@Mibbz, a few clarifications, between the majority shareholder (controlling half the board and driving strategy) and the analysts, who in your rightful thinking do you think knows more about the company. You will be surprised the analysts most likely didn't meet management so clearly they are not any better than you and me.

Please convert the KES 2B into rand and then go look at how much profit the mother company makes - it's listed on the JSE. The 2B is not much money for the business plus they consolidate the business and are more interested in the profitability and top line growth and not stock prices.

Sanlam has other larger listed companies in exchanges in Africa just have a look. Have yet to see them delist any.

But lets crunch the numbers using available data,both from wazua page and the BD story;

Pan Africa has 96,000,000 issued shares as per data on the wazua stock profiler page
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Allow me to copy paste the BD article here with acknowledgment of the author, George Ngigi

'Regulatory filings to the Capital Markets Authority shows Sanlam bought 108,600 shares in the eight months to August, raising its total shareholding to 53.6 million shares.

This is in line with the company’s disclosure of intention to increase its stake in the insurer to 60 per cent from the 50 per cent held then. As at end of August its stake was 55.81 per cent, from 55.69 per cent in December.'


In August 2013 Sanlam had accumulated 53.6 Million shares equivalent to approximately 55.83%. This is 4.17% or approximately 4 Million shares below their target of 60% acquisition.

I can confidently state since August this year not more than a million Pan Africa shares have traded;i check the stock every single day and the most action it has seen this year was almost 450k shares moving last 2 weeks within which a notable
block of approximately 300k shares was available at a price of 70 bob earlier on in the price rally.In fact appetite at 70 was so high thus the reason it edged to 73 where 4k shares existed momentarily then went to 75-76 range till yesterday.

Lets be real,if you were the investment manager to the anonymous buyer(Sanlam) would you wait for price to reach 100 bob then buy or start buying now?!

What might have spooked huge anonymous buyer(Sanlam) into buying was the report on insurance sector valuation released last week;Pan Africa had the biggest upside in valuation thus anticipated capital gains and possibly existing shareholders firmly clutching onto their stock.

Lastly, remember the Insurance act is to be amended to allow foreign ownership of insurance firms to exceed 60%,that shall be the last nail on the coffin of doubt as to the future of valuations in this sector as it shall open it up to M n A....

Factor the above into the price and you shall see why the price is edging higher;it can only stop if you sell 3 Million shares to Sanlam or unless someone convinces them to change strategy on an investment that has made them 2 Billion this year.

The above is my theory on the whole Pan Africa issue;Thanks

Factor the above into the price and you shall see why the price is edging higher;it can only stop if you sell 3 Million shares to Sanlam or unless someone convinces them to change strategy on an investment that has made them 2 Billion this year.

@mbizz, magnate. the 2 m's. ever realise when u start eating others get nervous.
as we talk the share keeps breaking 1 yr highs.
I think based on the earnings this year, the valuation is justified. what if they do another bonus issue next year, it can reach 150-200.
before someone comes for my neck, I know no value will be created. but by the time u try explain that to wanjiku ill already have sold to her.

btw. does pan Africa release q3 results.

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