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EABL HY 2014 results
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Aguytrying
#41 Posted : Wednesday, February 19, 2014 1:10:39 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
dunkang wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
dunkang wrote:
pnyaga wrote:
Wait for it at 90 bob!


That will be SUPERB for me. Pray Pray Pray
Just like @Young, am looking for 3-5 stocks that i will hold for a very long time (undefined), and EABL is a strong contender, if the right price comes up!


A good strategy. Been thinking of it too. By the way, @young's strategy is very similar to @warren buffets. he doesnt wait for bargains anymore. what do you think of these candidates.


NMG
SAFCOM

EQUITY BANK
DIAMOND TRUST BANK
HFCK
PAN AFRICA
JUBILEE

EABL
BAMBURI
ARM
BAT
CROWN PAINTS

But only on beaten down prices like 2011/2009 prices or equivalent


In your selection, this is how i "feel"

NMG
SAFCOM

EQUITY BANK
DIAMOND TRUST BANK
HFCK
PAN AFRICA
JUBILEE

EABL
BAMBURI
ARM
BAT
CROWN PAINTS


At least we agree on six. Im seeing EABL, BAMBURI and DTB on the strike range for me.

Notice how balanced my picks are, esp in financials, and only companies i know will be making sustainable profits and BIGGER versions of themselves will be around even 30 years from now.
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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Metasploit
#42 Posted : Wednesday, February 19, 2014 1:14:28 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 985
Location: Dar es salaam,Tanzania
200 coming!

A low of 200 will test today!

Indicators show that EABL is seriously oversold BUT the bid-asks show that sellers still have the energy.Big boys seeking an exit and the market just began another cycle of correction from Monday.

The NSE 20 share index has been on an RSI of 30-32 since 3th Feb with two DCBs.


“The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.”
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Metasploit
#43 Posted : Wednesday, February 19, 2014 1:21:32 PM
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Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 985
Location: Dar es salaam,Tanzania
Bids are changing.

210 might be the floor in the short term

“The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.”
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hisah
#44 Posted : Wednesday, February 19, 2014 2:10:39 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Metasploit wrote:
200 coming!

A low of 200 will test today!

Indicators show that EABL is seriously oversold BUT the bid-asks show that sellers still have the energy.Big boys seeking an exit and the market just began another cycle of correction from Monday.

The NSE 20 share index has been on an RSI of 30-32 since 3th Feb with two DCBs.


EABL sag effect... Now I wonder if both EABL and mpesa bank had been on the same hard sellside boat...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Metasploit
#45 Posted : Wednesday, February 19, 2014 2:25:48 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 985
Location: Dar es salaam,Tanzania
hisah wrote:
Metasploit wrote:
200 coming!

A low of 200 will test today!

Indicators show that EABL is seriously oversold BUT the bid-asks show that sellers still have the energy.Big boys seeking an exit and the market just began another cycle of correction from Monday.

The NSE 20 share index has been on an RSI of 30-32 since 3th Feb with two DCBs.


EABL sag effect... Now I wonder if both EABL and mpesa bank had been on the same hard sellside boat...


I wondered the same!

From Friday Mpesa is exhibiting trend reversal behaviour!

Sold all my holdings today at 11.60!I will make a comeback on it after April 29th targeting a sell on or before May 24

“The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.”
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PKoli
#46 Posted : Wednesday, February 19, 2014 4:01:00 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/10/2007
Posts: 1,587
hisah wrote:
Metasploit wrote:
200 coming!

A low of 200 will test today!

Indicators show that EABL is seriously oversold BUT the bid-asks show that sellers still have the energy.Big boys seeking an exit and the market just began another cycle of correction from Monday.

The NSE 20 share index has been on an RSI of 30-32 since 3th Feb with two DCBs.


EABL sag effect... Now I wonder if both EABL and mpesa bank had been on the same hard sellside boat...


I will gladly welcome EABL at 200. Most likely the trend will reverse tomorrow. Reasonable demand came in today and will most likely be sustained.
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Aguytrying
#47 Posted : Wednesday, February 19, 2014 5:14:39 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
PKoli wrote:
hisah wrote:
Metasploit wrote:
200 coming!

A low of 200 will test today!

Indicators show that EABL is seriously oversold BUT the bid-asks show that sellers still have the energy.Big boys seeking an exit and the market just began another cycle of correction from Monday.

The NSE 20 share index has been on an RSI of 30-32 since 3th Feb with two DCBs.


EABL sag effect... Now I wonder if both EABL and mpesa bank had been on the same hard sellside boat...


I will gladly welcome EABL at 200. Most likely the trend will reverse tomorrow. Reasonable demand came in today and will most likely be sustained.


I have wondered for a long time if ill get an opportunity to invest in this bluer than blue blue chip, uncertainty surrounding future is making it possible
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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Metasploit
#48 Posted : Wednesday, February 19, 2014 5:18:30 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 985
Location: Dar es salaam,Tanzania
PKoli wrote:
hisah wrote:
Metasploit wrote:
200 coming!

A low of 200 will test today!

Indicators show that EABL is seriously oversold BUT the bid-asks show that sellers still have the energy.Big boys seeking an exit and the market just began another cycle of correction from Monday.

The NSE 20 share index has been on an RSI of 30-32 since 3th Feb with two DCBs.


EABL sag effect... Now I wonder if both EABL and mpesa bank had been on the same hard sellside boat...


I will gladly welcome EABL at 200. Most likely the trend will reverse tomorrow. Reasonable demand came in today and will most likely be sustained.


That volume spike!

And with 63% Net Foreign BUY (Although as days go by this is slowly losing meaning)

The floor is at 210 and a bounce is on the offing.

I also saw sizable bids that MIGHT support Mpesa at 11.40-11.50 but lets wait and see what happens tomorrow and Friday

Now wondering whether i should load more of cfc stanbic at 95-101 or get a position on Eabl!

I am 50% liquid after liquidating 100% safcom and 50% HFCK.

After liquidating CFC i will be 40-45% UP in 2014

“The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.”
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PeterReborn
#49 Posted : Thursday, February 20, 2014 3:08:49 PM
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Joined: 1/3/2014
Posts: 1,063
Seems 200 aint coming soon.There is no supply at 240.We are headed to 250.
Consistency is better than intensity
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PKoli
#50 Posted : Thursday, February 20, 2014 3:50:10 PM
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Joined: 2/10/2007
Posts: 1,587
PeterReborn wrote:
Seems 200 aint coming soon.There is no supply at 240.We are headed to 250.


220 was too juicy. I could see the reversal coming.
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underweight
#51 Posted : Thursday, February 20, 2014 7:35:47 PM
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Joined: 1/25/2009
Posts: 184
Location: For now El-Fashier - Darfur
I missed the opportunity yesterday and today as I was far away from my online trading in remote part of this country. I never expected that sharp reversal.....Will it really be sustained with the world Markets tumbling and the strengthening of the Kenya Shilling? I'll still wait for it at 220 and below! Meanwhile lets hope its a sucker rally but the volumes says a lot.
"A bad decision made now is beta that a good one made later!!"
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PeterReborn
#52 Posted : Friday, February 21, 2014 11:35:48 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 1/3/2014
Posts: 1,063
underweight wrote:
I missed the opportunity yesterday and today as I was far away from my online trading in remote part of this country. I never expected that sharp reversal.....Will it really be sustained with the world Markets tumbling and the strengthening of the Kenya Shilling? I'll still wait for it at 220 and below! Meanwhile lets hope its a sucker rally but the volumes says a lot.


Well lets hope so.The volumes are definitely telling a lot.There is huge demand with no supply.I will not be surprised if we end the day at the 260s.
Consistency is better than intensity
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mibbz
#53 Posted : Friday, February 21, 2014 11:45:00 AM
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Joined: 2/18/2011
Posts: 448
With EABL at 248 and supply tappering off;who's still waiting for ksh 200? NMG is attractive at current price though
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hisah
#54 Posted : Friday, February 21, 2014 2:08:00 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
The way this thing has cratered through the critical support levels, it'll take a while to repair that damage. Current cartoon reads too oversold and thus a bounce is in order. I'll be surprised if the bounce scales above 280. Scope still remains 200 will be tested and depending on the down pressure an overshoot down to 180 levels... Btw those that grabbed some 2013 are in the red...

I believe a proper buy window will come, but not now...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Aguytrying
#55 Posted : Friday, February 21, 2014 2:11:30 PM
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Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
the volumes are unconvincing for eabl, fingers crossed its a sucker rally
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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PKoli
#56 Posted : Friday, February 21, 2014 2:26:21 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/10/2007
Posts: 1,587
PeterReborn wrote:
underweight wrote:
I missed the opportunity yesterday and today as I was far away from my online trading in remote part of this country. I never expected that sharp reversal.....Will it really be sustained with the world Markets tumbling and the strengthening of the Kenya Shilling? I'll still wait for it at 220 and below! Meanwhile lets hope its a sucker rally but the volumes says a lot.


Well lets hope so.The volumes are definitely telling a lot.There is huge demand with no supply.I will not be surprised if we end the day at the 260s.


260 not possible due to the 10% limit.
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hisah
#57 Posted : Friday, February 21, 2014 2:31:45 PM
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Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
PKoli wrote:
PeterReborn wrote:
underweight wrote:
I missed the opportunity yesterday and today as I was far away from my online trading in remote part of this country. I never expected that sharp reversal.....Will it really be sustained with the world Markets tumbling and the strengthening of the Kenya Shilling? I'll still wait for it at 220 and below! Meanwhile lets hope its a sucker rally but the volumes says a lot.


Well lets hope so.The volumes are definitely telling a lot.There is huge demand with no supply.I will not be surprised if we end the day at the 260s.


260 not possible due to the 10% limit.

I didn't mean today, my opinion is about the expected bounce heading towards 280.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Aguytrying
#58 Posted : Friday, February 21, 2014 2:58:26 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
hisah wrote:
The way this thing has cratered through the critical support levels, it'll take a while to repair that damage. Current cartoon reads too oversold and thus a bounce is in order. I'll be surprised if the bounce scales above 280. Scope still remains 200 will be tested and depending on the down pressure an overshoot down to 180 levels... Btw those that grabbed some 2013 are in the red...

I believe a proper buy window will come, but not now...


this sounds like music to my ears
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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Metasploit
#59 Posted : Monday, February 24, 2014 2:50:21 PM
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Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 985
Location: Dar es salaam,Tanzania
Share price rallied on below average volumes with supressed supply.

T4 almost cleared from the bottom price (that volume spike day) and some good supply start to show up;

Bids;

Qnt Price Splits
1200 267 1
5000 266 1
34,600 265 1
800 262 1
6500 260 1

Asks:

89,400 268 5

Demand is not soo convincing!Will it come tumbling like Kengen after the DCB ??

Does the relative big volume bid at 265 ksh indicate possible greed at this level(250-260) in the short term ? Time will tell

“The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.”
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Metasploit
#60 Posted : Monday, February 24, 2014 3:07:53 PM
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Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 985
Location: Dar es salaam,Tanzania
And the price revisions on asks starts;

56,700 267 2
25,000 268 2

Lets watch the supply behaviour tomorrow

“The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.”
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