wazua Wed, Jan 15, 2025
Welcome Guest Search | Active Topics | Log In | Register

Will Kenyan Banks Sizzle or Fizzle in 2014?
hooverrl
#1 Posted : Friday, January 17, 2014 3:46:00 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/9/2006
Posts: 52
Location: USA
Hello Wazuans!

I interviewed a few analysts on what they expect from the NSE's banks this year (and added my two cents, too smile ):

Will Kenyan Banks Sizzle or Fizzle in 2014?

Would love to hear your opinions here or in the comments!

Happy investing and have a great weekend!
Ryan
ecstacy
#2 Posted : Friday, January 17, 2014 5:49:52 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2008
Posts: 4,449
hooverrl wrote:
Hello Wazuans!

I interviewed a few analysts on what they expect from the NSE's banks this year (and added my two cents, too smile ):

Will Kenyan Banks Sizzle or Fizzle in 2014?

Would love to hear your opinions here or in the comments!

Happy investing and have a great weekend!
Ryan


You have penned most of my thoughts! Think NBK will also surprise people. Well balanced article. I look forward to more researched articles/posts like this.
muganda
#3 Posted : Thursday, January 23, 2014 2:30:46 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/15/2006
Posts: 3,905
Very will written @hooverl, how did I miss it!

My Take

When trying to unearth value in banks, I like stocks with low price/book ratios and high returns on equity (ROE).

As you can see in the chart below, such bank stocks are scarce as hen’s teeth in today’s market.


While the sweet spot in the upper left hand corner of the chart is empty, there’s a bunch of outliers in the upper right hand corner. These are very profitable banks, but their price is steep. Look for them to underperform the sector as a whole in 2014. Co-operative Bank, NIC, and Housing Finance look like better values.

In sum, I expect most Kenyan banks to finish 2014 higher than where they started, but I don’t expect the sizzling performances of 2013.
mufasa
#4 Posted : Thursday, January 23, 2014 2:46:46 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 4/15/2008
Posts: 206
Does I&M Qualify to be in this group?
Do it today! Tomorrow is promise to no-one.
Kaffir
#5 Posted : Thursday, January 23, 2014 3:59:35 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 5/8/2008
Posts: 77
Nice and succinct perspective. Though i feel KCBK, DTKL and COOP are too close in the graph to be separated. Plus, a forward looking perspective (arrows showing anticipated movement on the chart) would be good - for example DTKL should love left, towards the 'sweet spot', while BARC should stay where it is (or move down).

Otherwise, quite a nice and simple perspective that is difficult to fault
heri
#6 Posted : Thursday, January 23, 2014 5:33:11 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/14/2011
Posts: 834
Location: nairobi
Thanks and informative article

can someone elaborate or explain on the comments by coldtusker below:

CFC Stanbic has a huge amount of goodwill when Stanbic did a Reverse Takeover of CFC Bank. You should eliminate the Goodwill to compare Apples to Apples vs other banks.

2) NBK has lots of Preference Shares. Have you deducted these from the Shareholders’ Funds before calculating the NAV




Users browsing this topic
Guest
Forum Jump  
You cannot post new topics in this forum.
You cannot reply to topics in this forum.
You cannot delete your posts in this forum.
You cannot edit your posts in this forum.
You cannot create polls in this forum.
You cannot vote in polls in this forum.

Copyright © 2025 Wazua.co.ke. All Rights Reserved.