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Why Wise Leaders Don't Know Too Much
muganda
#1 Posted : Thursday, December 31, 2009 4:21:27 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/15/2006
Posts: 3,905
Could it be that knowledge is overrated?

Don't get me wrong — knowledge is a good thing. But there is a point at which it may be bad. Even the sturdiest shelf crumbles under the weight of too many books.

We can only comprehend so much. Our minds have limits in our ability to digest information, just as shelves are only meant to hold so many books. Too much knowledge undermines the greatest insights, the deepest conjectures.

Take an example from graduate school. To earn my Masters degree, I had to write a lengthy thesis (hundreds of pages) to demonstrate a command of knowledge in a broad field. When it came time for my Doctorate, however, I was asked to take my thesis and condense it into a synthesis of that knowledge. Most people think that the process should be reversed — that writing 20 pages is easier than writing 200. But the lesson is less about writing than it is about learning that information and knowledge are something to dissect and discard. And that is the difference between knowing and understanding; between knowledge and wisdom.

Wisdom can be shattered by too much information. Great scholars, for instance, tend to be great in very narrow disciplines. These scholars give ground on colloquial information so that they can digest more within their field. In many ways, we are all idiot savants: our expertise in certain areas necessitates weakness elsewhere.

Yet we still spend our days analyzing information and falling into traps. Decisions are destroyed by over-analysis. The brain is not intelligent because of the sheer volume of data it can ingest, but for the way it can quickly discern patterns — and then guess the rest. The more information you pile on, the less likely you are to make educated guesses. But educated guesses spring from wisdom: all of your past experiences, knowledge and knowhow, coupled with the most recent information and analysis. In other words, wisdom comes from your gut.

Pile on too much information and you fall victim to one of two phenomena: On the one hand, you might make a decision focused only on what has been analyzed because the abundance of information suppresses even the most relevant past experiences. This "knowledge trap" disregards our decision-making skills (often intentionally), opting instead for the logical decision-making of a computer or calculator. You see this often on Wall Street where quant jocks confidently grind data into machines, only to face an unlikely (but not unexpected) event — or what Nassim Taleb calls a "Black Swan" event. For those on Wall Street, this is often an unfortunate demonstration of the power of wisdom over knowledge. Just look what happened in the hedge fund industry in general or credit default swaps in specific as painful examples.

Or worse, faced with an abundance of information you fall victim to analysis paralysis — unable to make any decisions in the face of so much data. To be frozen by information is perhaps the single biggest risk of knowledge. Ancient Greek philosophers used to warn their children about this ailment and Peter Drucker did a good job of combating it in the business world. But is anyone really listening?

People often become victims of the "knowledge trap" or "analysis paralysis," thinking they need to weigh every bit of information against all possible outcomes. Those people rarely make it very far. Those who avoid these traps — who realize they'll never have all the answers no matter how much knowledge they gather — are often the ones who succeed.


by Jeff Stibel, blogs.harvardbusiness.org

Phaoro
#2 Posted : Thursday, December 31, 2009 6:41:45 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 10/6/2009
Posts: 164
Nice thought provoking article.

How do we know we have crossed the point of not having enough information, to having too much information?

From practical experience, the reality is rarely in life will you have complete, timely and accurate information.
Intelligentsia
#3 Posted : Saturday, January 02, 2010 8:44:15 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/1/2009
Posts: 2,436
Good insights muganda (any relation to Clay btw?!),Phaoro's qstn on how do we know that moment is also spot on.

Information overload is currently being viewed as one obvious disadvantage of our times.

Most experts fail not because they don't have enough data, but because they fail to draw the appropriate judgement/ conclusion from it. Take an aircraft pilot for instance,planes crash due to pilot error, which almost invariably results from an inability to quickly process all the info. from the plane's computers bombarding his brain all at the same time into into a quick reaction. This is why even military pilots are trained so that whatever they are taught comes in as second nature, not always a reasoned reaction because split seconds determine whether or not they are downed or a sortie is successful.

But the problem with information overload is also manifested in too wide a range of anything - just observe your wife/girlfriend when they are choosing the outfit to wear and see how many clothes (and time) they go through in their wardrobe before settling on the final one. The range is too much info bombarding the mind at the same time. The bigger the wardrobe the more the time taken to decide which outfit to don. Kama tu that pilot.

Even the range - and thus confusion - of the audio-visual media has increased widely. So will you listen/watch Yori Yori on an Ipod (video or audio?),FM radio (which station),TV (station?),CD,VCD, super CD, DVD or just read about it on the web (which site?)/newspaper (which?)/ endless music magazines (which)? If you want to listen/watch to it once in a while will u choose the same media? If you want to listen/watch to it again and again will u choose the same media?


tony stark
#4 Posted : Tuesday, January 05, 2010 10:48:10 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 7/8/2008
Posts: 947
We live in the information age. We are in the exponential growth phase of information the boundaries are being pushed all the time. Cant have a laptop for more than 3 years before it is obsolete.
You get an iphone and the immediately release new improved iphone with double your specifications and once you get that they newer iphone is introduced with double spec of the new iphone.
In this age it is not what you know but what information you have access to.
The smart leader doesnt have to to know but he has to have access to the information when he wants on demand.
Stay ahead of everyone else is the most important thing a leader can do. You may not know everything but in this day and age why should you bother knowing everything all you need is the information and hopefully before everyone else has it!!
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