GG - Your examples are flawed
1) Uchumi - Always had cash since it went public. One of favorite managers was Suresh Shah (I made good money on Uchumi when I was starting out). Shah built up Uchumi from bottom. An old mzee told me that the day Shah leaves, he will sell his shares. I sold mine as well.
Then came kirubi. Mwizi with his background in kenatco.
2) Access Kenya - I think the Somens will do OK. They need to bulk up but may have made bad choices. Overpaid for one acquisition. They have used cash + debt to expand their reach all over Nairobi. Good move.
I met Thakkar at an investment conference in 2008. What he told us (we were a group) is that ScanGroup will keep the cash UNTIL they find a suitable investment. In the meantime they will leave it in Infrastructure T-Bonds earning 13% NET AFTER TAX. He felt the premiums sellers wanted were too high.
He is right. Since SG raised the funds, the values of PR/Ads firms across Africa (Kenya is a cash cow not a growth market) has dropped.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett