.html


Cde Monomotapa wrote:
For the gold, silver & PGM bears with charts.

Did A Major Gold And Silver Breakdown Just Begin? http://www.forbes.com/si...r-breakdown-just-begin/

The world is really turning into a consumer paradise or is it Deflation? Where in exchange of a stronger USD, producers will be out? Last man standing duel ensues..

Yup, this world needs a massive infrastructure drive! Developing countries are a open canvas..

hisah
#3226 Posted : Saturday, July 25, 2015 6:33:30 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
mnandii wrote:


AUDUSD is rising. A move to 0.7535 is anticipated.

Have a look at the 20yr chart. Dangerously flirting with breaking below this 20yr trendline. Caution on the bullish side with aussie. If that trendline breaks down, a serious selloff will ensue!
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#3227 Posted : Sunday, July 26, 2015 12:21:22 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
hisah wrote:
kyt wrote:
mnandii wrote:
mnandii wrote:
SELL GOLD!



Gold is doing wonders. smile

@KYT ?

Oil is better shorting since 60.

I can see we're sailing in the same boat.

Post 3161 - http://www.wazua.co.ke/f...amp;m=666911#post666911


More on oil here. I had posted this in the investors lounge thread.

http://www.wazua.co.ke/f...amp;m=675258#post675258


$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#3228 Posted : Friday, July 31, 2015 4:26:12 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Month end action. USD bulls taking it in the chin.

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
mnandii
#3229 Posted : Saturday, August 01, 2015 2:21:39 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
Currencies outlook for next week coming up shortly.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3230 Posted : Saturday, August 01, 2015 2:23:29 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
hisah wrote:
mnandii wrote:


AUDUSD is rising. A move to 0.7535 is anticipated.

Have a look at the 20yr chart. Dangerously flirting with breaking below this 20yr trendline. Caution on the bullish side with aussie. If that trendline breaks down, a serious selloff will ensue!


Had to re-touch wave labels on Aussie Dollar. New outlook coming up.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3231 Posted : Saturday, August 01, 2015 2:38:40 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
$JPY



I expect USDJPY to rise to 125 level then fall strongly. I will go short with my SL at 125.86 expecting a move of 2000 pips to 105.03s or thereabouts.

1 HR chart below:

Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3232 Posted : Saturday, August 01, 2015 2:56:21 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
GBPJPY

I had posted my expectation for this pair to rise strongly for about 3000 pips or more. But first, some corrective movements are expected before the long launch.



Above is GBPJPY 4 HR chart. I expect the pair to rise to 195.13s level (to complete the labelled green wave 'b') before falling dramatically to about 189.68 or 188.57 as shown by the blue lines.




1 HR Chart.



30 Min Chart. A small fall to 192.80 or 192.38 before the rise to 195.13s level.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3233 Posted : Saturday, August 01, 2015 2:59:36 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
As always, you right click on image > Open Image in New Tab to see clearer.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3234 Posted : Saturday, August 01, 2015 3:11:20 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
EURGBP



This pair is falling to complete the orange bracket Wave C of a zigzag. I expect blue wave 5 to complete at 0.6753 or 0.6579 (which would be too much of a stretch really). My preferred target is 0.6753s. After that expect a strong move up targeting 0.7469 (the terminus of blue wave 4).

Blue wave 5 is an ending diagonal as shown below:



EURGBP Daily Chart.



EURGBP 4 HR Chart.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3235 Posted : Saturday, August 01, 2015 3:22:40 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
AUDUSD: Falling impulsively to complete the bracketed C wave of a flat.



AUDUSD 4 HR Time Frame below:



AUDUSD 1 HR TF below:



I expect AUDUSD to rise to 0.7490s before falling strongly to complete wave 'v'. I intend to short the pair at the 0.7490s level in order to ride more than 300 pips down.



Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3236 Posted : Saturday, August 01, 2015 3:33:40 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
GBPUSD:

Daily Chart:


I expect the pair to complete a triangle wave B before rising strongly for about 600 pips in wave C of (2). Targets for wave (2) are the horizontal blue lines.

Short term, though, I expect the pair to rise to about 1.5800s level to complete wave [d] of the triangle, then fall to 1.5380s completing wave [e] before the strong upward thrust from triangle.

I'll try to post videos in the new week to explain the nuances.

Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3237 Posted : Saturday, August 01, 2015 3:36:35 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
Will post on EURUSD once there is better clarity in the wave counts.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3238 Posted : Saturday, August 01, 2015 3:38:15 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
I believe the USDJPY pair will be an interesting one. Try not to miss the move down.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#3239 Posted : Saturday, August 01, 2015 3:39:41 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
Gold, as discussed earlier, should continue falling to below $1000.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
hisah
#3240 Posted : Tuesday, August 04, 2015 11:39:09 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
hisah wrote:
An oil ETF I track is suggesting oil price bounce may be done. Sharp turn ahead with targets below March lows. Sit tight.

Most commodo futures I've scoped don't support bulls.

Being bullish commodos this year will be tough business.

June 1st. Hope guys took action on this hint. The plot remains the same.

AU and AG have already tanked. Oil is testing the Jan lows. The fight is on, but just like AU and AG the nosedive is on cue. Bulls will continue getting shredded.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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