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UNGA anyone?
VituVingiSana
#641 Posted : Thursday, October 28, 2010 3:23:30 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,165
Location: Nairobi
Nice!

I am a huge Warren Buffett fan... and this is what he says:

A short quiz: If you plan to eat hamburgers throughout your life and are not a cattle producer, should you wish for higher or lower prices for beef? Likewise, if you are going to buy a car from time to time but are not an auto manufacturer, should you prefer higher or lower car prices? These questions, of course, answer themselves.

But now for the final exam: If you expect to be a net saver during the next five years, should you hope for a higher or lower stock market during that period? Many investors get this one wrong. Even though they are going to be net buyers of stocks for many years to come, they are elated when stock prices rise and depressed when they fall. In effect, they rejoice because prices have risen for the “hamburgers” they will soon be buying. This reaction makes no sense. Only those who will be sellers of equities in the near future should be happy at seeing stocks rise. Prospective purchasers should much prefer sinking prices.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
VituVingiSana
#642 Posted : Thursday, October 28, 2010 3:26:13 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,165
Location: Nairobi
Buffett has often said he doesn't get upset when the price of a stock he's bought goes down. If he's still convinced confident about the company's long-term prospects, he sees it as an opportunity to buy more shares at an even lower price.

I remain a net buyer of Unga - If I have the cash!
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
guru267
#643 Posted : Thursday, October 28, 2010 3:28:51 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
VituVingiSana wrote:
Nice!

I am a huge Warren Buffett fan... and this is what he says:

A short quiz: If you plan to eat hamburgers throughout your life and are not a cattle producer, should you wish for higher or lower prices for beef? Likewise, if you are going to buy a car from time to time but are not an auto manufacturer, should you prefer higher or lower car prices? These questions, of course, answer themselves.

But now for the final exam: If you expect to be a net saver during the next five years, should you hope for a higher or lower stock market during that period? Many investors get this one wrong. Even though they are going to be net buyers of stocks for many years to come, they are elated when stock prices rise and depressed when they fall. In effect, they rejoice because prices have risen for the “hamburgers” they will soon be buying. This reaction makes no sense. Only those who will be sellers of equities in the near future should be happy at seeing stocks rise. Prospective purchasers should much prefer sinking prices.


@VVS this principle only works if the company behind the stock you are buying is sound and bound to grow earnings by innovative and competitive means

these are qualifications not met by unga unfortunately
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
VituVingiSana
#644 Posted : Thursday, October 28, 2010 3:40:36 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,165
Location: Nairobi
@guru - That is your opinion. Not mine. I do my own research. I am willing to wait. My top picks have remained the same for a long time.

KK
KQ
KPLC
Unga
Williamson/Kapchorua

I have no reason (at these prices) to think otherwise.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
KIRTI
#645 Posted : Thursday, October 28, 2010 3:46:56 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 8/17/2010
Posts: 116
Unga is a low trading share. bid for lower price. I got @11.90 today. My next bid is 11.60. If you are lucky then you will get it. If price goes down then i will increse & if its go up then i will sell it.
Wa_ithaka
#646 Posted : Thursday, October 28, 2010 4:50:08 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 1/7/2010
Posts: 1,279
Location: nbi
Unga is now offering 3 Jogoos for anybody who buys 100 shares or more...

And holds for 10yrs. The shareprice will be the same as today.
The Governor of Nyeri - 2017
VituVingiSana
#647 Posted : Thursday, October 28, 2010 4:52:21 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,165
Location: Nairobi
I am not a good trader... I can't spot trends & have given up...

Hats off to folks like @gatheuzi + @stocksmaster for the trading strategies esp @stockmaster who shares every 'real' trade with us...

My style - served me well - is research as much as possible then buy what looks good...

I may have missed the boat on many good ones but I can't complain about the picks/purchases since 1 Jan 2010 BUT that is irrelevant! I need to look ahead & I look at 2013...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
VituVingiSana
#648 Posted : Thursday, October 28, 2010 4:55:04 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,165
Location: Nairobi
Wa_ithaka wrote:
Unga is now offering 3 Jogoos for anybody who buys 100 shares or more...

And holds for 10yrs. The shareprice will be the same as today.
LOL... At least I will not go hungry!
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
youcan'tstopusnow
#649 Posted : Friday, November 26, 2010 12:04:31 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
Looks like there will be a massacre/bloodbath once this share goes ex-div. Great for the longtermers, not so good for the short-term folk
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
alikujia
#650 Posted : Friday, November 26, 2010 3:17:41 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 5/27/2010
Posts: 324
Location: nrb
are they growing their business or where will the momentum for price to up come from? -maybe a general stock boom across board. And if those seaboardmanagement are still there, i dont think much will come to small shareholders- they will skimming off any added value - or were their terms changed to incentivise them to increase overall value?
Wa_ithaka
#651 Posted : Friday, November 26, 2010 7:33:13 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 1/7/2010
Posts: 1,279
Location: nbi
The offer is now 4 jogoos as the price heads towards Ksh10 xd where I'll happily buy from you and you.
The Governor of Nyeri - 2017
Sober
#652 Posted : Friday, November 26, 2010 10:24:48 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 11/27/2007
Posts: 3,604
I dont understand, i thought the price will rally as investors are out to get in and acquire he shares before books close for the handsome dividends. With two days remaining, am not seeing a miracle here.
This counters is heading towards the single digit price.
African parents don't know how to say sorry.. the closest you will get to a sorry is a 'have you eaten'
guru267
#653 Posted : Friday, November 26, 2010 10:40:36 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
Sober wrote:
I dont understand, i thought the price will rally as investors are out to get in and acquire he shares before books close for the handsome dividends. With two days remaining, am not seeing a miracle here.
This counters is heading towards the single digit price.


@sober why would you rush/invest in a stock that stands to lose you more in capital than what you will earn form dividends??

Unga was a value trap from when it was at 14.5 Sad

Good thing I got out while I still could....

@VVS there are stocks that trade below book value and are cheap but Unga is not one of them... I hope one day you'll see that
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
VituVingiSana
#654 Posted : Saturday, November 27, 2010 8:21:04 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,165
Location: Nairobi
guru267 wrote:
@VVS there are stocks that trade below book value and are cheap but Unga is not one of them... I hope one day you'll see that
Classic Warren Buffett quote! Let me go to the AGM & see what's cutting...
[I bought more KK (& waiting for KPLC) so no more cash to buy Unga or I would have bought more]
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Aguytrying
#655 Posted : Saturday, November 27, 2010 10:04:17 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
Sober wrote:
I dont understand, i thought the price will rally as investors are out to get in and acquire he shares before books close for the handsome dividends. With two days remaining, am not seeing a miracle here.
This counters is heading towards the single digit price.


mumias, safcom, kQ. all these shares did not appreciate on the run up to book closure, even though they had decent dividends. I guess capital (gains) appreciation takes first proirity over dividends for most investors.
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
selah
#656 Posted : Tuesday, January 11, 2011 12:08:05 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/13/2009
Posts: 1,950
Location: in kenya
alikujia wrote:
are they growing their business or where will the momentum for price to up come from? -maybe a general stock boom across board. And if those seaboardmanagement are still there, i dont think much will come to small shareholders- they will skimming off any added value - or were their terms changed to incentivise them to increase overall value?


The seaboard management salaries are pegged on the profitability of the company and I think their mandate was to run the company for 5years and I dont know if its last years financial report they reported the mandate which was to expire that year was renewed for another 5 years....So for the long term(5years atleast) the management of Unga is in able hands.....but my fear for this counter is that it took them more than 10yrs to pay a dividend.another thing is that their subsidiaries might be a liability given that one of its subsidiary is dormant.lastly why is seaboard unwilling to buy a controlling stake in this company.
'......to the acknowledgment of the mystery of God, and of the Father, and of Christ; 3 In whom are hid all the treasures of wisdom and knowledge.' Colossians 2:2-3
VituVingiSana
#657 Posted : Tuesday, January 11, 2011 12:43:57 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,165
Location: Nairobi
The ndegwas own a controlling stake. SeaBoard has 50% [need to look at the Annual Report] or so in the OPERATING SUBSIDIARY...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
guru267
#658 Posted : Monday, December 09, 2013 10:37:10 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
http://www.businessdaily...2/-/ovv6pg/-/index.html

DILUTION DILUTION DILUTION!!

Share price likely to fall in the short term... Sad Pray Sad Pray Sad Pray

Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
VituVingiSana
#659 Posted : Tuesday, December 10, 2013 12:31:29 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,165
Location: Nairobi
guru267 wrote:
http://www.businessdailyafrica.com/Corporate-News/Ndegwa-family-diluted-in-Unga-s-buyout-of-bakery/-/539550/2105302/-/ovv6pg/-/index.html

DILUTION DILUTION DILUTION!!

Share price likely to fall in the short term... Sad Pray Sad Pray Sad Pray

Let it fall, let it fall, let it fall Applause Applause Applause
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
guru267
#660 Posted : Tuesday, December 10, 2013 3:10:02 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
VituVingiSana wrote:
guru267 wrote:
http://www.businessdailyafrica.com/Corporate-News/Ndegwa-family-diluted-in-Unga-s-buyout-of-bakery/-/539550/2105302/-/ovv6pg/-/index.html

DILUTION DILUTION DILUTION!!

Share price likely to fall in the short term... Sad Pray Sad Pray Sad Pray

Let it fall, let it fall, let it fall Applause Applause Applause


In order to maintain the ratios it had before the new shares the price ought to fall to 13Bob...

That would be a blunder by Mr market because the new addition to the Unga family is likely to boost earnings since some of the directors and major shareholders were willing to be diluted for this cause!

I had just started phasing into this stock and a drop in the price is the best thing that could happen this December! Pray Drool Pray



Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
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