wazua Wed, Mar 18, 2026
Welcome Guest Search | Active Topics | Log In

4 Pages<1234>
Beginners Luck
Options
Previous Topic · Next Topic
Much Know
#11 Posted : Thursday, February 18, 2010 12:51:10 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/6/2008
Posts: 3,579
Guru, global crises took off beggining third quarter 2008 and was firmly in effect by end of 2008
Ras Kienyeji Man
Back to top
  |
guru267
#12 Posted : Thursday, February 18, 2010 1:08:51 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
@much know.. the crisis started all the way in the 4th quarter of 2007 but it went global after the lehman brothers collapse in september 08...
so it was firm by jan.. thats why i said the WORST of the crisis was at the beginning of 09...
stock markets around the world really started to fall in jan 09 and then they all hit there lows in march.. the NSE wasnt spared...

and to answer your question about the feb correction i ask you a question... how can markets correct or dip in feb and march when these months are full of company announcements and results???
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
Back to top
  |
guru267
#13 Posted : Thursday, February 18, 2010 1:33:14 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
@mkonomtupu.. i hear your point loud and clear... but we may just have to agree to disagree... but i will be watching the NSE on the months which you stated for dips and wait to be proved wrong///
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
Back to top
  |
Wa_ithaka
#14 Posted : Thursday, February 18, 2010 1:48:44 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 1/7/2010
Posts: 1,279
Location: nbi
Feb and March is when results are typically announced. If you are a trader you ride a wave from November all the way to the beginning of Feb and then you bail until April when you pick up the button again.
The Governor of Nyeri - 2017
Back to top
  |
RichVee
#15 Posted : Thursday, February 18, 2010 2:02:37 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 1/26/2010
Posts: 124
So my observation had a point (or 2)...I only started analyzing share prices since Jan 09 and will continue to study. It is always good to hear others opinions/facts.
Tired of mediocrity. Am going to the very top!
Back to top
  |
guru267
#16 Posted : Thursday, February 18, 2010 2:13:27 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
Wa_ithaka wrote:
Feb and March is when results are typically announced. If you are a trader you ride a wave from November all the way to the beginning of Feb and then you bail until April when you pick up the button again.


@wa_ithaka.. most traders do trade to make both capital gains and dividends.. so i dont understand how a trader can bail in feb yet company books opening for dividend payments open in late feb and march... expalain to me your reasoning behind this please??
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
Back to top
  |
VituVingiSana
#17 Posted : Thursday, February 18, 2010 3:25:25 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,346
Location: Nairobi
The so-called January trend might be prevalent in DEVELOPED markets coz the 'year-end' for funds (who offload positions for tax gains/losses) is 31 Dec.

I doubt that is as pronounced on NSE where only a tiny portion of shares are ever traded.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Back to top
  |
sparkly
#18 Posted : Thursday, February 18, 2010 3:55:40 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
guru267 wrote:
i ask you a question... how can markets correct or dip in feb and march when these months are full of company announcements and results???

I started investing in the exchange in 2001 when the system was still manual. Even then i noticed that the prices go down in feb and march just before the announcements but then quickly pick up towards the book dates and peak around june. I dont know of any logical explanation.
Life is short. Live passionately.
Back to top
  | | Edit by user: Thursday, February 18, 2010 3:57 PM | Reason: Correct spelling
Wa_ithaka
#19 Posted : Thursday, February 18, 2010 4:15:04 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 1/7/2010
Posts: 1,279
Location: nbi
Guru267-the highest dividend yield on the NSE is 14%. A trader entering a typically high dividend yield share in November can expect to make 25% before or after charges by the time they exit in Feb/March time.
During a typical NSE year (i.e. minus political stresses), you can observe this trend on shares like Williamson, StanChart
The Governor of Nyeri - 2017
Back to top
  |
Much Know
#20 Posted : Thursday, February 18, 2010 4:39:57 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/6/2008
Posts: 3,579
@vv$, but you know 'mkolo' controls our market, with all due respect to your exceptional analytics, if there is such a word.
Ras Kienyeji Man
Back to top
  |
4 Pages<1234>
Forum Jump  
You cannot post new topics in this forum.
You cannot reply to topics in this forum.
You cannot delete your posts in this forum.
You cannot edit your posts in this forum.
You cannot create polls in this forum.
You cannot vote in polls in this forum.

Wazua Investor Theme
Powered by YAF | YAF © 2003-2009, Yet Another Forum.NET
Copyright © 2026 Wazua.co.ke. All Rights Reserved.