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Elliott Wave Analysis Of The NSE 20
mnandii
#131 Posted : Saturday, August 30, 2014 8:50:49 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
hisah wrote:
If USDKES breaks above 90 it opens up 95 which means NSE will definitely start bending lower (selling pressure increases). Both are never aligned since they are inversely related. Bulls need KES to strength to keep the steam up...

Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#132 Posted : Saturday, August 30, 2014 8:52:39 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304


Safaricom, thrusting from a triangle. Beware that the upside is limited.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#133 Posted : Saturday, August 30, 2014 9:03:04 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
mnandii wrote:
DETAILED ANALYTICS

Working Long Term Chart of the NSE 20 Share Index:


Wave B is from March 2009 and subdivides into Waves [a], ..[ .b] and [c].

The target top is calculated as follows:
1. Length of wave A = (6161.46 - 2360.01) = 3801.45 points
0.786 X wave A = wave B
Therefore: 0.786 X 3801.45 = 2987.94 points
Add 2987.94 points to Wave A bottom to get the end of wave B:

2987.94 + 2360.01 = 5347.95

2. The Widest Height of the triangle added to wave [ .e] bottom gives a target for final wave.
Wave [ .b], in our case, is the widest (tallest) and therefore:
(5137.21 - 4561.74) = 575.47 points

Wave [e] bottom at 4863.87 + 575.47 = 5439.34

3.

Wave [a] length = ( 4701.15 - 2360.01 ) = 2341.14
For Wave [a] = Wave [c] ( a common wave relationship) then we add the length of wave [ .a] to bottom of wave [ .b] to get the top of wave [c] (and also wave B).

Therefore: (2341.14 + 3070.36) = 5411.5

AND THUS THE TARGETED RANGE >> 5340 - 5440 POINTS FOR NSE 20 SHARE INDEX.



Great attempt @mnandii at calling the top. I think we are in agreement that we shall get here early to mid September(16th Sept) and then the fall. But it may be earlier if the 90 USDKES psychological level is breached this week.


NSE 20 Share Index at 5139 29th August, 2014.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#134 Posted : Saturday, August 30, 2014 7:36:07 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304


A running triangle. Thrusts from triangles always forewarn of an ending move.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#135 Posted : Saturday, August 30, 2014 8:10:02 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
The stock market as a whole has never accelerated upward at a market top. It often accelerates off bottoms, and it always accelerates in the center of a third wave; but it has always lost momentum in a fifth wave relative to the third wave. Predictions for a blow-off defy history.

Commodities are the exception … . [They] often accelerate upward before reversing. … The reason for the difference is that commodities peak on fear, whereas stocks peak on complacency.

The Elliott Wave Theorist, December 2013



Read more: http://www.elliottwave.c...Bang.aspx#ixzz3Btbg8RqD
Follow us: @elliottwaveintl on Twitter | ElliottWaveInternational on Facebook
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#136 Posted : Saturday, August 30, 2014 8:14:37 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
Stanford finance professor Anat Admati says big U.S. banks are putting the nation's financial system at risk.

Even after the rule changes brought on by the financial crisis, banks still lend out 95% of depositors' money.

In other words: Big U.S. banks only keep 5% of deposits on hand.

Admati says "something is very wrong" with the banking industry's overuse of leverage. She's been on a relentless public crusade to get regulators to raise the reserve requirements of banks.

Otherwise, she believes it's just a matter of time before there's another financial crisis.

Ms. Admati argues that banks are taking larger risks than other kinds of companies because they use other people's money, and the results are that they keep crashing the economy. ….

[She] says large banks should be required to raise at least 30 percent of their funding in the form of equity.

New York Times, Aug. 10

As you might imagine, bank executives disagree with Ms. Admati's stance on reserve requirements. Bankers say higher reserve levels will make U.S. banks less competitive. Yet consider that before the 2007-2009 financial crisis, bankers had persuaded regulators to reduce their reserve requirements to almost non-existent levels.

Quote:
In the early 1990s, the Federal Reserve Board … took a controversial step and removed banks’ reserve requirements almost entirely.

Now banks can lend out virtually all of their deposits. In fact, they can lend out more than all of their deposits, because banks’ parent companies can issue stock, bonds, commercial paper or any financial instrument and lend the proceeds to their subsidiary banks, upon which assets the banks can make new loans. …

… when banks lend money, it gets deposited in other banks, which can lend it out again. Without a reserve requirement, the multiplier effect is no longer restricted to ten times deposits; it is virtually unlimited. Every new dollar deposited can be lent over and over throughout the system: A deposit becomes a loan becomes a deposit becomes a loan, and so on.


Conquer the Crash, second edition, pp. 101-102

The July/August 2013 Elliott Wave Theorist described bank accounts as "IOUs backed by IOUs."


Read more: http://www.elliottwave.c...ong-.aspx#ixzz3Bte6LlW1
Follow us: @elliottwaveintl on Twitter | ElliottWaveInternational on Facebook
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
hisah
#137 Posted : Monday, September 01, 2014 11:31:00 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
@mnandii @sparkly @philanga - have a look at KCB and EQTY weekly and monthly charts (3/5/10yr). Pray

I am very concerned...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#138 Posted : Monday, September 01, 2014 3:22:49 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,225
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
hisah wrote:
@mnandii @sparkly @philanga - have a look at KCB and EQTY weekly and monthly charts (3/5/10yr). Pray

I am very concerned...

Heavily overbought. Waiting for a strong USD(end of QE) for the perfect haircutsmile
@SufficientlyP
hisah
#139 Posted : Tuesday, September 02, 2014 7:58:03 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
hisah wrote:
@mnandii @sparkly @philanga - have a look at KCB and EQTY weekly and monthly charts (3/5/10yr). Pray

I am very concerned...

Heavily overbought. Waiting for a strong USD(end of QE) for the perfect haircutsmile

And there comes the headlines.

www.businessdailyafrica....6/-/7q7u4sz/-/index.html

Holding my breath...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#140 Posted : Tuesday, September 02, 2014 10:31:47 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,225
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
hisah wrote:
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
hisah wrote:
@mnandii @sparkly @philanga - have a look at KCB and EQTY weekly and monthly charts (3/5/10yr). Pray

I am very concerned...

Heavily overbought. Waiting for a strong USD(end of QE) for the perfect haircutsmile

And there comes the headlines.

www.businessdailyafrica....6/-/7q7u4sz/-/index.html

Holding my breath...

They must read wazua(S.A English)
Slaughter house getting set up as we speaksmile
@SufficientlyP
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