TAZ wrote:@ Safariant.....Agreed but Dortmund and Napoli probably have a lot more to do than Arsenal, like i explained in one of my posts if Arsenal beat Marseille and Dortmund win their two remaining fixtures, Napoli would have to beat Arsenal by 3 clear goals to qualify.....not impossible but highly unlikely.
ION, this year we've won away against two of last season's CL finalists
. Only the second team in 61 matches to keep a clean sheet at the Signal Iduna Park.
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@Taz see the full analysis here
PermutationsGroup F
Remaining fixtures: Arsenal vs. Marseille, Dortmund vs. Napoli; Napoli vs. Arsenal, Marseille vs. Dortmund
Has any team qualified yet? No, though Marseille have been eliminated from Europe altogether.
Who can qualify on Matchday Five? Arsenal, who are at home to Marseille, will qualify if they better Dortmund's result at home to Napoli. Matching results would not be enough as Dortmund lead Arsenal on head-to-head away goals. Napoli will qualify if they draw at the Westfalenstadion, as they would lead Dortmund on head to head.
The group picture: Dortmund have it all to do and their home game with Napoli next time out has suddenly become a must-win. If Arsenal claim the expected home win against Marseille, then Dortmund will face the Europa League if they have not picked up maximum points, too. Napoli have the harder fixtures and must weigh up the danger of playing for a draw in Dortmund. If the three teams all finish on 12 points, and therefore Marseille on zero, the group will come down to a mini-league of head-to-head goal difference with the three teams currently split by just three goals.