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Realities of Forex Investment
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mnandii
#2901 Posted : Thursday, September 04, 2014 3:48:58 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
hisah wrote:
Something has gone snap somewhere!

That CHF futures vol spike at the beginning of Aug has cratered CHF bulls. This is why I stated $CHF was going to rally and it being an inverse of EUR$ meant that the euro would tank.

Next I spotted vol spike in GBP futures. And this one too has taken it in the chin. @mnandii - hope you are sat tight and are still holding GBPJPY shorts smile

GBPJPY faces resistance at 172.70, next shorting level.

Then the USD rate hike rumors doing rounds in fx. Something is coming... Suddenly like Lehman!


smile
Yes! Still holding the short despite alot of flak in my facebook page. Sad

G/U and E/U still av a long down to go.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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mnandii
#2902 Posted : Thursday, September 04, 2014 3:57:41 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
hisah wrote:
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
hisah wrote:
Something has gone snap somewhere!

That CHF futures vol spike at the beginning of Aug has cratered CHF bulls. This is why I stated $CHF was going to rally and it being an inverse of EUR$ meant that the euro would tank.

Next I spotted vol spike in GBP futures. And this one too has taken it in the chin. @mnandii - hope you are sat tight and are still holding GBPJPY shorts smile

Then the USD rate hike rumors doing rounds in fx. Something is coming... Suddenly like Lehman!

Millionaires and paupers will be made.

Definitely. I believe volatility is about to go parabolic this month! If we can catch this moves we can make sizable profits in a short span than we make in a yr or more!

Drool
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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hisah
#2903 Posted : Thursday, September 04, 2014 5:11:50 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
hisah wrote:
EURCHF is threatening to break below the 1.20 DNT level set by SNB back in Sept 6 2011.

Epic fight looms; Market vs CB smile

Watch this pair closely... I'm sensing fireworks will start here.

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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alutacontinua
#2904 Posted : Thursday, September 04, 2014 5:49:02 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/23/2011
Posts: 304
hisah wrote:
hisah wrote:
EURCHF is threatening to break below the 1.20 DNT level set by SNB back in Sept 6 2011.

Epic fight looms; Market vs CB smile

Watch this pair closely... I'm sensing fireworks will start here.



Rumour of SNB on the bid @1.2050 (500mln) *grabs some popcorn*
You dont have to be great to START but you have to start to be GREAT!!!!!!!!
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mnandii
#2905 Posted : Thursday, September 04, 2014 6:51:03 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
alutacontinua wrote:
hisah wrote:
hisah wrote:
EURCHF is threatening to break below the 1.20 DNT level set by SNB back in Sept 6 2011.

Epic fight looms; Market vs CB smile

Watch this pair closely... I'm sensing fireworks will start here.



Rumour of SNB on the bid @1.2050 (500mln) *grabs some popcorn*

Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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hisah
#2906 Posted : Thursday, September 04, 2014 10:04:26 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Wow! USD bears have taken a beating today esp in the euro and cable. Ulcers central as EURUSD crashes below 1.30 level. Is ECB unleashing a QE which means the euro funding rate will be slashed? That would explain the USD mad reversal vs EUR.

EURCHF still above 1.20 cap. SNB strongly defending their cap.

This Sept watch out for crazy volatility. Safer to sit on your hands to avoid bad trades.

Vol spike on EUR$. Last such vol spike was 8/2/2012. Is the euro about to bottom or just a pause then the next sizable selloff?
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#2907 Posted : Thursday, September 04, 2014 11:08:57 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
alutacontinua wrote:
hisah wrote:
hisah wrote:
EURCHF is threatening to break below the 1.20 DNT level set by SNB back in Sept 6 2011.

Epic fight looms; Market vs CB smile

Watch this pair closely... I'm sensing fireworks will start here.



Rumour of SNB on the bid @1.2050 (500mln) *grabs some popcorn*

The madness going on in this pair.

http://tinyurl.com/k2axeuu

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#2908 Posted : Friday, September 05, 2014 4:30:36 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Asia is live. Assessing the USD rip off your face rally damage to euro and cable as many stops have been triggered at distant levels. Commodities too have faced the USD strength for a while now. But gold has repelled several attempts to break below $1250! Very odd this behaviour. I'm putting it in my watch.

Natgas - this one likely to fall badly in coming weeks. Perhaps to piss off Putin/gazprom...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Ceinz
#2909 Posted : Friday, September 05, 2014 4:46:09 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
hisah wrote:
Asia is live. Assessing the USD rip off your face rally damage to euro and cable as many stops have been triggered at distant levels. Commodities too have faced the USD strength for a while now. But gold has repelled several attempts to break below $1250! Very odd this behaviour. I'm putting it in my watch.

Natgas - this one likely to fall badly in coming weeks. Perhaps to piss off Putin/gazprom...



Gold is bullish, its set back has only been the strong dollar, as I said a few posts ago, I see it taking out March's high @ $1390 by year close.
“small step for man”
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Ceinz
#2910 Posted : Friday, September 05, 2014 4:49:37 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
Ceinz wrote:
Ceinz wrote:
hisah wrote:



A quick scan hints that GBP$ will likely test 1.6050 this month if 1.6450 breaks down.



i CONCURR below 1.65,we shud target 1.630, 38 fibo & 1.605, 50 fibo


Short trade triggered, tp1 1.63.


Closed half a position last night @ 1.6346, the other half hit tp @ 1.63
“small step for man”
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Ceinz
#2911 Posted : Friday, September 05, 2014 4:51:48 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
Ceinz wrote:
Ceinz wrote:
hisah wrote:



A quick scan hints that GBP$ will likely test 1.6050 this month if 1.6450 breaks down.



i CONCURR below 1.65,we shud target 1.630, 38 fibo & 1.605, 50 fibo


Short trade triggered, tp1 1.63.


Closed half a position last night @ 1.6346, the other half hit tp @ 1.63
“small step for man”
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mnandii
#2912 Posted : Friday, September 05, 2014 6:27:29 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304


Getting out of G/U at 290 pips.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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mnandii
#2913 Posted : Friday, September 05, 2014 6:33:47 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
mnandii wrote:
mnandii wrote:


Get ready. GBPJPY is going to fall off the sky soon.



Can one target 1000 pips in forex? That's what I want to do next week starting with GBPJPY.




GBPJPY. Falling as expected. smile
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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mnandii
#2914 Posted : Friday, September 05, 2014 6:35:41 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304


The GBPJPY short taken on 1st September now in the green.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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mnandii
#2915 Posted : Friday, September 05, 2014 6:41:28 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304


Gold is now showing promise. I am risking a long at 1263.36 SL at 1256.52.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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mnandii
#2916 Posted : Friday, September 05, 2014 6:56:05 AM
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Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
GBPJPY SL lowered to 173.97.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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mnandii
#2917 Posted : Friday, September 05, 2014 7:02:51 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
hisah wrote:
Wow! USD bears have taken a beating today esp in the euro and cable. Ulcers central as EURUSD crashes below 1.30 level. Is ECB unleashing a QE which means the euro funding rate will be slashed? That would explain the USD mad reversal vs EUR.

EURCHF still above 1.20 cap. SNB strongly defending their cap.

This Sept watch out for crazy volatility. Safer to sit on your hands to avoid bad trades.

Vol spike on EUR$. Last such vol spike was 8/2/2012. Is the euro about to bottom or just a pause then the next sizable selloff?

Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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mnandii
#2918 Posted : Friday, September 05, 2014 7:05:39 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
Ceinz wrote:
hisah wrote:
Asia is live. Assessing the USD rip off your face rally damage to euro and cable as many stops have been triggered at distant levels. Commodities too have faced the USD strength for a while now. But gold has repelled several attempts to break below $1250! Very odd this behaviour. I'm putting it in my watch.

Natgas - this one likely to fall badly in coming weeks. Perhaps to piss off Putin/gazprom...



Gold is bullish, its set back has only been the strong dollar, as I said a few posts ago, I see it taking out March's high @ $1390 by year close.

Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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alutacontinua
#2919 Posted : Friday, September 05, 2014 7:31:42 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/23/2011
Posts: 304
alutacontinua wrote:
alutacontinua wrote:
alutacontinua wrote:
Looks like there is some defence coming in on the 105.00 barrier on $Yen......Looking to go long for a quick 50 pips (TP 105.50) once barrier is broken if ISM data is strong.


Long @104.97 SL @104. 87 and TP 105.47

Might adjust TP to 105.40 due to noted Japanese offers at 105.40


Stopped out at 105.27 for a R:R of 1:3 smile Stops above the 105.50 barrier are looking juicy tho Drool

Abe's reshuffled cabinet & tomorrows BOJ conference now in focus with the success of Abenomics dependent on JPY weakness and Nikkei gains (closed today for +0.38%). GPIF may also come to light tomorrow.


Waking up to find the 105.50 barrier taken out and some.....a moment of silence as somewhere in the world someone just lost 1-3 yards Sad

Shoulda/woulda/coulda stayed in the trade longer to target those stops above the barrier bt i live for another day. USD bulls are firmly in the driving seat should be interesting to see how $JPY reacts if NFP delivers today
You dont have to be great to START but you have to start to be GREAT!!!!!!!!
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Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#2920 Posted : Friday, September 05, 2014 9:52:03 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,221
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
alutacontinua wrote:
alutacontinua wrote:
alutacontinua wrote:
alutacontinua wrote:
Looks like there is some defence coming in on the 105.00 barrier on $Yen......Looking to go long for a quick 50 pips (TP 105.50) once barrier is broken if ISM data is strong.


Long @104.97 SL @104. 87 and TP 105.47

Might adjust TP to 105.40 due to noted Japanese offers at 105.40


Stopped out at 105.27 for a R:R of 1:3 smile Stops above the 105.50 barrier are looking juicy tho Drool

Abe's reshuffled cabinet & tomorrows BOJ conference now in focus with the success of Abenomics dependent on JPY weakness and Nikkei gains (closed today for +0.38%). GPIF may also come to light tomorrow.


Waking up to find the 105.50 barrier taken out and some.....a moment of silence as somewhere in the world someone just lost 1-3 yards Sad

Shoulda/woulda/coulda stayed in the trade longer to target those stops above the barrier bt i live for another day. USD bulls are firmly in the driving seat should be interesting to see how $JPY reacts if NFP delivers today

Should that happen, another round of USD power will ensue.
Still holding onto my E$ bear trade having prematurely disembarked from the G$ one(short) at 1.645. I plan to harvest Monday during the Asian session.
@SufficientlyP
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