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Madness at the NSE
murchr
#821 Posted : Thursday, April 09, 2015 8:19:09 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
obiero wrote:
murchr wrote:
obiero wrote:
the green monster and brown elephant are both bleedin in south sudan. a dark cloud hangs over the financial sector and may get darker based on tightenin of liquidity by CBK in counter terrorism efforts


Green monster = MPESA bank Lion/Simba = KCB

Si umeelewa what I meant?? :)


Nilichanganyikiwa kiasi, was about to ask when the monster made the SS move. And by the way, huko kuna simu?
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
Mainat
#822 Posted : Sunday, April 12, 2015 5:59:13 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/21/2006
Posts: 1,590
The day Janet announces that 25bps increase in the Fed rate...

If you know what you are doing and your buying price was sufficiently good, stay in the market, otherwise step aside and wait for the smoke to clear.

Sehemu ndio nyumba
obiero
#823 Posted : Sunday, April 12, 2015 8:54:27 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,706
Location: nairobi
murchr wrote:
obiero wrote:
murchr wrote:
obiero wrote:
the green monster and brown elephant are both bleedin in south sudan. a dark cloud hangs over the financial sector and may get darker based on tightenin of liquidity by CBK in counter terrorism efforts


Green monster = MPESA bank Lion/Simba = KCB

Si umeelewa what I meant?? :)


Nilichanganyikiwa kiasi, was about to ask when the monster made the SS move. And by the way, huko kuna simu?

Ofcos simu ipo

COOP 255,000 ABP 15.85; KQ 544,100 ABP 7.15; MTN 23,800 ABP 5.20
hisah
#824 Posted : Wednesday, May 06, 2015 1:58:44 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Toothless CMA.

Poor article by the way from BD Shame on you

Very weak market regular and the reason why the market went into a madness frenzy last year.

All the best.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
murchr
#825 Posted : Wednesday, May 06, 2015 2:27:47 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
hisah wrote:
Toothless CMA.

Poor article by the way from BD Shame on you

Very weak market regular and the reason why the market went into a madness frenzy last year.

All the best.



This is a 2014 report.... smh
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#826 Posted : Wednesday, May 06, 2015 2:55:11 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,221
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
Large cap banks in the red today pointing to an upward adjustment in cbr later in the day.
#OnlyWayToTameUSDBulls
@SufficientlyP
Othelo
#827 Posted : Wednesday, May 06, 2015 3:01:59 PM
Rank: User


Joined: 1/20/2014
Posts: 3,528
murchr wrote:
hisah wrote:
Toothless CMA.

Poor article by the way from BD Shame on you

Very weak market regular and the reason why the market went into a madness frenzy last year.

All the best.



This is a 2014 report.... smh

Very poorly done without concrate details. In Kenya we are on our own.
Formal education will make you a living. Self-education will make you a fortune - Jim Rohn.
S.Mutaga III
#828 Posted : Wednesday, May 06, 2015 3:04:12 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 830
The bear is firmly at the driving seat now. In the last two months, only 10 counters have recorded a rise in share price and none of them above 15% appreciation. The rest have either remained flat or declined with KQ leading the pack with an almost 30% share decline (Obiero must be feeling the heat here). Time to invest for the long term. Dont expect any home run this year, but if you hunt for bargains, you will have your home run in 2+ years...if the current trend continues.
A successful man is not he who gets the best, it is he who makes the best from what he gets.
mlennyma
#829 Posted : Wednesday, May 06, 2015 4:32:18 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,187
Location: nairobi
S.Mutaga III wrote:
The bear is firmly at the driving seat now. In the last two months, only 10 counters have recorded a rise in share price and none of them above 15% appreciation. The rest have either remained flat or declined with KQ leading the pack with an almost 30% share decline (Obiero must be feeling the heat here). Time to invest for the long term. Dont expect any home run this year, but if you hunt for bargains, you will have your home run in 2+ years...if the current trend continues.

I believe in selling and staying out,other than being pessimistic for the next 2 years.dividends however big cannot compensate for bear price dips
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
winmak
#830 Posted : Wednesday, May 06, 2015 5:02:45 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 12/1/2007
Posts: 539
Location: Nakuru
S.Mutaga III wrote:
The bear is firmly at the driving seat now. In the last two months, only 10 counters have recorded a rise in share price and none of them above 15% appreciation. The rest have either remained flat or declined with KQ leading the pack with an almost 30% share decline (Obiero must be feeling the heat here). Time to invest for the long term. Dont expect any home run this year, but if you hunt for bargains, you will have your home run in 2+ years...if the current trend continues.



Not the most accurate indicator of a bear...
For investors as a whole, returns decrease as motion increases ~ WB
kasibitta
#831 Posted : Thursday, May 07, 2015 9:21:39 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 2/7/2014
Posts: 155
Too many things dogging the Market.

In my opinion, matters to watch.
1.KES weakening
2.Inflation
3.CGT
4.Debt by the GovT

People have been singing Bear since last year ....but i didnt want to believe it, Though based on 2015 situation, i almost believe it will happen this year.
Ericsson
#832 Posted : Thursday, May 07, 2015 9:48:12 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,769
Location: NAIROBI
http://www.moneynews.com...&utm_medium=referral
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Boris Boyka
#833 Posted : Tuesday, June 02, 2015 11:27:03 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/15/2013
Posts: 1,977
Location: Here
Though on thin volumes...but that is the direction.
CIC 8.10...likely to touch sub 8
KK 7.90...likely to touch 7.50
Stanchart 286....will it see a 250?
AfroNSE continues shortly.
Everybody STEALS, a THIEF is one who's CAUGHT stealing something of LITTLE VALUE. !!!
Othelo
#834 Posted : Tuesday, June 02, 2015 11:44:45 AM
Rank: User


Joined: 1/20/2014
Posts: 3,528
Boris Boyka wrote:
Though on thin volumes...but that is the direction.
CIC 8.10...likely to touch sub 8
KK 7.90...likely to touch 7.50
Stanchart 286....will it see a 250?
AfroNSE continues shortly.

smile smile smile
Formal education will make you a living. Self-education will make you a fortune - Jim Rohn.
Metasploit
#835 Posted : Tuesday, June 02, 2015 12:13:01 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 985
Location: Dar es salaam,Tanzania
Boris Boyka wrote:
Though on thin volumes...but that is the direction.
CIC 8.10...likely to touch sub 8
KK 7.90...likely to touch 7.50
Stanchart 286....will it see a 250?
AfroNSE continues shortly.


Market manipulation is always on thin volumes and then spiked volumes when panic selling hits

Here you just test how low the share can go/weaknesses on supply side

“The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.”
Thiong'o
#836 Posted : Tuesday, June 02, 2015 12:39:27 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 10/14/2011
Posts: 661
symbols wrote:
Madness 101: Investor psychology - Expectations,action and game theory.
Learning in session.


and talking of game theories. Great mathematician John Nash and wife died in a car crash, John whose remarkable achievements inspired generations of mathematicians, economists and scientists who were influenced by his brilliant, groundbreaking work in game theory.
http://edition.cnn.com/2...-wife-killed/index.html

credited with studies in complex games with sequences of moves, and games where one player has more information than others. -Nash Equilibrium, Prisoner's Dilemma -Catch-22

http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/.../sfeature/sf_dixit.html
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nash_equilibrium
derick
#837 Posted : Tuesday, June 02, 2015 10:49:30 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 1/10/2015
Posts: 411
kasibitta wrote:
Too many things dogging the Market.

In my opinion, matters to watch.
1.KES weakening
2.Inflation
3.CGT
4.Debt by the GovT

People have been singing Bear since last year ....but i didnt want to believe it, Though based on 2015 situation, i almost believe it will happen this year.

it will not happen .it is happening
Your income is directly related to your philosophy, Not the economy.-Jim Rohn
Boris Boyka
#838 Posted : Wednesday, June 03, 2015 1:12:31 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/15/2013
Posts: 1,977
Location: Here
Metasploit wrote:
Boris Boyka wrote:
Though on thin volumes...but that is the direction.
CIC 8.10...likely to touch sub 8....7.80
KK 7.90...likely to touch 7.50
Stanchart 286....will it see a 250?.....265
AfroNSE continues shortly.


Market manipulation is always on thin volumes and then spiked volumes when panic selling hits

Here you just test how low the share can go/weaknesses on supply side

Everybody STEALS, a THIEF is one who's CAUGHT stealing something of LITTLE VALUE. !!!
¿
#839 Posted : Thursday, June 04, 2015 3:38:50 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 6/4/2015
Posts: 604
Thiong'o wrote:
symbols wrote:
Madness 101: Investor psychology - Expectations,action and game theory.
Learning in session.


and talking of game theories. Great mathematician John Nash and wife died in a car crash, John whose remarkable achievements inspired generations of mathematicians, economists and scientists who were influenced by his brilliant, groundbreaking work in game theory.
http://edition.cnn.com/2...-wife-killed/index.html

credited with studies in complex games with sequences of moves, and games where one player has more information than others. -Nash Equilibrium, Prisoner's Dilemma -Catch-22

http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/.../sfeature/sf_dixit.html
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nash_equilibrium


A Beautiful Mind's John Nash 'replaced' Einstein's theory of relativity just before his death
Boris Boyka
#840 Posted : Wednesday, June 10, 2015 6:34:12 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/15/2013
Posts: 1,977
Location: Here
Othelo wrote:
Boris Boyka wrote:
Though on thin volumes...but that is the direction.
CIC 8.10...likely to touch sub 8
KK 7.90...likely to touch 7.50
Stanchart 286....will it see a 250?
AfroNSE continues shortly.

smile smile smile

Cic now 7.50
Kk 8.15 .....still losing foot.
Everybody STEALS, a THIEF is one who's CAUGHT stealing something of LITTLE VALUE. !!!
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