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Investors Lounge
Kinuthiakaranja
#31 Posted : Sunday, October 18, 2009 8:14:00 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 10/2/2009
Posts: 71
Kinuthiakaranja
#32 Posted : Monday, October 19, 2009 6:02:00 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 10/2/2009
Posts: 71
During the Japanese asset bubble of 1989,the value of Tokyo City real estate was worth that of all of the United States.

'HONG KONG &mdash; One of Hong Kong&rsquo;s largest developers announced Wednesday that it had sold an apartment for 439 million Hong Kong dollars,setting a record,just hours after the city&rsquo;s chief executive warned that the city might be facing a real estate bubble.

The deal,valued at the equivalent of $56.6 million,set a record price per square foot for Hong Kong,and the developer,Henderson Land,said it was not aware of a higher figure&rsquo;s having been paid anywhere else....'

Read more:

http://www.nytimes.com/2..._r=1&pagewanted=all
Kinuthiakaranja
#33 Posted : Monday, October 19, 2009 6:37:00 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 10/2/2009
Posts: 71
Please review the Reuters Continous Commodity Index (CCI) chart now available in here: http://tinyurl.com/ygbepky.

I have used trend lines,a simple chart analysis tool to map out the various inflection points. In addition,I have applied Elliot Wave analysis to project to the future.

The components of the index are:

Energy - Crude Oil,Heating Oil,Natural Gas - 17.6%

Grains - Wheat,Corn,Soybeans - 17.6%

Industrials - Copper,Cotton - 11.8%

Meats - Live Cattle,Lean Hogs - 11.8%

Softs - Coffee,Cocoa,Sugar,Orange Juice - 23.5%

Precious Metals - Gold,Silver,Platinum - 17.6%
Kinuthiakaranja
#34 Posted : Tuesday, October 20, 2009 7:11:00 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 10/2/2009
Posts: 71




Relief is at hand for Mr Wang&rsquo;ondu and other coffee farmers. Like a phoenix,the 'black gold of Chebkube',is rising from the ashes once again.



'For the last 37 years Mr Chrysogon Wang&rsquo;ondu has looked up to his coffee trees to change his... life for the better. But with producer coffee prices becoming more and more disappointing,the optimism that he had sustained since 1972 started giving in to scepticism.

The Nyeri farmer started off with 400 coffee trees,which he inherited from his father when he was 28 years old. During the coffee boom of the 1970s he increased the trees to 2,153.

But the expected potential of coffee has failed to change his fortunes and he is contemplating uprooting the trees when the rains come to plant napier grass to feed his two dairy cows.'

Read more:

http://www.nation.co.ke/.../-/s6jcm9z/-/index.html


A coffee boom this way comes.

NEW YORK/LONDON,Oct 16 - Arabica coffee futures soared to close at their highest level in 13 months on Friday,as market players reacted to bullish technical signals.

Raw sugar futures finished little changed after rallying on talk of renewed Indian physical buying inquiries and concerns over persistent rains in Brazil,traders said.

Cocoa finished little changed,while robusta coffee and white sugar ended the day in positive territory.

Arabica coffee futures felt earlier pressure from the firm dollar but reversed sharply higher on chart-based and fund buying,dealers said.

'It's mostly a technical move because it managed to break $1.40,so there were some buy stops,' said Marcio Bernardo,coffee analyst with Newedge USA.

ICE December arabicas surged 5.10 cents,or 3.7 percent,to close at
$1.4285 per lb,the highest settlement for the spot contract since
September 2008.

Read more:

http://news.alibaba.com/...powers-up-13-month.html


Kinuthiakaranja
#35 Posted : Wednesday, October 21, 2009 5:10:00 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 10/2/2009
Posts: 71
Who says hip-hop and hedge funds don't mix?

Long before Wall Street giant Galleon became mired in an insider-trading scandal,a rap song was created to tout the success of the company urging listeners to 'put your money on Galleon.'

The catchy,sleekly mixed ditty with a chorus set to the 1934 Shirley Temple hit,'On the Good Ship Lollipop' boast of now-disgraced founder Raj Rajaratnam's skills and mentions one of the tech firms involved in the $20 million scandal announced yesterday.

'Raj and Chris,their stocks don't miss,they could have co-starred in 'Analyze This'!' the song boasts,referring to the 1999 Robert De Niro movie

Read more:

http://www.nypost.com/p/..._TeHUIXj5Hk0Cv7orxAFJxJ


Kinuthiakaranja
#36 Posted : Thursday, October 22, 2009 9:49:00 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 10/2/2009
Posts: 71




A gold mine is sometimes jokingly referred to 'a hole in the ground with a liar standing over it'. The success rate for bringing a discovery that lies below ground to actual production is 1 in 1000. In the global gold rush,most mining ventures are opportunistic fairy tales riding on investors willingness to buy all that is golden.


During the 70s,the share price of breadmaker named Liquid Gold would tick up along with the yellow metal.

Attention to future price has to consider rising investment demand that offsets a stagnation or decline in jewellery purchases. Gold bull markets are underpinned by investment as both a hedge against declining purchasing power of currency and against decline in confidence in government.

'Only a tiny handful of huge gold discoveries have been made worldwide in the last decade,which experts say is because virtually all the juiciest low-hanging fruit has been picked some time ago. And this new reality promises to help edge bullion prices increasingly higher.

The scarcity of world-class gold discoveries is already taking a toll on the mining industry&rsquo;s bottom line. Global gold output has been dwindling by nearly 5% per annum since it peaked in 2001,even though bullion&rsquo;s spot price has more than tripled since then....'

Read more:

http://www.resourceinves...;cmpid=resourceinvestor
Kinuthiakaranja
#37 Posted : Friday, October 23, 2009 4:42:00 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 10/2/2009
Posts: 71




The credit crisis of yesteryear brought into focus the role played by the foreign investor. A worldwide 'flight to safety' prompted withdrawal of funds from 'risky' assets into the U.S. dollar,U.S. Treasury debt,the Japanese Yen and debt markets all around the world. Normal 0




Emerging markets were not spared the rout; the MSCI Emerging Markets Index fell by 66% between November 2008 and November 2009. Since then,it has rallied by 116% providing impetus for foreign investors to foray back into markets such as the Nairobi bourse.



These foreign funds that have provided the froth in the real-estate market and will once again do so in the stock market.



'Foreign investors are propping up the stock market after local investors opted to ship out and invest in the bond market where returns are more attractive.



But as the share prices sea-saw,market experts say the expected third quarter financial performance announcement is what will firm the price movement to either pick an upward trend or meltdown.



In the week ending October 9,the NSE 20 share index,which tracks share price movements at the bourse,lost 54 points to settle at 2,987.2 points; the first time the index closed the week below the 3,000 mark since mid June...'



Read more:



http://www.nation.co.ke/.../-/if955fz/-/index.html



Hi-Lo
#38 Posted : Friday, October 23, 2009 1:28:00 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 10/5/2007
Posts: 91
...hey @KK...u using SK as depository of your research source materials? Man,buy your own bigger HD...

Playing the stock market without insider info...is like buying a cow in the moonlight.
kangi
#39 Posted : Friday, October 23, 2009 5:19:00 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 7/23/2009
Posts: 526
@ KK I really like the posts/research that u do on this forum esp on how the posts r done one in the mornin n the other in the evenin. it has really enhanced my knowlegde in terms of the global undercurrents and their effect.My advice 2 all skerians,follow the links and lets contribute in terms of how our local economy and where we can capitalise on.

KK pse assist us on the apropriate positions or scenarios that can b taken.Otherwise keep up the good work.

As a rule of thumb ignore negative critics
Accept no one's definition of your life; define your life.
Kinuthiakaranja
#40 Posted : Saturday, October 24, 2009 8:00:00 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 10/2/2009
Posts: 71
@Kangi

Thank you for your kind words and encouragement.

'With all thy getting get understanding.' - Steve Forbes

I have had the fortune to experience two bull markets,one in commodities (2001 - present) and the other in the NSE (2001 - 2006). I have been even more fortunate to experience three bear markets,one in the NSE (1997 - 2001),NSE (2006 - present) and the U.S. (2007 - present).

In that time,I have learnt from investing greats such as Warren Buffet,Benjamin Graham,Peter Lynch,Jim Rogers,Jim Sinclair,Monty Guild,Jim Puplava as well as the master of time,Martin Armstrong.

Great fortunes have been made by intrepid or courageous investors who get in at the genesis of a bull market and ride it all through. Recent examples have been the 1968-1980 commodity bull run,1982-1989 Japan asset bubble,1994-2000 Dot Com bubble and 2001-present commodity bull run.

Martin Armstrong and Jim Rogers have predicted the peak of the current commodity bull run to be in 2015 - 2016. This period will also exhibit a decline in the value of the U.S. Dollar versus a basket of major currencies,possibly culminating in a Dollar crisis. In addition,investors will sell government debt leading to flows into the stock market. As a result,interest rates in developed nations are poised to rise significantly and so are the stock markets.

Unlike most bull markets,one that involves commodities permeates all of organized society. Producers dance whilst consumers grimace. At $120 per barrel oil,the Gulf States had reserves worth $1 trillion,the highest for the region in history.

To benefit,an investor has a myriad of options. The most trodden path is to purchase gold and silver bullion and coins e.g. British sovereigns,American Gold Eagles and Buffalos,Canadian Maple Leafs,Austrian Philharmonics and Australian Kangaroos. An allocation of between 5-33% of your liquid net worth is recommended as a hedge against the decline in purchasing power. The investor can then add on selected gold and silver mining equities.

Selected currencies such as the Canadian Dollar and Swiss Franc also provide protection. An investor may choose further diversification by investing in crude oil producers and fertilizer companies.

A truly hands on approach is engagement in farming of internationally traded cash crops such as wheat,maize,soyabeans,sugar,cotton and coffee which are set to benefit from investment flows.

Lastly,sophisticated investors may speculate in the gold and silver futures market or forex market with a bias towards anti-dollar currencies such as Euro,Yen,Australian Dollar,New Zealand Kiwi and Norwegian Krona.
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