wazua Sat, Feb 1, 2025
Welcome Guest Search | Active Topics | Log In | Register

The Self-Attribution Fallacy
masukuma
#1 Posted : Tuesday, January 28, 2014 3:06:48 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/4/2006
Posts: 13,821
Location: Nairobi

The claims that the ultra-rich 1% make for themselves – that they are possessed of unique intelligence or creativity or drive – are examples of the self-attribution fallacy. This means crediting yourself with outcomes for which you weren’t responsible. Many of those who are rich today got there because they were able to capture certain jobs. This capture owes less to talent and intelligence than to a combination of the ruthless exploitation of others and accidents of birth, as such jobs are taken disproportionately by people born in certain places and into certain classes.

The findings of the psychologist Daniel Kahneman, winner of a Nobel economics prize, are devastating to the beliefs that financial high-fliers entertain about themselves. He discovered that their apparent success is a cognitive illusion. For example, he studied the results achieved by 25 wealth advisers, across eight years. He found that the consistency of their performance was zero. “The results resembled what you would expect from a dice-rolling contest, not a game of skill.” Those who received the biggest bonuses had simply got lucky.

Such results have been widely replicated. They show that traders and fund managers across Wall Street receive their massive remuneration for doing no better than would a chimpanzee flipping a coin. When Kahneman tried to point this out they blanked him. “The illusion of skill … is deeply ingrained in their culture.”

So much for the financial sector and its super-educated analysts. As for other kinds of business, you tell me. Is your boss possessed of judgement, vision and management skills superior to those of anyone else in the firm, or did he or she get there through bluff, bullshit and bullying?

In a study published by the journal Psychology, Crime and Law, Belinda Board and Katarina Fritzon tested 39 senior managers and chief executives from leading British businesses. They compared the results to the same tests on patients at Broadmoor special hospital, where people who have been convicted of serious crimes are incarcerated. On certain indicators of psychopathy, the bosses’s scores either matched or exceeded those of the patients. In fact on these criteria they beat even the subset of patients who had been diagnosed with psychopathic personality disorders.

The psychopathic traits on which the bosses scored so highly, Board and Fritzon point out, closely resemble the characteristics that companies look for. Those who have these traits often possess great skill in flattering and manipulating powerful people. Egocentricity, a strong sense of entitlement, a readiness to exploit others and a lack of empathy and conscience are also unlikely to damage their prospects in many corporations.

In their book Snakes in Suits, Paul Babiak and Robert Hare point out that as the old corporate bureaucracies have been replaced by flexible, ever-changing structures, and as team players are deemed less valuable than competitive risk-takers, psychopathic traits are more likely to be selected and rewarded. Reading their work, it seems to me that if you have psychopathic tendencies and are born to a poor family you’re likely to go to prison. If you have psychopathic tendencies and are born to a rich family you’re likely to go to business school.

This is not to suggest that all executives are psychopaths. It is to suggest that the economy has been rewarding the wrong skills. As the bosses have shaken off the trade unions and captured both regulators and tax authorities, the distinction between the productive and rentier upper classes has broken down. CEOs now behave like dukes, extracting from their financial estates sums out of all proportion to the work they do or the value they generate, sums that sometimes exhaust the businesses they parasitise. They are no more deserving of the share of wealth they’ve captured than oil sheikhs.

The rest of us are invited, by governments and by fawning interviews in the press, to subscribe to their myth of election: the belief that they are the chosen ones, possessed of superhuman talents. The very rich are often described as wealth creators. But they have preyed upon the earth’s natural wealth and their workers’ labour and creativity, impoverishing both people and planet. Now they have almost bankrupted us. The wealth creators of neoliberal mythology are some of the most effective wealth destroyers the world has ever seen.

What has happened over the past 30 years is the capture of the world’s common treasury by a handful of people, assisted by neoliberal policies which were first imposed on rich nations by Thatcher and Reagan. I am now going to bombard you with figures. I’m sorry about that, but these numbers need to be tattoed on our minds. Between 1947 and 1979, productivity in the US rose by 119%, while the income of the bottom fifth of the population rose by 122%. But between 1979 and 2009, productivity rose by 80% , while the income of the bottom fifth fell by 4%. In roughly the same period, the income of the top 1% rose by 270%.

In the UK, the money earned by the poorest tenth fell by 12% between 1999 and 2009, while the money made by the richest 10th rose by 37%. The Gini coefficient, which measures income inequality, climbed in this country from 26 in 1979 to 40 in 2009.

In his book The Haves and the Have Nots, Branko Milanovic tries to discover who was the richest person who has ever lived. Beginning with the loaded Roman triumvir Marcus Crassus, he measures wealth according to the quantity of his compatriots’ labour a rich man could buy. It appears that the richest man to have lived in the past 2000 years is alive today. Carlos Slim could buy the labour of 440,000 average Mexicans. This makes him 14 times as rich as Crassus, nine times as rich as Carnegie and four times as rich as Rockefeller.

Until recently, we were mesmerised by the bosses’ self-attribution. Their acolytes, in academia, the media, think tanks and government, created an extensive infrastructure of junk economics and flattery to justify their seizure of other people’s wealth. So immersed in this nonsense did we become that we seldom challenged its veracity.

This is now changing. On Sunday evening I witnessed a remarkable thing: a debate on the steps of St Paul’s Cathedral between Stuart Fraser, chairman of the Corporation of the City of London, another official from the Corporation, the turbulent priest Father William Taylor, John Christensen of the Tax Justice Network and the people of Occupy London. It had something of the flavour of the Putney debates of 1647. For the first time in decades – and all credit to the Corporation officials for turning up – financial power was obliged to answer directly to the people.

It felt like history being made. The undeserving rich are now in the frame, and the rest of us want our money back.
All Mushrooms are edible! Some Mushroom are only edible ONCE!
Pedes
#2 Posted : Tuesday, January 28, 2014 4:14:29 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/30/2013
Posts: 659
They'll retort, "We work smarter!"
If you stay ready, no need to get ready.
symbols
#3 Posted : Tuesday, January 28, 2014 4:33:54 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 3/19/2013
Posts: 2,552


You might enjoy this documentary although quite disturbing.
tycho
#4 Posted : Tuesday, January 28, 2014 5:27:13 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/1/2011
Posts: 8,804
Location: Nairobi
Pedes wrote:
They'll retort, "We work smarter!"


But 'smart' is political; where 'nice guys finish last'.
jmbada
#5 Posted : Tuesday, January 28, 2014 6:56:18 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 1/1/2011
Posts: 396
Boss, no need for a lot of analysis. If you're from a wealthy / middle income background and work hard consistently, you're VERY unlikely not to be wealthy / comfortable! Especially, if, in addition to working hard, you also work smart (eg, don't work hard at being a good coal miner when you can own the coal mine) ! Now, this is not an absolute, guarantee, however, it's a matter of working the odds / probabilities. If you're smart / a good learner, work hard and save your money for reinvestment, you should expect to be financially successful, barring catastrophes. Why the pointless hating?
symbols
#6 Posted : Tuesday, January 28, 2014 7:25:23 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 3/19/2013
Posts: 2,552
I may not be sure about @masukuma's intentions but it's an issue that concerns me too.Consider the following thread - http://www.wazua.co.ke/forum.aspx?g=posts&t=26388

It's easier to become rich and powerful if you bypass ethical and legal considerations than if you stick to them which brings into question the kind of values we appreciate and the kind of society we are creating(or trying to).The profit factor is overriding the well being of others and the environment.A good example is pharmaceuticals where prevention and cure is not as profitable as prolonged ineffective treatment.
symbols
#7 Posted : Wednesday, January 29, 2014 7:13:14 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 3/19/2013
Posts: 2,552
Pedes wrote:
They'll retort, "We work smarter!"


I'm surprised we're building a knowledge economy yet it only works if a majority are ignorant.
Lolest!
#8 Posted : Wednesday, January 29, 2014 7:36:43 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 3/18/2011
Posts: 12,069
Location: Kianjokoma
that article is true. Opportunities come sometimes veiled as misfortunes. How many have started biashara after losing their jobs? If they hadn't lost their jobs, they could have remained in the comfort zone and not made an impact in entreprenuership
Laughing out loudly smile Applause d'oh! Sad Drool Liar Shame on you Pray
majimaji
#9 Posted : Wednesday, January 29, 2014 9:38:28 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 4/4/2007
Posts: 1,162
(excerpt): ...on average, the most active traders had the poorest results, while those who traded the least earned the highest returns....http://www.nytimes.com/2011/10/23/magazine/dont-blink-the-hazards-of-confidence.html?pagewanted=all&_r=0...which goes to show the stock market is a casino in which the players are monkeys
masukuma
#10 Posted : Wednesday, January 29, 2014 9:57:11 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/4/2006
Posts: 13,821
Location: Nairobi
symbols wrote:
I may not be sure about @masukuma's intentions but it's an issue that concerns me too.Consider the following thread - http://www.wazua.co.ke/forum.aspx?g=posts&t=26388

It's easier to become rich and powerful if you bypass ethical and legal considerations than if you stick to them which brings into question the kind of values we appreciate and the kind of society we are creating(or trying to).The profit factor is overriding the well being of others and the environment.A good example is pharmaceuticals where prevention and cure is not as profitable as prolonged ineffective treatment.

sad but true! consider Kanyotu!
All Mushrooms are edible! Some Mushroom are only edible ONCE!
Muriel
#11 Posted : Wednesday, January 29, 2014 11:16:54 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 11/19/2009
Posts: 3,142
symbols wrote:
Pedes wrote:
They'll retort, "We work smarter!"


I'm surprised we're building a knowledge economy yet it only works if a majority are ignorant.


Illusion. Mirage. Promises. Politics.
tycho
#12 Posted : Wednesday, January 29, 2014 11:39:11 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/1/2011
Posts: 8,804
Location: Nairobi
A lesson I have learnt today: it's not the quality of the idea alone, or the skill, but also the trust you command, and the power in your relationships are crucial for wealth creation.

The minority of the wealthy is more intelligent on this count. They know how to make others religious and fearful, they impose impossible burdens on the many, and flog them from behind, from the depths even of the 'heart'.
Users browsing this topic
Guest (2)
Forum Jump  
You cannot post new topics in this forum.
You cannot reply to topics in this forum.
You cannot delete your posts in this forum.
You cannot edit your posts in this forum.
You cannot create polls in this forum.
You cannot vote in polls in this forum.

Copyright © 2025 Wazua.co.ke. All Rights Reserved.