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CFC Stanbic FY 2013 PAT up a whopping 70%
mwekez@ji
#1 Posted : Friday, February 28, 2014 4:51:38 PM
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Joined: 5/31/2011
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the deal
#2 Posted : Friday, February 28, 2014 5:03:32 PM
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Joined: 9/25/2009
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Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
Thats my bank...! Applause!
Cde Monomotapa
#3 Posted : Friday, February 28, 2014 5:18:50 PM
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Joined: 1/13/2011
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Clear set of results. Brilliant. Interesting trend the rotation to treasuries. 25B for CFC, KCB rotated some 22.5B from HTM and added to AFS. Interesting. Maybe those Bonds that went underwater industry wide are back in the Black.
cnn
#4 Posted : Friday, February 28, 2014 5:24:27 PM
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Joined: 6/17/2009
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But EPS up 31% and dividend yield at current price is 2.3%.
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#5 Posted : Friday, February 28, 2014 6:49:06 PM
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Joined: 9/23/2010
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Giving it a trailing PER of 10 with an EPS of 12.97, a 20% rise above MPS is still achievable!
@SufficientlyP
mwekez@ji
#6 Posted : Friday, February 28, 2014 7:08:57 PM
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Very conservative valuation that comrade @$PT. With the impressive run rate, should be looking at PER of >13x, minimum fair value Kes. 169, >59% upside!
cnn
#7 Posted : Friday, February 28, 2014 7:39:34 PM
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mwekez@ji wrote:
Very conservative valuation that comrade @$PT. With the impressive run rate, should be looking at PER of >13x, minimum fair value Kes. 169, >59% upside!

@mwekezaji...remember the market gave it a PER of around 6-7(compared with around 10 for other banks) for long periods last year until the first quarter and half year results pointed to robust full year earnings.Partly i venture it is due to the dividend policy...very mean.....,and they have repeated the same.Contrast with HF who are increasing earnings at almost the same rate but have more than double the dividend yield at Cfc.
sparkly
#8 Posted : Friday, February 28, 2014 7:48:04 PM
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mwekez@ji wrote:
Very conservative valuation that comrade @$PT. With the impressive run rate, should be looking at PER of >13x, minimum fair value Kes. 169, >59% upside!


Amen to that!
Life is short. Live passionately.
mwekez@ji
#9 Posted : Friday, February 28, 2014 7:52:45 PM
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Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
@cnn, this market has in the past undervalued this counter which should change with the now proven track record. I consider the counter a growth stock and hence may not give a high weightage to the dividend when valuing it.

we may however note that dividend has this time been increase by a high 194.5%. This i dint expect! a signal to change in dividend policy¿ we shall tell as we progress
dunkang
#10 Posted : Friday, February 28, 2014 7:57:31 PM
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Receive with simplicity everything that happens to you.” ― Rashi

the deal
#11 Posted : Friday, February 28, 2014 8:23:37 PM
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Joined: 9/25/2009
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Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
These are stunning set of results...well beyond expectations...the bank retooled its balance sheet again in 2013...instead of lending to banks & packing money at Central Banks...the bank is now lending to customers...net effect of this new strategy is strong growth in net advances.

Meanwhile the bank continues to gain market share from the likes of KCB and Equity Bank as evidenced by the strong growth in customer deposits.

I expect 2014 to be another year of stunning growth.

I expect loan book growth, South Sudan (banker of the government) & non interest income to drive growth in 2014.

Fair Value is now at Ksh200.

sparkly
#12 Posted : Friday, February 28, 2014 10:49:26 PM
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the deal wrote:


Fair Value is now at Ksh200.



250 buy buy buy.
Life is short. Live passionately.
jerry
#13 Posted : Friday, February 28, 2014 11:56:23 PM
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Posts: 2,570
sparkly wrote:
the deal wrote:


Fair Value is now at Ksh200.



250 buy buy buy.

And it's not a joke.
The opposite of courage is not cowardice, it's conformity.
Aguytrying
#14 Posted : Saturday, March 01, 2014 7:10:52 AM
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Joined: 7/11/2010
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I wish they gave a bonus after performing so well. eps is now very close to I and M. this could turn out into another equity vs KCB.
the impressive thing is they can still grow again this year, >20%. fair value with the sustained momentum at least 150.00.
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
dunkang
#15 Posted : Saturday, March 01, 2014 8:40:47 AM
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Joined: 6/2/2011
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Location: -1.2107, 36.8831
1st Half 2013 EPS was around 5.9, that means for the 2nd half 2013, they managed EPS of 7.0. (note that 1st half had elections and GoK had frozen paying contractors).

So, using the 2nd half EPS to project the future, that means EPS for FY2014 can be 14/-. Using a conservative PER of 12x, then this stock should be around 168/- this year.

Note that I used a very mean EPS meaning it will grow at 8% (12.95 to 14.00, for 2012-2013, they managed 31% growth), and the PER is for a stagnating company ( the likes of Standard Chartered and Barclays that seems to have reached menopause).

HOWEVER, THE DIVIDEND PAYOUT IS TOO SMALL! THEY NEED TO ATTRACT DIVIDEND HUNTERS.
Receive with simplicity everything that happens to you.” ― Rashi

mwekez@ji
#16 Posted : Saturday, March 01, 2014 10:28:24 AM
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Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
@the deal, you have it on this one. Us others are just very conservative
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#17 Posted : Saturday, March 01, 2014 11:35:01 AM
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Joined: 9/23/2010
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Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
sparkly wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
Very conservative valuation that comrade @$PT. With the impressive run rate, should be looking at PER of >13x, minimum fair value Kes. 169, >59% upside!


Amen to that!

@SufficientlyP
Angelica _ann
#18 Posted : Saturday, March 01, 2014 7:03:41 PM
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Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,908
Great! interesting reading. #teamcfcstanbic all the way.
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
CASHFLOW202
#19 Posted : Sunday, March 02, 2014 12:08:47 AM
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Joined: 4/6/2013
Posts: 95
Bulls eye
Monopoly was the industrial age money game and the name of the new game of money today in the information age is CASHFLOW
Metasploit
#20 Posted : Monday, March 03, 2014 1:38:31 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 985
Location: Dar es salaam,Tanzania

CFC coming to sub 100!

The shakeout is welcome.

#get rid of the sellers

“The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.”
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