Nairobi Serena needs a lot of work. A Rights Issue is not a bad idea at this time. If Serena can start construction in 2015 while business is slow then they can get ready for additional business by 2018.
TPS has a unique opportunity to buy out other properties (especially Masai Mara, Amboseli and Coast) cheap as the hotels collapse due to the slow tourism market.
I like Aga Khan firms. They have management depth with many CEOs, CFOs or directors who are often adherents of the Aga Khan thus there's more to it than just being employees. I value good management.
That said, the best managers cannot save a firm in a dying sector. Therefore, I ask... is Tourism dying in Kenya?
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett