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The Cycle of Stock Market Emotions
bengraham
#1 Posted : Tuesday, June 02, 2015 1:32:31 PM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 5/19/2015
Posts: 15
Based on the reduced number of posts being experienced here on Wazua, it may be that the emotions of wazuans who have their money in the stock market have started on the slippery path of fear headed to despondency via desperation and panic. And there is no shortage of panic peddlers in these parts. So allow me to be the bright spot on a cloudy day by telling those who are fearful that all this is nothing new in the world of stock investing. It is a cycle that is as old as the hills. And the best part is that at the bottom of that valley lies the point of maximum opportunity. So how about this for a chart that every wazuan can understand. The other charts zina wenyewe!

Invest at the point of maximum pessimism.
agile
#2 Posted : Wednesday, June 03, 2015 10:17:17 AM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 1/9/2015
Posts: 19
Location: NAIROBI
bengraham wrote:
Based on the reduced number of posts being experienced here on Wazua, it may be that the emotions of wazuans who have their money in the stock market have started on the slippery path of fear headed to despondency via desperation and panic. And there is no shortage of panic peddlers in these parts. So allow me to be the bright spot on a cloudy day by telling those who are fearful that all this is nothing new in the world of stock investing. It is a cycle that is as old as the hills. And the best part is that at the bottom of that valley lies the point of maximum opportunity. So how about this for a chart that every wazuan can understand. The other charts zina wenyewe!


Be fearful when others are euphoric and euphoric when others are fearful.......old Buffet ADAGE
mkonomtupu
#3 Posted : Wednesday, June 03, 2015 10:46:29 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/10/2010
Posts: 1,001
Location: River Road
@bengraham, let me join the panic peddlers. The global bond markets are starting the bubble burst. The bond yields have been going up in the month of May so the bond prices are going south.

"The question is what happens to the rest of the financial system if there's a huge correction in the bond market when the Federal Reserve finally raises rates, especially given concerns about liquidity in fixed income." Pray Pray Pray
bengraham
#4 Posted : Wednesday, June 03, 2015 7:36:53 PM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 5/19/2015
Posts: 15
@mkonomtupu. I hear you. However, lets look at stock investing for the ordinary wazuan who has neither the inclination nor the ability to keep track of global bond prices, quantitative easing and other such manenos. When they read the posts on wazua on imepnding bears and the like, they wonder what they should be doing to avoid losing money. Hence the anxiety and despondency. What should they sell? When? When should the board again? So my post was to assure such investors that they dont need to do anything as the market is just doing what it has done for ages, go up and down. For the wazuans who are comfortable trading in and out based on their technical analysis, then of course this doesnt apply to you.

Quoting Warren Buffet "In the 20th century, the United States endured two world wars and other traumatic and expensive military conflicts; the Depression; a dozen or so recessions and financial panics; oil shocks; a flu epidemic; and the resignation of a disgraced president. Yet the Dow rose from 66 to 11,497."

Even the US market recovered from the 2008 rock bottom crash. So whats a little bear for a long term investor wazuan?


Invest at the point of maximum pessimism.
Aguytrying
#5 Posted : Wednesday, June 03, 2015 7:54:53 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
bengraham wrote:
@mkonomtupu. I hear you. However, lets look at stock investing for the ordinary wazuan who has neither the inclination nor the ability to keep track of global bond prices, quantitative easing and other such manenos. When they read the posts on wazua on imepnding bears and the like, they wonder what they should be doing to avoid losing money. Hence the anxiety and despondency. What should they sell? When? When should the board again? So my post was to assure such investors that they dont need to do anything as the market is just doing what it has done for ages, go up and down. For the wazuans who are comfortable trading in and out based on their technical analysis, then of course this doesnt apply to you.

Quoting Warren Buffet "In the 20th century, the United States endured two world wars and other traumatic and expensive military conflicts; the Depression; a dozen or so recessions and financial panics; oil shocks; a flu epidemic; and the resignation of a disgraced president. Yet the Dow rose from 66 to 11,497."

Even the US market recovered from the 2008 rock bottom crash. So whats a little bear for a long term investor wazuan?




Amen. preach!
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
enyands
#6 Posted : Wednesday, June 03, 2015 8:00:28 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/25/2014
Posts: 2,301
Location: kenya
bengraham wrote:
@mkonomtupu. I hear you. However, lets look at stock investing for the ordinary wazuan who has neither the inclination nor the ability to keep track of global bond prices, quantitative easing and other such manenos. When they read the posts on wazua on imepnding bears and the like, they wonder what they should be doing to avoid losing money. Hence the anxiety and despondency. What should they sell? When? When should the board again? So my post was to assure such investors that they dont need to do anything as the market is just doing what it has done for ages, go up and down. For the wazuans who are comfortable trading in and out based on their technical analysis, then of course this doesnt apply to you.

Quoting Warren Buffet "In the 20th century, the United States endured two world wars and other traumatic and expensive military conflicts; the Depression; a dozen or so recessions and financial panics; oil shocks; a flu epidemic; and the resignation of a disgraced president. Yet the Dow rose from 66 to 11,497."

Even the US market recovered from the 2008 rock bottom crash. So whats a little bear for a long term investor wazuan?




Now this makes sense .
whiteowl
#7 Posted : Wednesday, June 03, 2015 8:26:22 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 4/16/2014
Posts: 1,420
Location: Bohemian Grove
bengraham wrote:
@mkonomtupu. I hear you. However, lets look at stock investing for the ordinary wazuan who has neither the inclination nor the ability to keep track of global bond prices, quantitative easing and other such manenos. When they read the posts on wazua on imepnding bears and the like, they wonder what they should be doing to avoid losing money. Hence the anxiety and despondency. What should they sell? When? When should the board again? So my post was to assure such investors that they dont need to do anything as the market is just doing what it has done for ages, go up and down. For the wazuans who are comfortable trading in and out based on their technical analysis, then of course this doesnt apply to you.

Quoting Warren Buffet "In the 20th century, the United States endured two world wars and other traumatic and expensive military conflicts; the Depression; a dozen or so recessions and financial panics; oil shocks; a flu epidemic; and the resignation of a disgraced president. Yet the Dow rose from 66 to 11,497."

Even the US market recovered from the 2008 rock bottom crash. So whats a little bear for a long term investor wazuan?



VituVingiSana
#8 Posted : Thursday, June 04, 2015 12:35:11 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,349
Location: Nairobi
bengraham wrote:
@mkonomtupu. I hear you. However, lets look at stock investing for the ordinary wazuan who has neither the inclination nor the ability to keep track of global bond prices, quantitative easing and other such manenos. When they read the posts on wazua on imepnding bears and the like, they wonder what they should be doing to avoid losing money. Hence the anxiety and despondency. What should they sell? When? When should the board again? So my post was to assure such investors that they dont need to do anything as the market is just doing what it has done for ages, go up and down. For the wazuans who are comfortable trading in and out based on their technical analysis, then of course this doesnt apply to you.

Quoting Warren Buffet "In the 20th century, the United States endured two world wars and other traumatic and expensive military conflicts; the Depression; a dozen or so recessions and financial panics; oil shocks; a flu epidemic; and the resignation of a disgraced president. Yet the Dow rose from 66 to 11,497."

Even the US market recovered from the 2008 rock bottom crash. So whats a little bear for a long term investor wazuan?


Applause Applause Applause
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Boris Boyka
#9 Posted : Thursday, June 04, 2015 5:44:58 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/15/2013
Posts: 1,977
Location: Here
@bengraham...Very Many wazuans are just SPECULATORS disguised in the mouth skin of "am a long term investor". Buree kabisa.
Everybody STEALS, a THIEF is one who's CAUGHT stealing something of LITTLE VALUE. !!!
mkonomtupu
#10 Posted : Thursday, June 04, 2015 7:50:09 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/10/2010
Posts: 1,001
Location: River Road
@bengraham, bond yields and stocks is Fundamental Analysis 101. I'm shocked you missed the point by a mile.

Anyway i'm 30 posts away from leaving wazua so please just a little longer
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