wazua Wed, Jan 8, 2025
Welcome Guest Search | Active Topics | Log In | Register

Contrarian investing
kebaya
#1 Posted : Friday, February 12, 2010 3:52:21 PM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 2/3/2010
Posts: 66
Location: at the trading terminal
Contrarian investing is an investing strategy that simply means going against the market. Contrarian investors go against current market views, indicators and trends to outperform the market.

For example, they may sell stocks on high and buy at low even when the trends are strong. They may also prefer to buy stocks which are ignored by investors and may sell those ones which are hot favorites. The basic idea is to get into a good deal even before others realize it.

Contrarian is a strategy which can be followed in both bull market and bear market. The strategy works best when the markets are wrong; like in bubbles and bursts. The most similar strategies to contrarian investing are value investing strategy and deep value investing strategy. Like value investors, contrarian investors look for mispriced stocks using indicators like book value and P/E ratio. But contrarian investors also consider the market sentiment using indicators like volume indicators, earning forecasts, industry performances, analyst and media commentaries, etc before making decisions.

Contrarian investing involves very high risks and it demands high levels of market knowledge, intelligence, trading experience, market research and trading data. There are some contrarians who just like go against the market all the time; which can't be a good strategy as the market is right most of the time. The right strategy can be to look for opportunities where the market 'can' be wrong
Grabbing the bull by the horns till am the last trader standing
2012
#2 Posted : Friday, February 12, 2010 4:01:20 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/9/2009
Posts: 6,592
Location: Nairobi
You clearly been reading a copy of
Rich Dad's Guide to Investing
By Robert Kiyosaki

BBI will solve it
:)
sparkly
#3 Posted : Saturday, February 13, 2010 3:52:54 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
@kebaya this has to be hardest strategy to master. Are there know contrarian funds?
Life is short. Live passionately.
guru267
#4 Posted : Saturday, February 13, 2010 8:01:26 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
i must admit i am a very big contrarian and it is a very good srategy but VERY risky..
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
kebaya
#5 Posted : Saturday, February 13, 2010 10:08:22 AM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 2/3/2010
Posts: 66
Location: at the trading terminal
@guru267 can you share with us an example if you dnt mind? smile

@sparkly - i dnt know of any, i think kiyosaki and buffet do this , but not all the time.
Grabbing the bull by the horns till am the last trader standing
Wakanyugi
#6 Posted : Saturday, February 13, 2010 11:59:57 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 7/3/2007
Posts: 1,634
I think the best contrarian investor today has to be Nicolas Nassim Taleb. His 'Universa' fund recently made a pile of dough by betting on the unexpected, the 'black swan' event. The fund lost money for years until the global collapse happened - an event that probability said could not occur in 10,000 years - and he was off smiling to the bank.

He is now betting that government efforts to pump money into economies will cause deflation or hyperinflation. www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aDVgqxiT9RSg
"The opposite of a correct statement is a false statement. But the opposite of a profound truth may well be another profound truth." (Niels Bohr)
kebaya
#7 Posted : Saturday, February 13, 2010 12:57:22 PM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 2/3/2010
Posts: 66
Location: at the trading terminal
Andrew Lahde is a another very good contrarian investor.This dude did the unbelievable. He earned fame in 2007 by earning over 1000%. He later wrote a latter dissing guys from harvard and yale as losers!!!

He bet against the mortgage backed securities when at that time MBS were the hottest. He did his maths and saw that the numbers did not add up. He bet against the market. The crash came...he made billions..

He later wrote a letter ``I was in this game for money,'' Lahde, 37, wrote in a two-page letter today in which he said he had come to hate the hedge-fund business. ``The low-hanging fruit, i.e. idiots whose parents paid for prep school, Yale and then the Harvard MBA, was there for the taking. These people who were (often) truly not worthy of the education they received (or supposedly received) rose to the top of companies such as AIG, Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers and all levels of our government.

He is now a marijuana campaigner..he wants it legalized...

Weird genius!
Grabbing the bull by the horns till am the last trader standing
Jaguar
#8 Posted : Saturday, February 13, 2010 8:02:44 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 6/7/2007
Posts: 263
Location: humu humu
Users browsing this topic
Guest
Forum Jump  
You cannot post new topics in this forum.
You cannot reply to topics in this forum.
You cannot delete your posts in this forum.
You cannot edit your posts in this forum.
You cannot create polls in this forum.
You cannot vote in polls in this forum.

Copyright © 2025 Wazua.co.ke. All Rights Reserved.