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NSE-20share index-7000 points by December 2015.
Paul Owuor
#1 Posted : Thursday, May 07, 2015 8:31:45 AM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 7/3/2011
Posts: 30
Location: Nairobi
Buoyed by the incoming REITs,derivatives and futures.
I used to be a pig but I am now a bull-bear hybrid.
Ericsson
#2 Posted : Thursday, May 07, 2015 8:46:50 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,702
Location: NAIROBI
@paul Owuor
NSE will be at 4500 and below at that time.
Bear run knocking
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Boris Boyka
#3 Posted : Thursday, May 07, 2015 8:51:28 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/15/2013
Posts: 1,977
Location: Here
Ericsson wrote:
@paul Owuor
NSE will be at 4500 and below at that time.
Bear run knocking

Dec 2015????? Okay.....maybe it will smoke Hot stuff the Colombias misdispatched to supermarkets. Or you're the one smoking it.
Everybody STEALS, a THIEF is one who's CAUGHT stealing something of LITTLE VALUE. !!!
Paul Owuor
#4 Posted : Thursday, May 07, 2015 8:53:00 AM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 7/3/2011
Posts: 30
Location: Nairobi
Ericsson wrote:
@paul Owuor
NSE will be at 4500 and below at that time.
Bear run knocking

Don't you think those new products might cause a stir?
Secondly,have a look at the large caps over the past 12months.SCOM,EABL,EQTY,KCB...
I used to be a pig but I am now a bull-bear hybrid.
Paul Owuor
#5 Posted : Thursday, May 07, 2015 8:59:27 AM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 7/3/2011
Posts: 30
Location: Nairobi
Boris Boyka wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
@paul Owuor
NSE will be at 4500 and below at that time.
Bear run knocking

Dec 2015????? Okay.....maybe it will smoke Hot stuff the Colombias misdispatched to supermarkets. Or you're the one smoking it.


It's very possible.The political environment will be stable for the next two years.REITs and derivatives are coming next month.The KES/USD volatility is temporary and will be soon tamed.What could possibly stop people from buying?Explain in detail.
I used to be a pig but I am now a bull-bear hybrid.
Paul Owuor
#6 Posted : Thursday, May 07, 2015 9:12:00 AM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 7/3/2011
Posts: 30
Location: Nairobi
https://live.mystocks.co.ke/stock=%5EN20I The bears are in control alright!
I used to be a pig but I am now a bull-bear hybrid.
Ericsson
#7 Posted : Thursday, May 07, 2015 9:12:22 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,702
Location: NAIROBI
Those new products are like a frog trying to prevent a cow from drinking water in a river.
We had GEMs no effect.
The main thing in the NSE is the main stock index.

Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Boris Boyka
#8 Posted : Thursday, May 07, 2015 9:12:36 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/15/2013
Posts: 1,977
Location: Here
Paul Owuor wrote:
Boris Boyka wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
@paul Owuor
NSE will be at 4500 and below at that time.
Bear run knocking

Dec 2015????? Okay.....maybe it will smoke Hot stuff the Colombias misdispatched to supermarkets. Or you're the one smoking it.


It's very possible.The political environment will be stable for the next two years.REITs and derivatives are coming next month.The KES/USD volatility is temporary and will be soon tamed.What could possibly stop people from buying?Explain in detail.

Dec 2015 is just six (6) months away! You the one to explain to us how that 7000 is possible by then...I got no explanation on the hot stuff.
Everybody STEALS, a THIEF is one who's CAUGHT stealing something of LITTLE VALUE. !!!
kasibitta
#9 Posted : Thursday, May 07, 2015 9:14:42 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 2/7/2014
Posts: 155
@Paul Owuor....i used to think am one very optimistic person.But you just overtook me too fast. 7000??? has the NSE been there before?.

I hope you will still be in Wazua come Dec 2015 for us to score your predictions.
Paul Owuor
#10 Posted : Thursday, May 07, 2015 9:28:33 AM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 7/3/2011
Posts: 30
Location: Nairobi
Expect whoop-lash volatility upon introduction of derivatives.
I used to be a pig but I am now a bull-bear hybrid.
mlennyma
#11 Posted : Thursday, May 07, 2015 9:47:21 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,183
Location: nairobi
Thankyou for making wazua busy with white elephants
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
whiteowl
#12 Posted : Friday, May 08, 2015 12:24:38 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 4/16/2014
Posts: 1,420
Location: Bohemian Grove
I don't think NSE can pull a Dow Jones
hisah
#13 Posted : Friday, May 08, 2015 5:47:04 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
For NSE to test 7000pts the index has to rally at least 40%. That means the 20 counters that compose the index have to perform extremely well with some rallying 100%. Mpesa bank being the largest weight component of the index needs to rally hard in order to pull the index up and cancel out the index laggards like KQ. Most of the index component are weak in 2015 since they reflect the econ slump reality.

How will derivatives boost the econ slowdown conditions that these firms operate in to rally the index by 2000pts from 5000pts level? Infact these derivatives will be a nice tool to bring down some inflated counters running on fumes.

Is wanjiku ready to meet short selling if she can't even compute simple financial analysis? This will be a rude wake up call.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
watesh
#14 Posted : Friday, May 08, 2015 6:29:00 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/10/2014
Posts: 977
Location: Kenya
Bear run begins...best time to buy at a bargain.
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