Aguytrying wrote:@maichblack. my dissappionted is highlighted in post #1101. The rights are priced too high. on the surface it looks like a >15 shilling discount but in truth due to the dilution there really is no discount. rights at 30.00 is equivalent to buying the share at 46 before rights.
I beg to differ.
Don't forget the company will now have an extra Kshs. 3.5 Billion at hand. So you are basically buying the company at the "same price" only that it now has 3.5 Billion extra at hand. This money is meant to support the company's strategy so the EPS should be higher because of the rights issue money than the recalculated EPS you have in post #1101.
Of course it all depends on how they deploy the funds but in theory at least the EPS should be much better. And it is all theory in any case because even assuming the EPS remains "constant" is based on assumption that performance remains constant.
In summary, I am saying your calculation ignores the extra 3.5 Billion the company will have at hand and which it doesn't have now. Even if that money was to be deposited in an account (Or money market, bonds etc.) earning 10% p.a., that's a cool 350 million in extra earnings - that translates to Kshs. 1/= extra per (diluted) share!!! And that is using the least creative approach.
Never count on making a good sale. Have the purchase price be so attractive that even a mediocre sale gives good returns.