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How to tell NSE has bottomed out
Cde Monomotapa
#4681 Posted : Tuesday, January 28, 2014 10:14:53 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
mwekez@ji wrote:
Dubai investment bank eyes NSE seat after Jo’burg entry http://www.businessdailyafrica....30/-/4qsnlp/-/index.html


I think that article should be read together with the Capital Market Master Plan for Kenya and see the emphasis on developing Islamic Finance going forward...

Ctrl + F for faster reference.
dunkang
#4682 Posted : Tuesday, January 28, 2014 6:42:14 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/2/2011
Posts: 4,818
Location: -1.2107, 36.8831
dunkang wrote:
ecstacy wrote:
What is the story with BRITAM?..

Real Insurance, Linda Jamii, 12% NSSF 'tax' etc

Real Insurance + Linda Jamii + 12% NSSF 'tax' + Acorn Property Group + ~27 floor upper hill skyscraper
Receive with simplicity everything that happens to you.” ― Rashi

mwekez@ji
#4683 Posted : Tuesday, January 28, 2014 8:35:21 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
dunkang wrote:
dunkang wrote:
ecstacy wrote:
What is the story with BRITAM?..

Real Insurance, Linda Jamii, 12% NSSF 'tax' etc

Real Insurance + Linda Jamii + 12% NSSF 'tax' + Acorn Property Group + ~27 floor upper hill skyscraper


sib reiterates that this counter is now overvalued and i think i agree with them. N'way, i aint invested here and was just reading the below for info.

Britam acquires Real Insurance for KES 1.4bn.
(27.01.2014)

Britam has issued an abridged circular to shareholders on the proposed acquisition of a 99% equity stake in Real Insurance Company Limited (REAL) disclosing the price as KES 1.376bn; KES 825m in cash and KES 550m in share consideration. The shares are priced at KES 11.13 (75 trading days preceding share purchase agreement) resulting in the issuance of 51.9m shares- a 2.7% dilution to ordinary shareholders. The NAV multiple for the transaction at completion is estimated at x2.25 and PE x10.54; which at the current share price is accretive. The extraordinary general meeting to approve the deal is slated for 19 February 2014, with the transaction expected to be complete by 31 March 2014. In determining the acquisition, Britam considered the strong positioning of REAL in non-life insurance, long operational history and customers that comprise leading corporates in Kenya. It also considered the growth prospects given the presence of REAL in promising frontier markets such as Mozambique, Tanzania and Malawi. At KES 18.90, Britam now trades at a 38.5% premium to our valuation of KES 13.68. (Company filing, Standard Investment Bank)
jerry
#4684 Posted : Wednesday, January 29, 2014 11:25:42 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/29/2006
Posts: 2,570
What's up with C&G. 23.81% rise!
The opposite of courage is not cowardice, it's conformity.
The Merchant
#4685 Posted : Wednesday, January 29, 2014 11:26:50 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/24/2010
Posts: 846
Location: KENYA
hisah wrote:
@sparkly - I had put out that converging triangle NSE20 chart sometime back showing the bullish break you are stating. Right now I'm viewing the H&S from 2007 climax point. If you compare the triangle with the inverted H&S pattern, both are bullish. The triangle breakout suggests that 6161 (all time high) will be challenged/tested. The H&S gives a better projection picture on the bullish intent which is 8000 level.

Hydrocarbon play as well as minerals offer that long term support platform to see that parabolic push. But short term looks sideways or a correction then that huge push from that discount window.

I tend to disagree. HnS is typically a reversal pattern. The overall picture here is a continuation which would lend the triangular formation more credibility.
Still, this is rather bullish and yes, the break already happened and we in hyper bullish mode.
Aguytrying
#4686 Posted : Wednesday, January 29, 2014 1:10:16 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
From monday i feel like selling all my stocks. Thats before todays meltdown. Stocks are overvalued now, but how far up can they go? And who has the discipline to sell now.

ION, foreigners are selling, the first time since forever
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
Aguytrying
#4687 Posted : Wednesday, January 29, 2014 1:15:24 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
What does all this red mean, a correction or.. worse
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
mlennyma
#4688 Posted : Wednesday, January 29, 2014 1:20:21 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,182
Location: nairobi
@aguy your success will be measured by how timely you exit and not how your counter gains to its highiest peak.
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
Aguytrying
#4689 Posted : Wednesday, January 29, 2014 1:29:35 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
mlennyma wrote:
@aguy your success will be measured by how timely you exit and not how your counter gains to its highiest peak.


well said
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
hisah
#4690 Posted : Wednesday, January 29, 2014 4:44:13 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Bearish against 180 (double top) on the FTSE NSE15 index weekly chart. The weekly has been toppish since the Nov 24 2013 upthrust week with the roof at 184. Likely for the entire Jan 2014 rally to be erased all the way down to Dec 2013 levels around 165 - 168. If this play out the same will be mirrored on NSE20 which means it'll lose the 5000 handle. Interesting this is happening just before results check in as well as the eurobond uptake. Reminds me of the infamous call back in Feb 2011 when I saw banks selloff hard even after announcing rosy 2010 results and USD went to 90/- and above...



Risk management will be key. Volatility is coming back...

Check post #2 - http://www.wazua.co.ke/f...spx?g=posts&t=11082

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Aguytrying
#4691 Posted : Wednesday, January 29, 2014 10:07:56 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
@hisah. I agree something doesn't add up here. foreigners selling, sharp correction just before announcement. as usual we might know later when it's too late.
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
murchr
#4692 Posted : Thursday, January 30, 2014 5:34:35 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Asian markets shedding hard, the US market closed in the red too...I guess thursday will be another day in the red. Will be interesting to spot those swimming naked
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
holycow
#4693 Posted : Thursday, January 30, 2014 5:57:27 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/11/2006
Posts: 971
Location: Home
Could the Red be associated with tapering of stimulus package by Uncle Ben. BBC mentioned turmoil in emerging markets like Turkey and South Africa.
dunkang
#4694 Posted : Thursday, January 30, 2014 6:59:10 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/2/2011
Posts: 4,818
Location: -1.2107, 36.8831
holycow wrote:
Could the Red be associated with tapering of stimulus package by Uncle Ben. BBC mentioned turmoil in emerging markets like Turkey and South Africa.

We shall overcome.
Receive with simplicity everything that happens to you.” ― Rashi

Metasploit
#4695 Posted : Thursday, January 30, 2014 9:08:27 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 985
Location: Dar es salaam,Tanzania
holycow wrote:
Could the Red be associated with tapering of stimulus package by Uncle Ben. BBC mentioned turmoil in emerging markets like Turkey and South Africa.


There was a dip in global markets!NIKKEI just did a 3.02% decline!!if the NSE did the sameSad Sad we would be back in December

FED Tapered to 65B USD.

“The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.”
mlennyma
#4696 Posted : Thursday, January 30, 2014 9:30:45 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,182
Location: nairobi
Markets have to shake for opportunities to arise..its normal and our nse is still doing good volumes
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
mlennyma
#4697 Posted : Thursday, January 30, 2014 9:56:21 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,182
Location: nairobi
Its another day where the nse grabs and wears a red jersey and wazuans go hiding.
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
heri
#4698 Posted : Thursday, January 30, 2014 9:58:34 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/14/2011
Posts: 834
Location: nairobi
why is coop going down and i thought it had not really rallied like some of the others?
mkonomtupu
#4699 Posted : Thursday, January 30, 2014 10:25:35 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/10/2010
Posts: 1,001
Location: River Road
Glad i stayed in the money market-bargains coming up
mwekez@ji
#4700 Posted : Thursday, January 30, 2014 11:38:57 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
dunkang wrote:
holycow wrote:
Could the Red be associated with tapering of stimulus package by Uncle Ben. BBC mentioned turmoil in emerging markets like Turkey and South Africa.

We shall overcome.

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