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How to tell NSE has bottomed out
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hisah
#4861 Posted : Tuesday, March 18, 2014 3:49:18 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
As Q1 2014 comes to a close as per yesterday's (17/03/14) closing price this how the big 4 have performed.

Mpesa bank +11.52% from 10.85 to 12.10
Memba +3.25% from 30.75 to 31.75
KCB -2.65% from 47.25 to 46
EABL -10.69% from 291 to 259

So if one had the 4 above in their portfolio Q1 2014 would be +1.43% in the green. NSE20 is -0.088% in the red in Q1 2014 while NASI is +4.6% in the green. FTSE NSE15 is 1.17% in the green while FTSE NES25 is 1.41% in the green. In short Q1 has seen a lot of up and down (volatility) or what I call huffing and puffing to no where by the bluechips while small caps have posted better gains. But despite the small caps rallying, the indices have been flat without the strength of the big caps.

Mpesa bank still remains the main fulcrum of the market and if it had reversed like EABL, Q1 would definitely be in the red for all indices.

**FTSE NSE15 still can't reclaim the 180 handle **
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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VituVingiSana
#4862 Posted : Tuesday, March 18, 2014 4:24:18 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,095
Location: Nairobi
hisah wrote:
As Q1 2014 comes to a close as per yesterday's (17/03/14) closing price this how the big 4 have performed.

Mpesa bank +11.52% from 10.85 to 12.10
Memba +3.25% from 30.75 to 31.75
KCB -2.65% from 47.25 to 46
EABL -10.69% from 291 to 259

So if one had the 4 above in their portfolio Q1 2014 would be +1.43% in the green. NSE20 is -0.088% in the red in Q1 2014 while NASI is +4.6% in the green. FTSE NSE15 is 1.17% in the green while FTSE NES25 is 1.41% in the green. In short Q1 has seen a lot of up and down (volatility) or what I call huffing and puffing to no where by the bluechips while small caps have posted better gains. But despite the small caps rallying, the indices have been flat without the strength of the big caps.

Mpesa bank still remains the main fulcrum of the market and if it had reversed like EABL, Q1 would definitely be in the red for all indices.

**FTSE NSE15 still can't reclaim the 180 handle **
And dividends? Memba is trading ex-div (1.50)
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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hisah
#4863 Posted : Tuesday, March 18, 2014 4:47:34 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
VituVingiSana wrote:
hisah wrote:
As Q1 2014 comes to a close as per yesterday's (17/03/14) closing price this how the big 4 have performed.

Mpesa bank +11.52% from 10.85 to 12.10
Memba +3.25% from 30.75 to 31.75
KCB -2.65% from 47.25 to 46
EABL -10.69% from 291 to 259

So if one had the 4 above in their portfolio Q1 2014 would be +1.43% in the green. NSE20 is -0.088% in the red in Q1 2014 while NASI is +4.6% in the green. FTSE NSE15 is 1.17% in the green while FTSE NES25 is 1.41% in the green. In short Q1 has seen a lot of up and down (volatility) or what I call huffing and puffing to no where by the bluechips while small caps have posted better gains. But despite the small caps rallying, the indices have been flat without the strength of the big caps.

Mpesa bank still remains the main fulcrum of the market and if it had reversed like EABL, Q1 would definitely be in the red for all indices.

**FTSE NSE15 still can't reclaim the 180 handle **
And dividends? Memba is trading ex-div (1.50)

My observation does not factor in dividends, but more of market sentiment. My opinion is the market is weak especially the bluechips with mixed results between financials and manufacturers. The heavyweight financials posted good results, but Mr Market is not impressed.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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RearView
#4864 Posted : Tuesday, March 18, 2014 5:11:51 PM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 3/16/2014
Posts: 12
Location: Kisumu
Anybody knows when Full year results for KK is due?
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mwekez@ji
#4865 Posted : Wednesday, March 19, 2014 4:09:18 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
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hisah
#4866 Posted : Wednesday, March 19, 2014 4:37:19 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
mwekez@ji wrote:
Kenya: Bulls Want NSE-20 Index Above 5,000 Points

Bulls have to break above 5200 with force in order to dismiss the gravity that will be pulling hard above 5000... But where is that bid pressure/power? Eurobond... Treasurys selloff, lending rates cut... Liquidity is lacking...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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murchr
#4867 Posted : Friday, March 21, 2014 5:41:05 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Yesterday
Safcom printed 13/-
CFCI 17/-
PORT 100/- I wonder when Bill Lay shakes this tree how many fruits will be left hanging.
Co-op 21/- this will be another bus that @obiero will have alighted early smile

In other news
Quote:
UBA Bank plans to list on the Nairobi Securities Exchange (NSE) in the process allowing Kenyans to own a piece of the Nigerian lender.

http://www.nation.co.ke/...28/-/3ajr1j/-/index.html
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
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Aguytrying
#4868 Posted : Friday, March 21, 2014 4:16:13 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
[quote=murchr]Yesterday
Safcom printed 13/-
CFCI 17/-
PORT 100/- I wonder when Bill Lay shakes this tree how many fruits will be left hanging.
Co-op 21/- this will be another bus that @obiero will have alighted early smile

In other news
Quote:
UBA Bank plans to list on the Nairobi Securities Exchange (NSE) in the process allowing Kenyans to own a piece of the Nigerian lender.

http://www.nation.co.ke/...8/-/3ajr1j/-/index.html[/quote]

More like "we want nigeria to get a piece of kenyan money"

listings are always exciting, remember listings during a bull. Lets see how Nigerians play ball. Overvalued to high hell, or reasonable.
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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hisah
#4869 Posted : Friday, March 21, 2014 5:53:17 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
If Mpesa tests 13/- I will be surprised. Above 12.30 sellers appear like back in Jan.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Metasploit
#4870 Posted : Monday, March 24, 2014 1:34:08 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 985
Location: Dar es salaam,Tanzania
hisah wrote:
If Mpesa tests 13/- I will be surprised. Above 12.30 sellers appear like back in Jan.


The bellweather had sell side volumes on Friday.
i held my cards and now liking what is happening across some good counters # lots of selling pressure

Co-op,CFC stanbic etc

Noted a divergence on the MACD on Kenya Re at the 20 ksh resistance.

The fact that most counters are having it hard breaking past the set HIGHs for more than three times speaks alot;

KCB--Failed to break past 50. 47 is the New resistance set

EQUITY-Failed to break past 36. 34 is the new resistance

CFC--Failed to break past 110

HFCK-Trying to break 35

centum-failed to break 40

kenya re-failed to break 20

Safcom-Failed to break past 12.50

etc etc



“The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.”
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Angelica _ann
#4871 Posted : Monday, March 24, 2014 1:41:24 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,908
@Hisah how are the charts for CFC Stanbic ... like the one for pan afric insurance holdings you unleashed last week?
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
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hisah
#4872 Posted : Monday, March 24, 2014 1:52:02 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Angelica _ann wrote:
@Hisah how are the charts for CFC Stanbic ... like the one for pan afric insurance holdings you unleashed last week?



Overbought since Q4 2013 and struggling above 100. Easier to slide than rally.

I hold this counter as my only long term play with my entry avg @44 and sold some last year to recoup my entry capital.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Angelica _ann
#4873 Posted : Monday, March 24, 2014 1:54:11 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,908
^^^^^ thanks i alot @hisah, much appreciated!
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
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sparkly
#4874 Posted : Monday, March 24, 2014 2:21:52 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
hisah wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
@Hisah how are the charts for CFC Stanbic ... like the one for pan afric insurance holdings you unleashed last week?



Overbought since Q4 2013 and struggling above 100. Easier to slide than rally.

I hold this counter as my only long term play with my entry avg @44 and sold some last year to recoup my entry capital.


Yep, falling. Divergence with the RSI.
Life is short. Live passionately.
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hisah
#4875 Posted : Tuesday, March 25, 2014 2:42:16 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Such a lacklustre market in March??? Q1 heading to a close and the volume is nothing to talk about even on the heavyweight counters... Feels like December!
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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mwekez@ji
#4876 Posted : Wednesday, March 26, 2014 3:19:37 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
Anyone having problems with mystocks.co.ke over the past two days and today?
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Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#4877 Posted : Wednesday, March 26, 2014 3:36:04 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,220
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
mwekez@ji wrote:
Anyone having problems with mystocks.co.ke over the past two days and today?

Been a huge let down.Still down as i write this.
The owner/main guy is called Eugene. He can be reached on 0721289497. Maybe he just needs some harassing.
@SufficientlyP
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kryptonite
#4878 Posted : Wednesday, March 26, 2014 3:36:23 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 2/1/2010
Posts: 272
Location: Nairobi
mwekez@ji wrote:
Anyone having problems with mystocks.co.ke over the past two days and today?


I have. It's been down half the time over the past two days
The harder you work, the luckier you get
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snipermnoma
#4879 Posted : Wednesday, March 26, 2014 3:38:47 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 1/3/2014
Posts: 257
mwekez@ji wrote:
Anyone having problems with mystocks.co.ke over the past two days and today?


I have been having problems for the last 3 days. Site doesn't open.
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kryptonite
#4880 Posted : Wednesday, March 26, 2014 3:44:05 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 2/1/2010
Posts: 272
Location: Nairobi
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
Anyone having problems with mystocks.co.ke over the past two days and today?

Been a huge let down.Still down as i write this.
The owner/main guy is called Eugene. He can be reached on 0721289497. Maybe he just needs some harassing.


The customer service is really poor as well. Take their time with responses (yet take your money in realtime!) and have a patronising tone when they eventually get back to you.
The harder you work, the luckier you get
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