From what I gather 11% of profits came from SS for KCB. For discussion purposes, if the SS profit in 2014 is halved then the hurt will be in the EPS. Applying a PER to the EPS means the price MAY [not will] fall. KCB has been playing fast & loose with NPL exposure. Look at the 3Q results with a HUGE net exposure to NPLs. This will grow with SS problems if they have lent to entities with assets [cars, trucks] stuck in SS.
I think NIC, DTB & I&M are better bets with growth in more stable but less profitable countries like Rwanda & Tanzania.
Who is going to deposit cash into KCB (SS) at this time? If anything, folks will go to take their cash out. During a war or panic, cash is 'valuable' in hand not in a bank account!
Longer Term: I expect SS to calm down & that's the time I will look at KCB [hoping the price falls substantially]
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett