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CFC Stanbic FY 2013 PAT up a whopping 70%
the deal
#11 Posted : Friday, February 28, 2014 8:23:37 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
These are stunning set of results...well beyond expectations...the bank retooled its balance sheet again in 2013...instead of lending to banks & packing money at Central Banks...the bank is now lending to customers...net effect of this new strategy is strong growth in net advances.

Meanwhile the bank continues to gain market share from the likes of KCB and Equity Bank as evidenced by the strong growth in customer deposits.

I expect 2014 to be another year of stunning growth.

I expect loan book growth, South Sudan (banker of the government) & non interest income to drive growth in 2014.

Fair Value is now at Ksh200.

sparkly
#12 Posted : Friday, February 28, 2014 10:49:26 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
the deal wrote:


Fair Value is now at Ksh200.



250 buy buy buy.
Life is short. Live passionately.
jerry
#13 Posted : Friday, February 28, 2014 11:56:23 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/29/2006
Posts: 2,570
sparkly wrote:
the deal wrote:


Fair Value is now at Ksh200.



250 buy buy buy.

And it's not a joke.
The opposite of courage is not cowardice, it's conformity.
Aguytrying
#14 Posted : Saturday, March 01, 2014 7:10:52 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
I wish they gave a bonus after performing so well. eps is now very close to I and M. this could turn out into another equity vs KCB.
the impressive thing is they can still grow again this year, >20%. fair value with the sustained momentum at least 150.00.
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
dunkang
#15 Posted : Saturday, March 01, 2014 8:40:47 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/2/2011
Posts: 4,824
Location: -1.2107, 36.8831
1st Half 2013 EPS was around 5.9, that means for the 2nd half 2013, they managed EPS of 7.0. (note that 1st half had elections and GoK had frozen paying contractors).

So, using the 2nd half EPS to project the future, that means EPS for FY2014 can be 14/-. Using a conservative PER of 12x, then this stock should be around 168/- this year.

Note that I used a very mean EPS meaning it will grow at 8% (12.95 to 14.00, for 2012-2013, they managed 31% growth), and the PER is for a stagnating company ( the likes of Standard Chartered and Barclays that seems to have reached menopause).

HOWEVER, THE DIVIDEND PAYOUT IS TOO SMALL! THEY NEED TO ATTRACT DIVIDEND HUNTERS.
Receive with simplicity everything that happens to you.” ― Rashi

mwekez@ji
#16 Posted : Saturday, March 01, 2014 10:28:24 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
@the deal, you have it on this one. Us others are just very conservative
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#17 Posted : Saturday, March 01, 2014 11:35:01 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,225
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
sparkly wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
Very conservative valuation that comrade @$PT. With the impressive run rate, should be looking at PER of >13x, minimum fair value Kes. 169, >59% upside!


Amen to that!

@SufficientlyP
Angelica _ann
#18 Posted : Saturday, March 01, 2014 7:03:41 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,935
Great! interesting reading. #teamcfcstanbic all the way.
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
CASHFLOW202
#19 Posted : Sunday, March 02, 2014 12:08:47 AM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 4/6/2013
Posts: 95
Bulls eye
Monopoly was the industrial age money game and the name of the new game of money today in the information age is CASHFLOW
Metasploit
#20 Posted : Monday, March 03, 2014 1:38:31 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 985
Location: Dar es salaam,Tanzania

CFC coming to sub 100!

The shakeout is welcome.

#get rid of the sellers

β€œThe pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.”
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