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Bear run after FY
Candlesticks
#1 Posted : Thursday, April 03, 2014 8:12:38 AM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 12/16/2013
Posts: 49
Location: Nairobi
Is 2014 bound to be the year we witness another bear run at the Bourse. Offcourse not to surpass the 2004 and 2009 bear runs where the NASI slumped to 2500 levels but i cant see any catalyst for the market.
The EUROBond looks unlikely to happen based on the the unease in International financial markets following the dovish FED sentiments on taper, the ongoing forward guidance in UK and offcourse the imminent failure of Abenomics in Japan.

I fear Q1 2014 results for most of these companies will be slower especially financials.

It will be interesting to watch this unfold but i hope we shall have good weather conditions and i can run to agricultural stocks whose performance.
With slowed production of coffee in Latin America likely to go down.

What say you?
"'Nowadays people know the price of everything and the value of nothing.' - Oscar Wilde.
dunkang
#2 Posted : Thursday, April 03, 2014 9:49:04 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/2/2011
Posts: 4,824
Location: -1.2107, 36.8831
This time round its about picking carefully, not just any stock.
Receive with simplicity everything that happens to you.” ― Rashi

jawgey
#3 Posted : Thursday, April 03, 2014 10:30:00 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 1/13/2014
Posts: 398
Location: Denmark
Seems a real bear resurrects after every 5years.. I sense it in the offing
Seeing is believing
streetwise
#4 Posted : Thursday, April 03, 2014 12:22:47 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 6/23/2011
Posts: 1,740
Location: Nairobi
Looks so...Since we have all in agreement after learning from history we can plan and act to be rich when the sun rises after the bear run...
Angelica _ann
#5 Posted : Thursday, April 03, 2014 12:36:10 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,935
That would be welcome to about 3000-3200 levels. Time to be liquid ...
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
mkeiy
#6 Posted : Thursday, April 03, 2014 12:52:20 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 1/27/2012
Posts: 851
Location: Nairobi
Majority seem to be in agreement there will be a bear run.

Is Mr. Market going to allow such predictability to reign?

A correction yes, a shave to 3,000 no. Not even down to 3,900.

But then again, what do i know.
gatoho
#7 Posted : Thursday, April 03, 2014 4:44:10 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 1/1/2010
Posts: 518
Location: kandara, Murang'a
mkeiy wrote:
Majority seem to be in agreement there will be a bear run.

Is Mr. Market going to allow such predictability to reign?

A correction yes, a shave to 3,000 no. Not even down to 3,900.

But then again, what do i know.


Me thinks that the oil find plus greater regional integration will cushion the marketmar
Foresight..
Aguytrying
#8 Posted : Thursday, April 03, 2014 8:04:17 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
last year I asked. 2012=rally, 2013=rally , 2014=?
surely not another rally, it can't always be up up up. if I could guess nse 20 does +-10% this year
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
sparkly
#9 Posted : Friday, April 04, 2014 12:28:37 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
dunkang wrote:
This time round its about picking carefully, not just any stock.


Word.

CFC, Kengen, Kenya Re... What am left with. No more buying.
Life is short. Live passionately.
mibbz
#10 Posted : Friday, April 04, 2014 2:02:47 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 2/18/2011
Posts: 448
Candlesticks wrote:
Is 2014 bound to be the year we witness another bear run at the Bourse. Offcourse not to surpass the 2004 and 2009 bear runs where the NASI slumped to 2500 levels but i cant see any catalyst for the market.
The EUROBond looks unlikely to happen based on the the unease in International financial markets following the dovish FED sentiments on taper, the ongoing forward guidance in UK and offcourse the imminent failure of Abenomics in Japan.

I fear Q1 2014 results for most of these companies will be slower especially financials.

It will be interesting to watch this unfold but i hope we shall have good weather conditions and i can run to agricultural stocks whose performance.
With slowed production of coffee in Latin America likely to go down.

What say you?




Amazing analysis but the eurobond shall happen;i am certain book building has began and potential investors are just waiting for the official launch.
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