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How to tell NSE has topped/Maxed out.
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enyands
#181 Posted : Wednesday, July 22, 2015 8:28:33 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/25/2014
Posts: 2,300
Location: kenya
Othelo wrote:
Targets KCB<48, Mpesa<13 & Coop <18


Noted Sana Sana simba na green monster
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hisah
#182 Posted : Wednesday, July 22, 2015 10:39:09 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Mukiri wrote:
@hisah, whats your take on OTC market? SIC, Unitas etc seem almost unaffected?

OTC markets are rarely influenced by bullish and bearish cycles in the main markets.

For SIC or Unaitas someone else can explain since I don't follow their discussions in the forum. The UAP OTC was the only one that I was following. Though I offloaded after Centum announced its sell out to Old Mutual. I have info on Old Mutual in KE so I dropped this investment.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Othelo
#183 Posted : Wednesday, July 22, 2015 1:13:33 PM
Rank: User


Joined: 1/20/2014
Posts: 3,528
Today NSE index will go sub 4600. Now that 4400 looks a reality.... didnot think we will be heading there with all the economic activities and enticement of investors going on!!!
Formal education will make you a living. Self-education will make you a fortune - Jim Rohn.
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littledove
#184 Posted : Wednesday, July 22, 2015 1:34:50 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 7/1/2014
Posts: 903
Location: sky
Othelo wrote:
Today NSE index will go sub 4600. Now that 4400 looks a reality.... didnot think we will be heading there with all the economic activities and enticement of investors going on!!!

True, as at 1pm 30 loosers(reds) vs 6 winners (greens)
NSE 20 share index closed at 4578.62
There are only two emotions in the stock market, fear and hope. The problem is, you hope when you should fear and fear when you should hope
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mlennyma
#185 Posted : Wednesday, July 22, 2015 2:02:16 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,183
Location: nairobi
Blood pressure will keep on rising ,stocks with many wanjikus are worst hit by bears
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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murchr
#186 Posted : Wednesday, July 22, 2015 2:36:02 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
littledove wrote:
Othelo wrote:
Today NSE index will go sub 4600. Now that 4400 looks a reality.... didnot think we will be heading there with all the economic activities and enticement of investors going on!!!

True, as at 1pm 30 loosers(reds) vs 6 winners (greens)


Of the 30 how many make up the NSE20?
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
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littledove
#187 Posted : Wednesday, July 22, 2015 3:03:06 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 7/1/2014
Posts: 903
Location: sky
murchr wrote:
littledove wrote:
Othelo wrote:
Today NSE index will go sub 4600. Now that 4400 looks a reality.... didnot think we will be heading there with all the economic activities and enticement of investors going on!!!

True, as at 1pm 30 loosers(reds) vs 6 winners (greens)


Of the 30 how many make up the NSE20?

9 with 7 neutral and 4 green
There are only two emotions in the stock market, fear and hope. The problem is, you hope when you should fear and fear when you should hope
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heri
#188 Posted : Wednesday, July 22, 2015 4:37:16 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/14/2011
Posts: 834
Location: nairobi
I have nobody to blame but my greed . How could i not have sold CFC at 140. most of my gains have been wiped out

i thought the double digits profit growths would last longer
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sparkly
#189 Posted : Wednesday, July 22, 2015 8:34:07 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
heri wrote:
I have nobody to blame but my greed . How could i not have sold CFC at 140. most of my gains have been wiped out

i thought the double digits profit growths would last longer

What was your purchase price?
Life is short. Live passionately.
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littledove
#190 Posted : Wednesday, July 22, 2015 8:45:58 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 7/1/2014
Posts: 903
Location: sky

NSE 20 share index closed at 4578.62 today
There are only two emotions in the stock market, fear and hope. The problem is, you hope when you should fear and fear when you should hope
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Othelo
#191 Posted : Thursday, July 23, 2015 9:46:43 AM
Rank: User


Joined: 1/20/2014
Posts: 3,528
Coop finally gives in to the bear pressure
Formal education will make you a living. Self-education will make you a fortune - Jim Rohn.
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heri
#192 Posted : Thursday, July 23, 2015 10:34:37 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/14/2011
Posts: 834
Location: nairobi
sparkly wrote:
heri wrote:
I have nobody to blame but my greed . How could i not have sold CFC at 140. most of my gains have been wiped out

i thought the double digits profit growths would last longer

What was your purchase price?


I bought at 66 two years ago
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maka
#193 Posted : Thursday, July 23, 2015 10:37:15 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
Othelo wrote:
Coop finally gives in to the bear pressure


Look at Equity....
possunt quia posse videntur
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MaichBlack
#194 Posted : Thursday, July 23, 2015 10:58:36 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/22/2009
Posts: 7,460
maka wrote:
Othelo wrote:
Coop finally gives in to the bear pressure


Look at Equity....

What just happened??? Eish!!! 41/=!
Never count on making a good sale. Have the purchase price be so attractive that even a mediocre sale gives good returns.
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sizzla
#195 Posted : Thursday, July 23, 2015 11:02:03 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 6/10/2006
Posts: 201
Location: Nairobi
Am aiming to pick up a few counters next week...averaging down.
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maka
#196 Posted : Thursday, July 23, 2015 11:12:02 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
MaichBlack wrote:
maka wrote:
Othelo wrote:
Coop finally gives in to the bear pressure


Look at Equity....

What just happened??? Eish!!! 41/=!


BBK @ 14...smile
possunt quia posse videntur
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shiznit
#197 Posted : Thursday, July 23, 2015 11:43:11 AM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 5/21/2013
Posts: 72
Location: KENYA
mkonomtupu wrote:
I don't think the NSE has maxed out until we see the index above 7,000 which might happen, a lot of cash is moving from real estate to the nse. The key thing is to manage the down turn i.e. stop loss orders if the prices fall more than 15% sell. In my view the music will stop abruptly in the next two years via macro-economic instability(current account deficit) and external shocks(china). Till then it's a casino the secret to surviving is knowing what to throw away and knowing what to keep


WeeeellShame on you
“The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.” - John Maynard Keynes
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lochaz-index
#198 Posted : Thursday, July 23, 2015 12:08:44 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
lochaz-index wrote:
Last week the big four(safaricom, kcb, equity and eabl) all did some sizeable volume on the back of the highest weekly foreign outflows in 2015.

The bottoms up moment (4400) for the NSE is not that far out. We just ain't dodging a bear run into 2016 .


Looks like the show just begun. Of all the banks only coop was doing a PER >10 and its quickly being put in its place. Bbk despite having an impressive dividend yield is being beaten to a pulp.

When the time comes and safcom breaches the 5% dividend yield..... Buckle up fellow investors.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
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mkonomtupu
#199 Posted : Thursday, July 23, 2015 1:01:42 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/10/2010
Posts: 1,001
Location: River Road
shiznit wrote:
mkonomtupu wrote:
I don't think the NSE has maxed out until we see the index above 7,000 which might happen, a lot of cash is moving from real estate to the nse. The key thing is to manage the down turn i.e. stop loss orders if the prices fall more than 15% sell. In my view the music will stop abruptly in the next two years via macro-economic instability(current account deficit) and external shocks(china). Till then it's a casino the secret to surviving is knowing what to throw away and knowing what to keep


WeeeellShame on you


Can you imagine my disappointment when wave 5 went flatSad Sad instead of pointing north. Anyway not to worry Wave C is always fast and furious breaking all stop loss orders but it comes to an end and we complete the 5-3-5 zizgag. But once done we shall resume the upward ascendancy and hope a double zigzag does not appear.

Sadly I'm heading for retirement from wazua so step up and take the wheels
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mulla
#200 Posted : Thursday, July 23, 2015 2:36:18 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 6/15/2013
Posts: 301
heri wrote:
sparkly wrote:
heri wrote:
I have nobody to blame but my greed . How could i not have sold CFC at 140. most of my gains have been wiped out

i thought the double digits profit growths would last longer

What was your purchase price?


I bought at 66 two years ago

Pole sana bro....its a learning experience...You have got to be disciplined enough when making a sale too...once you reach your target start preparing yourself for exit and fight emotions of greed. At over 100% capital gain that counter should have been long sold.
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