Wazua
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CFC Stanbic FY 2013 PAT up a whopping 70%
Rank: Chief Joined: 5/31/2011 Posts: 5,121
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/25/2009 Posts: 4,534 Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
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Thats my bank...! Applause!
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Rank: Chief Joined: 1/13/2011 Posts: 5,964
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Clear set of results. Brilliant. Interesting trend the rotation to treasuries. 25B for CFC, KCB rotated some 22.5B from HTM and added to AFS. Interesting. Maybe those Bonds that went underwater industry wide are back in the Black.
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 6/17/2009 Posts: 1,619
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But EPS up 31% and dividend yield at current price is 2.3%.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/23/2010 Posts: 2,221 Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
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Giving it a trailing PER of 10 with an EPS of 12.97, a 20% rise above MPS is still achievable! @SufficientlyP
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Rank: Chief Joined: 5/31/2011 Posts: 5,121
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Very conservative valuation that comrade @$PT. With the impressive run rate, should be looking at PER of >13x, minimum fair value Kes. 169, >59% upside!
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 6/17/2009 Posts: 1,619
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mwekez@ji wrote:Very conservative valuation that comrade @$PT. With the impressive run rate, should be looking at PER of >13x, minimum fair value Kes. 169, >59% upside! @mwekezaji...remember the market gave it a PER of around 6-7(compared with around 10 for other banks) for long periods last year until the first quarter and half year results pointed to robust full year earnings.Partly i venture it is due to the dividend policy...very mean.....,and they have repeated the same.Contrast with HF who are increasing earnings at almost the same rate but have more than double the dividend yield at Cfc.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/23/2009 Posts: 8,083 Location: Enk are Nyirobi
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mwekez@ji wrote:Very conservative valuation that comrade @$PT. With the impressive run rate, should be looking at PER of >13x, minimum fair value Kes. 169, >59% upside! Amen to that! Life is short. Live passionately.
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Rank: Chief Joined: 5/31/2011 Posts: 5,121
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@cnn, this market has in the past undervalued this counter which should change with the now proven track record. I consider the counter a growth stock and hence may not give a high weightage to the dividend when valuing it.
we may however note that dividend has this time been increase by a high 194.5%. This i dint expect! a signal to change in dividend policy¿ we shall tell as we progress
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/2/2011 Posts: 4,818 Location: -1.2107, 36.8831
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Receive with simplicity everything that happens to you.” ― Rashi
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/25/2009 Posts: 4,534 Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
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These are stunning set of results...well beyond expectations...the bank retooled its balance sheet again in 2013...instead of lending to banks & packing money at Central Banks...the bank is now lending to customers...net effect of this new strategy is strong growth in net advances.
Meanwhile the bank continues to gain market share from the likes of KCB and Equity Bank as evidenced by the strong growth in customer deposits.
I expect 2014 to be another year of stunning growth.
I expect loan book growth, South Sudan (banker of the government) & non interest income to drive growth in 2014.
Fair Value is now at Ksh200.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/23/2009 Posts: 8,083 Location: Enk are Nyirobi
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the deal wrote:
Fair Value is now at Ksh200.
250 buy buy buy. Life is short. Live passionately.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/29/2006 Posts: 2,570
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sparkly wrote:the deal wrote:
Fair Value is now at Ksh200.
250 buy buy buy. And it's not a joke. The opposite of courage is not cowardice, it's conformity.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2010 Posts: 5,040
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I wish they gave a bonus after performing so well. eps is now very close to I and M. this could turn out into another equity vs KCB. the impressive thing is they can still grow again this year, >20%. fair value with the sustained momentum at least 150.00. The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/2/2011 Posts: 4,818 Location: -1.2107, 36.8831
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1st Half 2013 EPS was around 5.9, that means for the 2nd half 2013, they managed EPS of 7.0. (note that 1st half had elections and GoK had frozen paying contractors). So, using the 2nd half EPS to project the future, that means EPS for FY2014 can be 14/-. Using a conservative PER of 12x, then this stock should be around 168/- this year. Note that I used a very mean EPS meaning it will grow at 8% (12.95 to 14.00, for 2012-2013, they managed 31% growth), and the PER is for a stagnating company ( the likes of Standard Chartered and Barclays that seems to have reached menopause). HOWEVER, THE DIVIDEND PAYOUT IS TOO SMALL! THEY NEED TO ATTRACT DIVIDEND HUNTERS. Receive with simplicity everything that happens to you.” ― Rashi
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Rank: Chief Joined: 5/31/2011 Posts: 5,121
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@the deal, you have it on this one. Us others are just very conservative
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/23/2010 Posts: 2,221 Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
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sparkly wrote:mwekez@ji wrote:Very conservative valuation that comrade @$PT. With the impressive run rate, should be looking at PER of >13x, minimum fair value Kes. 169, >59% upside! Amen to that! @SufficientlyP
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/7/2012 Posts: 11,908
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Great! interesting reading. #teamcfcstanbic all the way. In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
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Rank: New-farer Joined: 4/6/2013 Posts: 95
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Bulls eye Monopoly was the industrial age money game and the name of the new game of money today in the information age is CASHFLOW
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 3/26/2012 Posts: 985 Location: Dar es salaam,Tanzania
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CFC coming to sub 100! The shakeout is welcome. #get rid of the sellers “The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.”
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CFC Stanbic FY 2013 PAT up a whopping 70%
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