Inflation has stayed below the Fed's target for more than two years. Yet investors still focus on the Fed's every move. So now try to guess the publication date of still another quote from The Elliott Wave Theorist:
"The vast majority of investors seems confident that the Fed’s actions make a stock market collapse impossible. [We] hear comments along these lines: 'the Fed will provide liquidity,' 'the Fed is injecting money into the system.'
"[The truth is,] the Fed does not 'inject' liquidity; it only offers it. If nobody wants it, the inflation game is over. The determinant of that matter is the market. When bull markets turn to bear, confidence turns to fear, and fearful people do not lend or borrow at the same rates as confident ones. The ultimate drivers of inflation and deflation are human mental states that the Fed cannot manipulate.
"The day the Fed lowers one of its rates or engineers a major temporary loan -- and the stock market goes down anyway -- is the day that investors will become utterly uncertain of what they believe about market causality, and panic will have no bridle." The Theorist published this in September 2007. One month later the stock market topped, followed by the year-and-a-half meltdown which ushered in the Great Recession (from which we still have not fully recovered).
Why didn't the Fed stop the collapse seven years ago? The short answer is: If they could have they would have. Just something to keep in mind for investors who continue to pin their hopes on the Fed.
Read more:
http://www.elliottwave.c...es/archives/2015/01/29/(Video,-412-min.)-Deflation-Why-the-Fed-Has-Been-Losing-the-Battle.aspx#ixzz3QHXEaiWG
Follow us: @elliottwaveintl on Twitter | ElliottWaveInternational on Facebook
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.