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How to tell NSE has bottomed out
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SittingPretty
#4641 Posted : Wednesday, January 15, 2014 1:21:26 PM
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Joined: 2/16/2013
Posts: 123
Location: MSA
Ericsson wrote:
@@SittingPretty;
Kenya Re is going and going and going


I made a quick play with on Carbacid.
But consolidating and watching the bid volumes for Kenya Re. Hope it wont be too late!
Timely advice is as lovely as golden apples in a silver basket. Proverbs 25:11
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Ericsson
#4642 Posted : Wednesday, January 15, 2014 1:34:27 PM
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Joined: 12/4/2009
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Location: NAIROBI
@Metasploit;Not even 24 it should be at 30.
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
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Cde Monomotapa
#4643 Posted : Wednesday, January 15, 2014 9:14:38 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Looks like Kenya Re's management pro-activity in capacity building to have insurers better placed for opportunities arising out the oil sector might just pay off. Tullow & Africa Oil on a roll since with the oil finds! Now, just for GoK to legislate to make it mandatory to insure a % locally. Have the AKI lobby that... A key factor behind Naija banks & insurers being as mammoth as they are, is via localization-legislation. You don't want to miss this show smile
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hisah
#4644 Posted : Friday, January 17, 2014 3:17:32 PM
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Joined: 8/4/2010
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Long term NSE20 14yr cartoon... Very interesting what's coming...

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Metasploit
#4645 Posted : Friday, January 17, 2014 3:36:19 PM
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Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 985
Location: Dar es salaam,Tanzania
hisah wrote:
Long term NSE20 14yr cartoon... Very interesting what's coming...



From the bid pressure i saw this month..this is possible!

Very strong and consistent bids both locally and foreign originated!!Lets wait and see

btw oil explo activities and results will come in plenty in 2014-2015.Eurobond too will give indicative direction .Taper seems to be forgotten but keeping a watch is extremely important

“The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.”
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Angelica _ann
#4646 Posted : Friday, January 17, 2014 3:38:56 PM
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Joined: 12/7/2012
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@hisah 14 or 12 years? anyway looks like it will still be bulish to 2015! my laywoman eyes..
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
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Metasploit
#4647 Posted : Friday, January 17, 2014 3:42:57 PM
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Joined: 3/26/2012
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Location: Dar es salaam,Tanzania
@Hisah

I see the H&S but please clarify on the breakout.I dont see the trendlines showing the breakout targeting 8000 levels

“The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.”
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murchr
#4648 Posted : Friday, January 17, 2014 3:51:56 PM
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Joined: 2/26/2012
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hisah wrote:
Long term NSE20 14yr cartoon... Very interesting what's coming...



Is that 3000 or 8000?
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
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hisah
#4649 Posted : Friday, January 17, 2014 9:36:04 PM
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Joined: 8/4/2010
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murchr wrote:
hisah wrote:
Long term NSE20 14yr cartoon... Very interesting what's coming...



Is that 3000 or 8000?

8000 long term target if that H&S breaks out on sizable bid pressure.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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murchr
#4650 Posted : Saturday, January 18, 2014 3:12:17 AM
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Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
hisah wrote:
murchr wrote:
hisah wrote:
Long term NSE20 14yr cartoon... Very interesting what's coming...



Is that 3000 or 8000?

8000 long term target if that H&S breaks out on sizable bid pressure.


Well...cant wait
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
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sparkly
#4651 Posted : Saturday, January 18, 2014 7:22:40 AM
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Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
hisah wrote:
murchr wrote:
hisah wrote:
Long term NSE20 14yr cartoon... Very interesting what's coming...



Is that 3000 or 8000?

8000 long term target if that H&S breaks out on sizable bid pressure.

@Hisah i dont see the HS. What i see as more prominent is a converging triangle with a breakout in mid 2013, a consolidation ongoing. I am no cartoon expert.
Life is short. Live passionately.
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hisah
#4652 Posted : Saturday, January 18, 2014 8:26:38 AM
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@sparkly - I had put out that converging triangle NSE20 chart sometime back showing the bullish break you are stating. Right now I'm viewing the H&S from 2007 climax point. If you compare the triangle with the inverted H&S pattern, both are bullish. The triangle breakout suggests that 6161 (all time high) will be challenged/tested. The H&S gives a better projection picture on the bullish intent which is 8000 level.

Hydrocarbon play as well as minerals offer that long term support platform to see that parabolic push. But short term looks sideways or a correction then that huge push from that discount window.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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SittingPretty
#4653 Posted : Tuesday, January 21, 2014 5:57:56 PM
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Joined: 2/16/2013
Posts: 123
Location: MSA
mwekez@ji wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
@SittingPretty;
Kenya Re @17.10 heading towards ksh.19+++


... and the volumes its doing are something

@Ericsson much respect: but I miss calculated, however with the pause today am hoping to getting in the low within the next cycle, though it was not on my prospect list!
Timely advice is as lovely as golden apples in a silver basket. Proverbs 25:11
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Aguytrying
#4654 Posted : Tuesday, January 21, 2014 6:47:48 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
@hisah. this being year of the laggards. Tpse laggard has traded some heavy volumes of late. been in this laggard almost 1 yr holding strong
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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guru267
#4655 Posted : Tuesday, January 21, 2014 7:43:56 PM
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Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
This story of guys looking at certain stocks only after they rally will lead to a lot of ulcers for investors! Sad

Get in early or don't get in at all...
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
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mwekez@ji
#4656 Posted : Wednesday, January 22, 2014 8:41:04 AM
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Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
guru267 wrote:
This story of guys looking at certain stocks only after they rally will lead to a lot of ulcers for investors! Sad

Get in early or don't get in at all...


#WORD
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mwekez@ji
#4657 Posted : Wednesday, January 22, 2014 8:54:56 AM
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Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
NSE breaks through Sh2trn market valuation ceiling http://www.businessdailyafrica....8/-/jpyfm9/-/index.html
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mlennyma
#4658 Posted : Wednesday, January 22, 2014 9:31:11 AM
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Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,182
Location: nairobi
The 2 trillion market,twende twende mongolia.i see 5,500pts soon.
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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maka
#4659 Posted : Wednesday, January 22, 2014 9:53:32 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
mwekez@ji wrote:
guru267 wrote:
This story of guys looking at certain stocks only after they rally will lead to a lot of ulcers for investors! Sad

Get in early or don't get in at all...


#WORD


Tricky situation...
possunt quia posse videntur
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hisah
#4660 Posted : Wednesday, January 22, 2014 11:07:16 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Aguytrying wrote:
@hisah. this being year of the laggards. Tpse laggard has traded some heavy volumes of late. been in this laggard almost 1 yr holding strong

Tourism laggard with big sis KQ. I expect both to move in tandem as recovery happens. KQ has already bounced signalling TPS will also follow suit at some point. Though patience need here since the tourism sector is still facing quite some headwinds. Compared with KQ, TPS offers a better discount for those with patience to hold.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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