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murchr
#1 Posted : Wednesday, March 18, 2015 8:37:29 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Am referring to the long haul journey. 5+years. The counters that you will wish you picked today in the year 2020

1. KENGEN - We all know we need to be electrified if we're to compete with the rest of the world. Electricity is the blood of any economy

2. KPLC - I do not foresee any new entrant in the distribution of electricity any soon.

3. SAFARICOM - We're hooked, we have to call txt email and surf. Who is powering 80% of Kenya? And now they are getting into TV on Friday. Never doubt Safcoms ability to sell.

Like Buffetts said “Time is the friend of the wonderful company, the enemy of the mediocre.”
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
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mwekez@ji
#2 Posted : Wednesday, March 18, 2015 8:48:00 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
Trains/very long haul are a no. Getting into discounted counters and exiting when they become fully valued is the way.

Here is my reason. Flashback 5+ years
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mlennyma
#3 Posted : Wednesday, March 18, 2015 9:04:33 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,183
Location: nairobi
How long will it take that person calling himself a long termer who refused to sell kengen at 40's to enjoy the fruits of 40 and above?
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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murchr
#4 Posted : Wednesday, March 18, 2015 10:24:21 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
mwekez@ji wrote:
Trains/very long haul are a no. Getting into discounted counters and exiting when they become fully valued is the way.

Here is my reason. Flashback 5+ years







Those graphs just show the history, they say nothing about the future. The value then and now is different.
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
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mwekez@ji
#5 Posted : Thursday, March 19, 2015 3:49:01 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
murchr wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
Trains/very long haul are a no. Getting into discounted counters and exiting when they become fully valued is the way.

Here is my reason. Flashback 5+ years







Those graphs just show the history, they say nothing about the future. The value then and now is different.


ignore history at your own peril ...
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TheGeek
#6 Posted : Thursday, March 19, 2015 4:27:48 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 7/3/2014
Posts: 245
mwekez@ji wrote:
murchr wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
Trains/very long haul are a no. Getting into discounted counters and exiting when they become fully valued is the way.

Here is my reason. Flashback 5+ years







Those graphs just show the history, they say nothing about the future. The value then and now is different.


ignore history at your own peril ...


Quote:
The market's price patterns look similar at all degrees of trend. In other words, the market's price history is a fractal.
Frost/Prechter


In the world of securities, courage and patience become the supreme virtues after adequate knowledge and a tested judgment are at hand.
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murchr
#7 Posted : Thursday, March 19, 2015 4:32:15 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
mwekez@ji wrote:
murchr wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
Trains/very long haul are a no. Getting into discounted counters and exiting when they become fully valued is the way.

Here is my reason. Flashback 5+ years







Those graphs just show the history, they say nothing about the future. The value then and now is different.


ignore history at your own peril ...


I wonder if your argument would have been valid for safcom for the years 2008-2011. If only you'd post the chart. Fundamentals rule. Its hardly 5 years when someone posted a thread on Safcom being in the loss territory
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
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whiteowl
#8 Posted : Friday, March 20, 2015 7:41:24 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 4/16/2014
Posts: 1,420
Location: Bohemian Grove
murchr wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
murchr wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
Trains/very long haul are a no. Getting into discounted counters and exiting when they become fully valued is the way.

Here is my reason. Flashback 5+ years







Those graphs just show the history, they say nothing about the future. The value then and now is different.


ignore history at your own peril ...


I wonder if your argument would have been valid for safcom for the years 2008-2011. If only you'd post the chart. Fundamentals rule. Its hardly 5 years when someone posted a thread on Safcom being in the loss territory

investing long-term in a govt firm is a no no. they have a history of stopping the music when the fun becomes too much.
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