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TransCentury FY 2013 EPS down 36.1%!!!
Rank: Chief Joined: 5/31/2011 Posts: 5,121
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#Noted. The disposal of the 34% stake in Rift Valley Railways RVR) realizing KES 3.8bn in cash. TCL has issued a profit warning for 2014 when the full write-down of the fair value loss will be done (2012 fair value for RVR was KES 3.85bn, which will likely have been raised further in 2013). From our estimates, we see a strong likelihood that TCL will post a loss in 2014. We see the funds raised as likely to focus on short payback projects ahead of a 2016 repayment of a KES 5.1bn convertible bond (with the current share price, bondholders are unlikely to convert). (sib)
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Rank: Chief Joined: 5/31/2011 Posts: 5,121
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#Noted. The disposal of the 34% stake in Rift Valley Railways RVR) realizing KES 3.8bn in cash. TCL has issued a profit warning for 2014 when the full write-down of the fair value loss will be done (2012 fair value for RVR was KES 3.85bn, which will likely have been raised further in 2013). From our estimates, we see a strong likelihood that TCL will post a loss in 2014. We see the funds raised as likely to focus on short payback projects ahead of a 2016 repayment of a KES 5.1bn convertible bond (with the current share price, bondholders are unlikely to convert). (sib)
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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mwekez@ji wrote:#Noted. The disposal of the 34% stake in Rift Valley Railways RVR) realizing KES 3.8bn in cash. TCL has issued a profit warning for 2014 when the full write-down of the fair value loss will be done (2012 fair value for RVR was KES 3.85bn, which will likely have been raised further in 2013). From our estimates, we see a strong likelihood that TCL will post a loss in 2014. We see the funds raised as likely to focus on short payback projects ahead of a 2016 repayment of a KES 5.1bn convertible bond (with the current share price, bondholders are unlikely to convert). (sib) That sinking feeling. A lot of sink holes popping up.$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Member Joined: 1/13/2014 Posts: 386 Location: Denmark
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This thing has left a really bad taste in my mouth.. puh! Seeing is believing
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Rank: Member Joined: 8/30/2010 Posts: 183 Location: Migingo
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Seems like Transcentury is gaining grounds again!! Don't Work for Money, Let Money Work for You..
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/2/2011 Posts: 4,818 Location: -1.2107, 36.8831
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georgegop wrote:Seems like Transcentury is gaining grounds again!! DAMN IT!! I try badmouthing stocks, they go down and just before i start loading, they go up. KK, Tranny. Receive with simplicity everything that happens to you.” ― Rashi
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 1/20/2011 Posts: 1,820 Location: Nakuru
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anybody with demand vs supply data on tranny today? Dumb money becomes dumb only when it listens to smart money
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 1/25/2012 Posts: 1,624 Location: Langley
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In reference to IAS 10 is it illegal to include a transactions that took place in 2014 in Fy2013? If you have built castles in the air, your work need not be lost; that is where they should be. Now put the foundations under them.
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 5/18/2008 Posts: 796
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Mastermind wrote:In reference to IAS 10 is it illegal to include a transactions that took place in 2014 in Fy2013? Don't just quote IAS/IFRS willy nilly without applying them to the situation. The sale of the RVR stake is a non-adjusting post balance sheet event. IAS 10 requires that such events SHOULD BE DISCLOSED but should not adjust the accounts for that year. "Non-adjusting events should be disclosed if they are of such importance that non-disclosure would affect the ability of users to make proper evaluations and decisions. The required disclosure is (a) the nature of the event and (b) an estimate of its financial effect or a statement that a reasonable estimate of the effect cannot be made. [IAS 10.21]"
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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TCL got owned in the RVR deal. What a gamble? Thought they've done a number of M&A's to tell when a deal is ripe. TCL tried to play cowboy, but when gate was opened, a mature bison instead of a calf appeared!? Oops! No were to run, just prayers... In this case I expect TCL to report a loss in 2014 and the price nosedive is not yet done. http://www.theeastafrica...0/-/jnm7iwz/-/index.html$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/26/2012 Posts: 15,980
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hisah wrote: TCL got owned in the RVR deal. What a gamble? Thought they've done a number of M&A's to tell when a deal is ripe. TCL tried to play cowboy, but when gate was opened, a mature bison instead of a calf appeared!? Oops! No were to run, just prayers... In this case I expect TCL to report a loss in 2014 and the price nosedive is not yet done. http://www.theeastafrica.../-/jnm7iwz/-/index.html It almost felt like a movie. Only chess will save us. But i dont think its going to be all rosy for Cidatel, and RVR in particular. Dang! TCL would be very juicy if it transported oil via rail, they now need some serious strategy meeting "There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore .
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Rank: Member Joined: 8/30/2010 Posts: 183 Location: Migingo
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Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,122 Location: Nairobi
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Now that TCL is out of RVR, we see that GoK is putting the screws on RVR/Citadel since the 'power guys' are now out to snatch the railway/RVR from Citadel without paying them... Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 1/20/2011 Posts: 1,820 Location: Nakuru
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Dumb money becomes dumb only when it listens to smart money
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 1/20/2011 Posts: 1,820 Location: Nakuru
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steady demand for this laggard in the past one month...serious turnover today ama its the share swap with aueros?? Dumb money becomes dumb only when it listens to smart money
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TransCentury FY 2013 EPS down 36.1%!!!
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