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Realities of Forex Investment
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The Merchant
#2441 Posted : Thursday, February 06, 2014 9:20:28 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/24/2010
Posts: 846
Location: KENYA
hisah wrote:
Back in 1981 - http://tinyurl.com/ojm4xbs

And in 2013 - http://www.bloomberg.com...cks-as-locals-sell.html

This nikkei is projecting how 2014 train wreck will play out...

HEHEHEEHEHEEE....How times do change my friend.
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Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#2442 Posted : Thursday, February 06, 2014 7:13:06 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,221
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
The ECB MPS & press conference found me bullish on the EUR/USD pair!
What a ride,
!!100pips plus to post 3600 on a decent size!wowsmile I just had to shout hallelujahsmile
Now awaiting the NFPs tomorrow!
@Hisah,your GBP/JPY short must have paid off handsomely Tuesday!
@SufficientlyP
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mnunuzi
#2443 Posted : Thursday, February 06, 2014 10:27:48 PM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 11/15/2013
Posts: 34
Buying eurchf on dips to 1.2220s sl 50pips. Its a snail trade.
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hisah
#2444 Posted : Friday, February 07, 2014 4:25:29 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
The ECB MPS & press conference found me bullish on the EUR/USD pair!
What a ride,
!!100pips plus to post 3600 on a decent size!wowsmile I just had to shout hallelujahsmile
Now awaiting the NFPs tomorrow!
@Hisah,your GBP/JPY short must have paid off handsomely Tuesday!

Yep. Tuesday cratered a lot of yen bears. Still holding half on the GBPJPY short with SL at breakeven.

Currently tracking NFP and since most indices have rallied before this event, I expect the steam to be erased by end of next week. I'll stay on the sidelines today and wait for that spike rally and look for selling levels for next week. The rallies are still creaking. Just huffing and puffing to nowhere. Feb is still a sell side month.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#2445 Posted : Friday, February 07, 2014 9:49:34 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,221
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
hisah wrote:
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
The ECB MPS & press conference found me bullish on the EUR/USD pair!
What a ride,
!!100pips plus to post 3600 on a decent size!wowsmile I just had to shout hallelujahsmile
Now awaiting the NFPs tomorrow!
@Hisah,your GBP/JPY short must have paid off handsomely Tuesday!

Yep. Tuesday cratered a lot of yen bears. Still holding half on the GBPJPY short with SL at breakeven.

Currently tracking NFP and since most indices have rallied before this event, I expect the steam to be erased by end of next week. I'll stay on the sidelines today and wait for that spike rally and look for selling levels for next week. The rallies are still creaking. Just huffing and puffing to nowhere. Feb is still a sell side month.

NFP figures disappoint and the USD gets a nice shavesmile
Looked for a trading signal,got one,and bailed before the sharks stopped bysmile
All gains it(USD) had made on further taper by Fed Wed last week erased.
#volatility
Thanks for the GBPJPY call. Always a tricky trading pair.
@SufficientlyP
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hisah
#2446 Posted : Thursday, February 13, 2014 4:34:50 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
I continue to remain bullish on gold this year as well as the yen. For when the markets set in the top (risky assets selloff hard), the above will rally in the process.

GBPJPY is still my fancied trade. Trade it with caution since it has a habit of chopping wildly just like a beast...

Gold has already surpassed 1280 and on course to test 1300 which means bulls are taking the wheel. Bulls targets are 1350 and 1430 (sept 2013 high). Beyond those levels, bears will start sweating...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#2447 Posted : Tuesday, February 18, 2014 7:29:37 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
When the chings take over the futures markets, the western world will be... The signal appeared here - http://www.reuters.com/a...0FI0ZE20130712?irpc=932

Already silver is doing wonders this month. I expect gold/silver to rally hard as the east takes over!

Up next is crude oil. If the east grabs it too, price will dip.

The best show has began. Now they'll understand why the chingman was hoarding rare earth metal etc.

This USD hegemony aka petrodollar...

Let the defaults begin smile And they'll be plenty globally maybe till 2016...!

**A debasement event is definitely coming and it'll be instantly**
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Cde Monomotapa
#2448 Posted : Tuesday, February 18, 2014 7:46:41 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
^Zimbabwe Plans Shanghai, Dubai Sales for Marange Diamonds http://www.bloomberg.com...or-marange-diamonds.html
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hisah
#2449 Posted : Friday, February 21, 2014 4:54:04 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Just a world of caution...

In my small trading world I have come to dread Feb - Apr global equity rallies on the major marts especially when trying to reclaim multi yr highs or all time highs. A selloff always ensues suddenly and the selloff skids to 15% or overshoots to 20% at times with the year ending negative...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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mnunuzi
#2450 Posted : Monday, March 03, 2014 2:45:29 AM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 11/15/2013
Posts: 34
Hii mafuta inunuliwe. Couldnt resist the opportunity to go long as the market digests the Ukraine situation. Btw, if anyone is looking for training on trading within Nairobi, I wouldn't turn down an opportunity to raise more capital, just not into managing funds. Email me traderfx990@gmail.com
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hisah
#2451 Posted : Monday, March 03, 2014 4:23:07 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Euroswiss fortress @1.20 and breakdown. That's where the real fight will begin...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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tonicasert
#2452 Posted : Monday, March 03, 2014 6:35:31 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/10/2008
Posts: 301
Location: Abu Dhabi
EUR/USD has finally traded the 1 year resistance of 1.38, time for a pullback? Breakout may mean 1.45 as the next big target.
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alutacontinua
#2453 Posted : Monday, March 03, 2014 11:33:02 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/23/2011
Posts: 304
Russia CB raises interest rates by 150 basis points......MICEX now down 10% for the day. Week ahead has RBA, BOC, BOE and ECB meetings while the situation in Ukraine looks to be escalating.....watching commodities very closely.

@hisah thanks for the caution of a possible 15% - 20% sell off in the markets especially after the record highs. How long have you been trading if i may ask?
You dont have to be great to START but you have to start to be GREAT!!!!!!!!
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hisah
#2454 Posted : Monday, March 03, 2014 3:22:43 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Short GBPJPY initiated during Asia session @169.90 with an open objective for now. I still expect this thing to test 162. Yen is growing legs as per yen futures positioning.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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mchambuzi
#2455 Posted : Monday, March 03, 2014 5:26:12 PM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 11/17/2013
Posts: 80
Location: Juja
Gone short eurusd sl 1.3820 looking to book 2/3 position size at 1.3705/10 area
On a long enough timeline, the life expectancy of everyone drops to zero.
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mnunuzi
#2456 Posted : Monday, March 03, 2014 6:52:47 PM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 11/15/2013
Posts: 34
Bought usdyen here at 101.40. I am just going to assume all the risk aversion and put a safe 50pips stop
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mnunuzi
#2457 Posted : Tuesday, March 04, 2014 11:07:59 PM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 11/15/2013
Posts: 34
smile locking in 40pips
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hisah
#2458 Posted : Wednesday, March 05, 2014 7:20:50 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
@aluta - just seen ur query. Been trading live since 2004. By Apr it'll be a decade in this crazy markets! At least up to 2008 fundies were somewhat usable, but post GFC the casino lost itself. We must be all mad to participate in this madness arena!
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#2459 Posted : Monday, March 10, 2014 7:03:59 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
hisah wrote:
Short GBPJPY initiated during Asia session @169.90 with an open objective for now. I still expect this thing to test 162. Yen is growing legs as per yen futures positioning.

Still sitting in this trade tho the market spiked to 173. SL fixed at 500pips as the beast chops wildly as usual. I'll still stick to long yen in 2014...

My observations are getting hit rapidly: -

- All time highs global stocks as the party continues.
- gold has sprinted and tested $1350
- defaults have started in chingland - Chaori Solar default.

Next shows: -
- yuan-dollar rate spikes to 6.20 - 6.50. Was a spectacular one-way street trade from 7.50. A lot of corp bonds will fry properly as yuan takes it in the chin.

Shows that have delayed: -

-euroswiss peg break down @1.20.
- US 10yr note rate spike above 3%.


If chingland defaults balloon, copper price will fall off the cliff! Large vol on the sell side since 2013.


*feels like Dow 30000 in 2008 or Bear Stearns moments before the shoe fell off...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#2460 Posted : Wednesday, March 12, 2014 2:53:20 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
When a CB is caught up in FX rigging stickiness, then you know SHTF (sh** hits the fan). Thus my GBP selling attraction of late.

http://tinyurl.com/pzkgwol

* Confessions are cranking up in the markets. The 2 never make a pleasant cocktail. *
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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