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Wa_ithaka
#41 Posted : Monday, March 08, 2010 5:32:33 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 1/7/2010
Posts: 1,279
Location: nbi
See we are back in the trenches again.
The proposed OTC for bonds to work alongside the NSE is a nonsense. Especially at a time when the trend is to move away from trading public financial instruments in the bar. If JSE with more sophisticated financial infrastructure has realised the inherent corruptness of an OTC, why would we be wanting to go there?
My view is that even shares should all be traded in a transparent market i.e. its very easy to create a market for the likes of Transcentury, Telkom et al with lower requirements...
The Governor of Nyeri - 2017
kizee
#42 Posted : Monday, March 08, 2010 5:39:11 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 1/9/2008
Posts: 537
with u all the way on ur point vvs...hey lemme say this...im an FX trader...fx is an OTC market..however i utilize the services of 4 brokers...the reason why is there is some value add in theyr offerin...i thnk we need an OTC fixd income mkt first...brokers cud still broke bonds as long as they r willin to add value and thus justify theyr comissions..the current structur wher u must use a broker to trade is untenabl
VituVingiSana
#43 Posted : Tuesday, March 09, 2010 3:12:02 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,121
Location: Nairobi
@wa-ithaka

You are missing the point (not the first time)... the MAJOR reason the banks want an OTC is coz of the outrageous fees charged by brokers, NSE & CMA...

A pity stock investors dont boycott the bastards for their horrendous charges!

Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
kizee
#44 Posted : Tuesday, March 09, 2010 5:15:02 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 1/9/2008
Posts: 537
the jse actualy bot the SA bond exchange once it realized how lucrative bond trading was there was never an issue of corruption...
Scubidu
#45 Posted : Tuesday, March 09, 2010 7:15:10 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 9/4/2009
Posts: 700
Location: Nairobi
kizee. I don't know how much cma wants to charge the banks for the license, do tell me...so who would comprise the membership of the otc? And do free market principals really apply to banks, particularly when they're backed by a central bank...if we had free banking principles wouldn't banks take on the liquidity risk in the HRT mart and not borrow from CBK overnight windows...

Okay I'm not a bond trader so I may confuse some issues but don't you think short selling will lead to abuse, cos they're no profit caps on bond prices (like in equities)...could they manipulate prices all in the name of making a market? What did you mean, by bond guys adding value?

@vvs. so what I'm understanding is that brokers/nse/cma are milking too much from banks...it sounds like they've been making billions...if the commissions structure is the issue why not just amend them. Who are the beneficiaries of the primary bond market? Now banks want control of the secondary market as well.
“We are the middle children of history man, no purpose or place. We have no great war, no great depression. Our great war is a spiritual war, our great depression is our lives!" – Tyler Durden
Wa_ithaka
#46 Posted : Tuesday, March 09, 2010 7:32:12 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 1/7/2010
Posts: 1,279
Location: nbi
One of thangs I thank God for is that today, information is freely avaliable. It has helped those who can curb the natural tendency to spout BS.
Vvs/Kizee, please read the JSE article on changing from a bond OTC here.
In a word, the JSE knows that an OTC is a cartel at best and promotes nothing but the income of the participants. Notice who are the players making noise about OTC being removed. That will be StnaChart et al in afew yrs when its recognised that an OTC in publicly traded financial instruments goes against the tenets of free market. Not to mention the promotion of stable financial system

If an investor can't make more than 4% to break even after broker commissions and CMA fees, then you in the wrong game. Go lend at 20%...
The Governor of Nyeri - 2017
VituVingiSana
#47 Posted : Tuesday, March 09, 2010 7:43:41 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,121
Location: Nairobi
@wa - huh?
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
kizee
#48 Posted : Tuesday, March 09, 2010 8:00:25 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 1/9/2008
Posts: 537
where is the article wa-ithaka? i was in a sub comittee that went to the jse last yr and what i said was a verbatim account of what a JSE officer told me...htf is an otc a cartel? an otc mkt in its purist form has soo many disparate players that whatever you are describing...and then u go on and say that an otc mkt goes against the tenets of a free mkt? how? why shud an investor pay 4%comission to a broker who isnt adding value to his/her trading process? waht do brokers do to earn this comission? what extra liquidity has any kenyan bond broker added to this market??? dude get serious...
Wa_ithaka
#49 Posted : Tuesday, March 09, 2010 8:46:26 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 1/7/2010
Posts: 1,279
Location: nbi
Try clicking on the here bit of the post.
If charges are the issue, why not deal with that?
The Governor of Nyeri - 2017
kizee
#50 Posted : Tuesday, March 09, 2010 9:11:34 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 1/9/2008
Posts: 537
the issue here was one of transparency and NOT ethics! please note that the current fixd income market here in kenya, which is EXCHANGE TRADED has the same issue! SO MUCH FOR YOUR ARGUMENTS......chalk and cheese my man...the propsed OTC mkt will be traded on a platform which will create transparency...bids offers will be clearly displayed...trades will also be reported on various platforms such as reuters and bloomberg...the nse and brokers will also have acess to this info if theyr willing to invest in these info platforms...
Kausha
#51 Posted : Tuesday, March 09, 2010 10:11:21 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 2/8/2007
Posts: 808
I found this post fraught with key inaccuracies. Commissions charged on bond trades on the NSE is 0.04% much lower than the 0.15% CBK pays for primary issues to brokers for deals submitted and obviously much lower than the 1.5% paid for equity trades. I am on the buyside of the market and i can tell you one way of destroying the bond market is to allow an OTC or allow banks to trade on their books outside the market. I have traded on the Jozi bond exchange as well.

The next big question our lazy regulator-CMA and NSE respectively haven't figured out is what stops fund managers and insurance companies to ask for the same licences or to be part of the OTC opportunity once banks are allowed to have their way what happens to the rest of the market, ignore the bloomerg /reuters kafuffle! the market goes beyond those with these terminals. Banks argue that they have most of the fixed income instruments but that's not entire correct from a trade / NSE perspective. Remove the untradeable T-bills and its actually fund managers and insurance companies who should be presenting this case. Further to that, the bonds we should address besides the untradeable T-bills are the trading books of banks (bonds held for trading) because that's what they come to the market with, the rest is buy for keeps and has nothing to do with brokers or the NSE. Now the largest bond trading book of all these banks is KCB's at 4B. Stanchart has 3B BBK somewhere around there. Some small banks with less than a billion are making most noise. On the other hand, FM's entire bond books are all available to the market. So why are banks making noise that they need to be given permission to trade under the darkness(OTC)...its simply because most or all of them dont know how to trade bonds, they keep churning portofolios without a proper trading strategy. They do orodha which is make a margin at all costs..Now that used to work when they could organize the deals outside the market (which was OTC by all definitions of the practical world except the writings on the white board at Nation center)and make reasonable margins. The trading dealers would call around the market and fix a deal between themselves and then call the broker(s) to go write the deal on the board. The brokers would agree on the time they were heading there to write the trade on the white board, on their way there they had enough time to meet at the stanley for a smoke / coffee before proceeding to Nation center to write the trade on the board. The dealers fixed the trades shafted their employers at will, got huge bonuses etc.

Enter ATS, you can nolonger fix anything as blatantly, margins have been squeezed some what, the employer is putting pressure on you to reproduce yester years genius numbers. What do you do, you blame the establishment argue brokers don't add value and go after that brokers margin while all along the big reason for the hue and cry is permission to fix trades. Ask yourselves, fund managers have lots of analysts in their establishments but still use brokers who clearly don't add much value to their decision making process or trading anyway but you will never hear queries from them about brokers or wanting to go OTC because they respect the need for a structured market with specialist roles. How is it that these bank dealers majority of whom are ill equipped to trade bonds lack analysts in their dealing teams have figured out brokers don't add value 10+ years after starting to trade yet they in the real sense of the world don't know what they are doing most of the time. I don't mean to be arrogant but take a dealer from any of nairobi's banks and take him to trade in a slightly advanced market and see whether they will make even a quarter of the gains they make and also do the same with fund managers for comparison...it's simple the game was easy for them pre ATS when they could fix trades. ATS is slowly exposing them and now they want to take us backwards and continue fixing trades, their poor employers have no clue they are being strung along. I am alarmed Peter Mwangi actually is entertaining this nonsense....if banks don't want to trade bonds they can go to hell with their trading books anyway. Imagine if we all asked to trade with ourselves in the financial services sector, would there be any intermediaries such as banks. I am jsut wondering, what if a dealer did a Jerome Carvell move, what would happen to the counter party. Our Bank dealers are being very lazy, if your broker doesn't add value, go to the one who does or make your broker work for the money and leave the structure alone. FM's make equity dealers work for the money...they do their equity and fixed income research but give more trades to the brokers who comes with the best research and trade ideas.....Bank dealers are only interested in their jobs and their pay not the market's lon gterm interests. Isn't it funny they are making most noise after automation of bond trading which has more trading volumes yet they were less spirited before when volumes were lower.....they simply can't make the spreads they were making even with large trade volumes
kizee
#52 Posted : Tuesday, March 09, 2010 10:33:29 AM
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Joined: 1/9/2008
Posts: 537
so how does OTC exclude players other than banks from trading bonds?that seems to be ur mine gripe...kindly explain
kizee
#53 Posted : Tuesday, March 09, 2010 10:35:29 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 1/9/2008
Posts: 537
so how does OTC exclude players other than banks from trading bonds?that seems to be ur main gripe...kindly explain
Kausha
#54 Posted : Tuesday, March 09, 2010 10:38:40 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 2/8/2007
Posts: 808
Kizee are you a banker?
OTC will be a cartell of bankers, FM's and insurers. What happens to other people who want to trade bonds when most of the buy side is busy trading on safaricom and telkom platforms.....if you are in the bond trading world you know what happens in the primary auction...its all ochestrated to the detriment of mwananchi or the non cartel members. The only way to level the field is to put everything on the soko and let us all discover the price not OTC which fixes the price.....
kizee
#55 Posted : Tuesday, March 09, 2010 10:41:19 AM
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Joined: 1/9/2008
Posts: 537
what happens? they get acess to tighter liquidity and more transparent prices...it doesnt preclude a well capitalized broker and fund managers from participatin really...kenya is yet to license primary dealers FYI
VituVingiSana
#56 Posted : Tuesday, March 09, 2010 10:47:09 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,121
Location: Nairobi
@kausha - Do you work for a stockbroker?

0.04% (just as 1.5% for equities) is way too high for bonds since the trades are on the NOMINAL amount. And it is on both trades thus = 0.08%

@Kausha is the 0.04% all inclusive (CMA, NSE, etc???)...?


A bond for 1mn (few trades wud be below this amount) pays 800/- (plus settlement costs e.g. RTGS). For active (& vibrant) trading this has to be lower.

Also the 'returns' on bonds are (supposedly) lower & there is a larger impact of commissions.

The next step should be for the banks to trade equities!!! The current commissions are way too high!
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
kizee
#57 Posted : Tuesday, March 09, 2010 11:00:10 AM
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Joined: 1/9/2008
Posts: 537
vvs..ur very rite...imagine tradin a bond at zero comiss...thats what otc can accomplish
Kausha
#58 Posted : Tuesday, March 09, 2010 11:05:10 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 2/8/2007
Posts: 808
C'mon mate, cartels call each other for the rates to enter into the auction with and 90% of the time they get their way...poor mwananchi who doesn't know a cartel member, they get the wrong end of the stick.

When you say well capitalized, you forget capitalization has nothing to do transparency, worst still, most of the money banks trade with is short money and belongs to customers and is not capital nor can it be supported by capital shilling for shilling. Transparency is when the entire market has equal chance at a price in a univerally accessible central platform. Tell me how wanjiku will access OTC, other than by bank B telling her to panga laini and fill in her application at the banking hall for the bank to decide for her (read new banking product with more charges). You also forget the market is not for trading bonds only it's for raising capital mostly and you need every owner of capital to have an equal chance in everything for markets to develop, not spoilt bank dealers to have their way.
VituVingiSana
#59 Posted : Tuesday, March 09, 2010 11:05:59 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,121
Location: Nairobi
kizee wrote:
vvs..ur very rite...imagine tradin a bond at zero comiss...thats what otc can accomplish

There can be no zero commission but it can be very low... making them more 'tradeable'...

What the brokers & CMA do not understand is that a liquid bond market can create the basis for OTHER tradeable instruments like interest rate options, etc... aka derivatives...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Kausha
#60 Posted : Tuesday, March 09, 2010 11:19:09 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 2/8/2007
Posts: 808
@VVS Commission is commission, what's your nominal value argument, the 0.04% is on the transaction value. I also dont work for a broker, "whats the definition of buyside"

@kizee - c'mon boss, if you know what you are doing, 0.04% is measly and not worth the breathe. so in pursuit of zero commissions we dislocate the market via OTC. If you can't make more than 1.5% gain in a bond trade, chances are that you are not doing meaningful bond trading but are engaged in portfolio churning/rebalancing. This is not forex trading where any margin goes.

Banks can do equity trading if they so wish, KCB has a chunk of Mumias sugar on its BS.
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