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karanjakinuthia
#221 Posted : Tuesday, March 02, 2010 4:11:10 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 11/13/2006
Posts: 551
Location: Nairobi
Do as he does, not as he says.

"Gold is rallying — but is it all because of one man’s lack of faith in the euro?

As Bloomberg reported on Monday:

George Soros is helping drive up gold prices by doubling his bet in a market even he considers a “bubble” as Goldman Sachs Group Inc., Barclays Capital and HSBC Holdings Plc predict more gains before it bursts..."

Read more:

http://ftalphaville.ft.c...and-the-bullion-bubble/


Cast your eyes to the gold charts in Euro and Pound, both at historic highs as investors seek a port of safety:

http://jsmineset.com/wp-...uropean-Gold-2-2010.pdf

karanjakinuthia
#222 Posted : Tuesday, March 02, 2010 4:29:27 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 11/13/2006
Posts: 551
Location: Nairobi
@Scubidu. Kenya has coffee, sugar and cotton which are having their days in the sun. The wealth generated in agriculture is pervasive. Ugandans have to cross their fingers that politicians do not dip their fingers into the crude oil well.

China was beaten to the tape by India who purchased 200 tonnes the last time prices were around $1080 per ounce. I cannot comment on rumours but I will say, weighing the economic news emanating from the West versus those from the East, the latter are on the yellow brick road to the zenith of global economic dominance.

He who has the gold, makes the rules.



karanjakinuthia
#223 Posted : Wednesday, March 03, 2010 5:23:20 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 11/13/2006
Posts: 551
Location: Nairobi
Were I the Tanzanian central bank, I would convert 30% of the $3.55 billion in forex reserves into gold. I would buy during the seasonally weak periods that gold experiences price dips. I would only sell into strength at the peak in 2015.

Were I an aggressive Tanzanian central bank, I would convert 60% of the $3.55 billion into gold.

"Tanzania’s earnings from gold exports rose by 15.4 percent in 2009 on the back of higher world prices and increase in output, the east African country’s central bank said in a report on Monday.

In a monthly report, central Bank of Tanzania (BoT) also said tourism earnings, the country’s biggest foreign exchange earner, dropped to $1.26 billion in 2009 from $1.28 billion in the previous year, partly due to the global crisis.

Gold exports earned Tanzania $1.076 billion in 2009, up from $932.4 million the previous year....."

Read more:

http://www.businessdaily...2/-/6cfoju/-/index.html

karanjakinuthia
#224 Posted : Thursday, March 04, 2010 7:03:31 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 11/13/2006
Posts: 551
Location: Nairobi
Tips for new investors from the world's wealthiest investor, Warren Buffett:

1. Stay liquid
2. Buy when everyone is selling
3. Don't buy when everyone is buying
4. Value, value, value
5. Understand what you own
6. Defence beats offence

Read more:

http://articles.moneycen...-for-new-investors.aspx

gathinga
#225 Posted : Thursday, March 04, 2010 2:52:25 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/30/2006
Posts: 635
karanjakinuthia wrote:
Tips for new investors from the world's wealthiest investor, Warren Buffett:

1. Stay liquid
2. Buy when everyone is selling
3. Don't buy when everyone is buying
4. Value, value, value
5. Understand what you own
6. Defence beats offence

Read more:

http://articles.moneycen...-for-new-investors.aspx



useful!..... whats stocks would you clasify as defensive at NSE/
karanjakinuthia
#226 Posted : Thursday, March 04, 2010 3:07:18 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 11/13/2006
Posts: 551
Location: Nairobi
@ Gathinga. Methinks Buffett was trying to point out that you should not attempt to always outperform the market. Aggressive trading or speculation more often than not results in sub-par returns.

Utilise market sentiment to your advantage. Buy when general sentiment categorises stocks as the "worst investment of all time". Sell when investors are uncorking wine bottles in celebration to the "greatest market of all time".

karanjakinuthia
#227 Posted : Thursday, March 04, 2010 3:09:16 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 11/13/2006
Posts: 551
Location: Nairobi
An Easily Understandable Explanation of the OTC Derivatives Markets

Heidi is the proprietor of a bar in Detroit. She realizes that virtually all of her customers are unemployed alcoholics and, as such, can no longer afford to patronize her bar. To solve this problem, she comes up with new marketing plan that allows her customers to drink now, but pay later.

She keeps track of the drinks consumed on a ledger (thereby granting the customers loans).

Word gets around about Heidi’s "drink now, pay later" marketing strategy and, as a result, increasing numbers of customers flood into Heidi’s bar. Soon she has the largest sales volume for any bar in Detroit.

By providing her customers’ freedom from immediate payment demands, Heidi gets no resistance when, at regular intervals, she substantially increases her prices for wine and beer, the most consumed beverages. Consequently, Heidi’s gross sales volume increases massively.

A young and dynamic vice-president at the local bank recognizes that these customer debts constitute valuable future assets and increases Heidi’s borrowing limit. He sees no reason for any undue concern, since he has the debts of the unemployed alcoholics as collateral.

At the bank’s corporate headquarters, expert traders transform these customer loans into DRINKBONDS, ALKIBONDS and PUKEBONDS. These securities are then bundled and traded on international security markets. Naive investors don’t really understand that the securities being sold to them as AAA secured bonds are really the debts of unemployed alcoholics.

Nevertheless, the bond prices continuously climb, and the securities soon become the hottest-selling items for some of the nation’s leading brokerage houses.

One day, even though the bond prices are still climbing, a risk manager at the original local bank decides that the time has come to demand payment on the debts incurred by the drinkers at Heidi’s bar. He so informs Heidi.

Heidi then demands payment from her alcoholic patrons, but being unemployed alcoholics they cannot pay back their drinking debts. Since, Heidi cannot fulfill her loan obligations she is forced into bankruptcy. The bar closes and the eleven employees lose their jobs.

Overnight, DRINKBONDS, ALKIBONDS and PUKEBONDS drop in price by 90%. The collapsed bond asset value destroys the banks liquidity and prevents it from issuing new loans, thus freezing credit and economic activity in the community.

The suppliers of Heidi’s bar had granted her generous payment extensions and had invested their firms’ pension funds in the various BOND securities. They find they are now faced with having to write off her bad debt and with losing over 90% of the presumed value of the bonds. Her wine supplier also claims bankruptcy, closing the doors on a family business that had endured for three generations, her beer supplier is taken over by a competitor, who immediately closes the local plant and lays off 150 workers.

Fortunately though, the bank, the brokerage houses and their respective executives are saved and bailed out by a multi-billion dollar no-strings attached cash infusion from the Government. The funds required for this bailout are obtained by new taxes levied on employed, middle-class, non-drinkers.

Now, do you understand?

Y
#228 Posted : Thursday, March 04, 2010 6:45:53 PM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 1/8/2010
Posts: 7
Location: Kenya
Well stated!
karanjakinuthia
#229 Posted : Friday, March 05, 2010 6:10:19 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 11/13/2006
Posts: 551
Location: Nairobi
The free market can scuttle the best laid plans of man and his government. The world is in the midst of a global commodity bull market which will entice politicians to step in and seek to control prices. Such attempts, without knowledge of the underlying fundamentals, only serves to distort markets and spawn black markets.

Quotas are useless in a deficit situation that seeks to fill in the gap with a commodity whose price is surging. Open the floodgates and stockpile while prices are low.

"Local millers will be banking on a sustained global sugar deficit to cushion them from a fresh onslaught of competition after the country ushers in a new window of larger duty-free imports from the Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (Comesa).

Based on a deal between Kenya and the Comesa secretariat in December 2007, Kenya is scheduled to allow some 300,000tonnes of duty-free sugar into the domestic market between now and March 1, 2011 with any consignments outside the quota attracting a 40 per cent duty charge.

This marks a significant shift from last year when the country was scheduled to allow into her market some 260,000 tonnes with any shipments outside the ceiling being slapped with a 70 per cent charge.

Luckily for local companies, importers licensed to bring in the commodity last year only managed to secure supplies estimated at just 25 per cent of the targeted volume as producers diverted consignments to the better paying global markets...."

Read more:

http://www.businessdaily.../-/t2sc3ez/-/index.html

karanjakinuthia
#230 Posted : Saturday, March 06, 2010 5:12:22 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 11/13/2006
Posts: 551
Location: Nairobi
To the multi-millionaires amongst us, an opportunity in a crisis:

"Josef Schlarmann, a senior member of Merkel’s Christian Democrats, and Frank Schaeffler, a finance policy expert in the Free Democrats, were quoted on Thursday as saying that selling islands and other assets could help Greece out of its crisis.

“Those in insolvency have to sell everything they have to pay their creditors,” Schlarmann told Bild newspaper. “Greece owns buildings, companies and uninhabited islands, which could all be used for debt redemption.......

...Greek islands are the ultimate status symbol, evoking images of sunglass sporting shipping magnates sipping champagne on the deck of enormous yachts.

In reality, Greek islands are relatively affordable, costing as little as two million dollars – less than a ski chalet in Aspen or a walk up on the Upper East side.

The hot dry summers in Greece are perfect for lazing around your island, sipping Ouzo and skinny-dipping in the Mediterranean. Some private islands in Greece are available on a freehold basis. If you require tourist amenities while visiting your private island, winter is pretty quiet in Greece as most of the tourist infrastructure goes into hibernation.”

Read more:

http://ftalphaville.ft.c...-a-ski-chalet-in-aspen/


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