Wazua
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Takeover Targets in 2014
Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,124 Location: Nairobi
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Well, we know the following: Access - Bought out by Dimension Data for 14/- when the going price was 9.50 though folks knew coz it jumped from 7 to 9-ish very fast and just before the Takeover was announced. CMC - Not a great deal for current shareholders at 13/- unless there is a hefty dividend being paid as well. It was suspended at 13/- so there is an Opportunity Cost but at least the cash will be paid out. Better late than never. Rea Vipingo - A cash offer by the 'parent' at 40/- for a share trading at 27/- but it seems the news had been leaked as the trades just before the announcement were significant for this thinly traded share. So who is next?KenolKobil - Spurned by Puma/Trafigura. Rumors had the buyout price pegged at 21 but it was not to be. Add the HUGE hedge (Forex & Oil prices) losses. Then fights with KPC & KPRL. The CEO, Jacob Segman, was booted out. And the firm started consolidating its operations, put assets/properties on sale, etc. The management has indicated it wants to clean up the books, settle disputes where possible and then look for a Strategic Investor. Of course, this may also mean a buy-out. Total - Well, Total Outre-Mer already owns 90% of the firm via a combination of Common & Ordinary shares. Just buy out the 10% & be done! Pan-Africa Insurance - Sanlam wants to increase its stake to 60% (or more). I wonder if they will just make a bid for the entire firm at some point after they convince the larger minority shareholders? Or just go private with the larger minority shareholders and de-list? Your thoughts? Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Rank: Member Joined: 7/24/2010 Posts: 236 Location: nairobi
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Rank: Elder Joined: 1/21/2010 Posts: 6,675 Location: Nairobi
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small cap market leaders! Mark 12:29 Deuteronomy 4:16
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/21/2010 Posts: 6,183 Location: nairobi
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Hfck...equity to buy it. Or am i a dreamer? "Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2010 Posts: 5,040
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I dont think ppl should sell their shares in good companies. These takeovers will continue to happen esp with the oil boom in the horizon. For me. Kenol kobil, PAn africa, Unga- has had a price rally hard to explain Crown berger- looks like a target maybe I and M. the usual suspects. KK was unlucky not to be taken over, seeing as access- done deal and , CMC and REA seem like going through The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/21/2010 Posts: 6,183 Location: nairobi
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Kenols network in kenya is a must sell for any interested buyer. "Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 10/11/2009 Posts: 1,223
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The usual suspects/targets are in the Agricultural sector and are majority owned by families from UK and elsewhere. #WTK #Kakuzi and #EAGADS History will not remember you for your IQ. It will remember you for what you did. “Genius is 1 percent inspiration, 99 percent perspiration.” Thomas Edison
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/25/2009 Posts: 4,534 Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
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Total, Kenol, Carbacid, HF, NIC Bank, NBK and Cables.
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 8/30/2007 Posts: 1,558 Location: Nairobi
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the deal wrote:Total, Kenol, Carbacid, HF, NIC Bank, NBK and Cables. Carbacid??? Total??? NIC really???!?!? Erm seems like a long shot
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/25/2009 Posts: 4,534 Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
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Horton wrote:the deal wrote:Total, Kenol, Carbacid, HF, NIC Bank, NBK and Cables. Carbacid??? Total??? NIC really???!?!? Erm seems like a long shot Carbacid almost merged with BOC a few years ago. NIC...look at the top shareholders...they can easily sell at a good price...the likes of First Rand...Nedbank & some Nigerian banks have been shopping around... I would add Liberty Kenya to this list...not a takeover but Liberty SA is most likely to increase ownership in the company in the so near future...Liberty SA has already indicated to that effect... The banking & insurance sectors are ripe for consolidation & takeovers going forward.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/26/2012 Posts: 15,980
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Am not liking these takeovers...we need more Matibas in Kenya, we should share the wealth "There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore .
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 8/30/2007 Posts: 1,558 Location: Nairobi
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the deal wrote:Horton wrote:the deal wrote:Total, Kenol, Carbacid, HF, NIC Bank, NBK and Cables. Carbacid??? Total??? NIC really???!?!? Erm seems like a long shot Carbacid almost merged with BOC a few years ago. NIC...look at the top shareholders...they can easily sell at a good price...the likes of First Rand...Nedbank & some Nigerian banks have been shopping around... I would add Liberty Kenya to this list...not a takeover but Liberty SA is most likely to increase ownership in the company in the so near future...Liberty SA has already indicated to that effect... The banking & insurance sectors are ripe for consolidation & takeovers going forward. Yes I remember the carbacid BOC drama. However, this is not going to happen again. HFCK I reckon, it could. Or rather I hope it does at 40 bob :D
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Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,124 Location: Nairobi
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After various contributions from Wazuans, I am going to add to the list though these are long-shots for 2014: HFCK - Always the bridesmaid but not the bride. She has been 'touched' by both brothers (Britam & Equity) which makes it unlikely to find another suitor. It is a matter of time before HFCK is taken out BUT it does not seem so in 2014. Of course, never say never! Eaagads - This is going, going... Once the Tatu City drama is sorted out. This can take ages in Kenyan courts. Perhaps not in 2014 but I doubt the premium will be much higher since the price has already ramped up. Coffee is hurting. NBK - Takeover from the perspective of GoK (conversion of Preference Shares into Common Shares), NSSF or a Strategic Investor but not de-listing. Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Rank: Member Joined: 12/24/2008 Posts: 112
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Rank: Chief Joined: 5/31/2011 Posts: 5,121
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Rank: Elder Joined: 8/16/2011 Posts: 2,297
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I won't just bring in Rhetoric as in politics but as in business I can see from afar Sameer Yana tyres looking for a suitor that will leave Merali smiling like someone who has won a jackpot with no sweat. The suitor is probably from East (China, singapore, Korea or Japan) with 10% possibility of being from Europe-France. Tyre manufacture need technology and material sourcing. The emmergence of Foton motor assembly is making Merali see doubles and could either sell 70% to Chinese company as he retains 30% as happened on Access Kenya. China controls lumbering in Srilanka, has a big deal in malysia and Indonesia and could use these materials to set foot in Kenya. The Buying of Bridgestone is an eye opener and a deal!
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Rank: Member Joined: 8/30/2010 Posts: 183 Location: Migingo
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Mwekez@ji in your estimation, how do you think the share prices of Kengen and KPLC will react to this? Don't Work for Money, Let Money Work for You..
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Rank: Chief Joined: 5/31/2011 Posts: 5,121
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georgegop wrote:Mwekez@ji in your estimation, how do you think the share prices of Kengen and KPLC will react to this? No reaction; because the recommendation is flawed and the market knows it
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Rank: Elder Joined: 8/16/2011 Posts: 2,297
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Are kenyans making money through this speculative takeovers or are they being cheated out? What will happen to those who didnot sell off their Access Kenya stocks to Dimension Data?
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2010 Posts: 5,040
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Realtreaty wrote:Are kenyans making money through this speculative takeovers or are they being cheated out? What will happen to those who didnot sell off their Access Kenya stocks to Dimension Data? those are our case studys. we'll know whether its better to hang on on to sell The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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Takeover Targets in 2014
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