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Safaricom at 10 Bob ?
young
#1 Posted : Monday, November 04, 2013 9:29:32 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/20/2007
Posts: 2,074
Location: Lagos, Nigeria
Yes it will be there soon.

This will only be sustained if it returns an impressive
H1 result later this Nov.
Impressive if PAT is greater than 30%.
The wazua spirit as members is to educate and inform and learn from others within the limit of what we know in any chosen area irrespective of our differences in tribes, nationalities, etc. .
hisah
#2 Posted : Monday, November 04, 2013 11:19:32 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
10/- will likely be tested tomorrow. But maintaining that level will need impressive PBT as well as a div pay hike to 40cts or more as well as rosy mgmt guideline outlook esp on cashflow.

My PBT expectation is 15 - 20% growth (H1 10% and H2 20%) as well as EPS for full year. For H1 I'll be scanning revenues and mpesa growth plus its spinned product mshwari. Mbenki by kcb will be captured in H2. Btw H2 is usually stronger than H1.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
murchr
#3 Posted : Monday, November 04, 2013 11:29:02 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
When are these results going to be out?
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
young
#4 Posted : Tuesday, November 05, 2013 1:29:14 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/20/2007
Posts: 2,074
Location: Lagos, Nigeria
hisah wrote:
10/- will likely be tested tomorrow. But maintaining that level will need impressive PBT as well as a div pay hike to 40cts or more as well as rosy mgmt guideline outlook esp on cashflow.

My PBT expectation is 15 - 20% growth (H1 10% and H2 20%) as well as EPS for full year. For H1 I'll be scanning revenues and mpesa growth plus its spinned product mshwari. Mbenki by kcb will be captured in H2. Btw H2 is usually stronger than H1.

I know you are a witty guy @hisah but you
will get it wrong when the results are out.
Safaricom is now a super brand, the most
highly capitalized stock with much leg room
for growth, the toast of foreigners. While
locals are selling foreigners including my tiny
self are taking positions for long term benefits.
You will see Mpesa at 10 this year, 15 in
2014 and even more growth a few years after.
It is a counter you can buy and go to sleep
at least in the next 3 years whether in terms of
income for long termers or capital gain for
speculators.
My advise to speculators is do not
jump ship fast, realise the full potentials
before taking profits, a bountiful one.
It will be interesting within 2 years to go
from say 5 bob in early 2013 to 15 bob in
late 2014 than to jump now from 5 to 9.7
You guys are always in a hurry to take
profits , the typical wananchi way to jump
to another counter.
The wazua spirit as members is to educate and inform and learn from others within the limit of what we know in any chosen area irrespective of our differences in tribes, nationalities, etc. .
hisah
#5 Posted : Tuesday, November 05, 2013 7:37:42 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
murchr wrote:
When are these results going to be out?

Today, but no time indicated on their site. Maybe afternoon after market close.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#6 Posted : Tuesday, November 05, 2013 7:53:00 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
young wrote:
hisah wrote:
10/- will likely be tested tomorrow. But maintaining that level will need impressive PBT as well as a div pay hike to 40cts or more as well as rosy mgmt guideline outlook esp on cashflow.

My PBT expectation is 15 - 20% growth (H1 10% and H2 20%) as well as EPS for full year. For H1 I'll be scanning revenues and mpesa growth plus its spinned product mshwari. Mbenki by kcb will be captured in H2. Btw H2 is usually stronger than H1.

I know you are a witty guy @hisah but you
will get it wrong when the results are out.
Safaricom is now a super brand, the most
highly capitalized stock with much leg room
for growth, the toast of foreigners. While
locals are selling foreigners including my tiny
self are taking positions for long term benefits.
You will see Mpesa at 10 this year, 15 in
2014 and even more growth a few years after.
It is a counter you can buy and go to sleep
at least in the next 3 years whether in terms of
income for long termers or capital gain for
speculators.
My advise to speculators is do not
jump ship fast, realise the full potentials
before taking profits, a bountiful one.
It will be interesting within 2 years to go
from say 5 bob in early 2013 to 15 bob in
late 2014 than to jump now from 5 to 9.7
You guys are always in a hurry to take
profits , the typical wananchi way to jump
to another counter.

I'm a trader. I've actually remained in this counter longer than expected as price targets got smashed fast. But I'll be alighting the bus after H2 results. Only CFC do I intended to hold longer. The laggards are my next play i.e. KK, KQ & KPLC. MSC is too risky. Their correction is coming in the next rotation.

HFCK is indeed looking cheap.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Mie
#7 Posted : Tuesday, November 05, 2013 11:17:33 AM
Rank: Hello

Joined: 10/10/2013
Posts: 5
Results will be released today; at 4pm. Streamed live from Michael Joseph centre. Tomorrow for sure the double digit barrier will be tested for the first time.
young
#8 Posted : Tuesday, November 05, 2013 4:37:46 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/20/2007
Posts: 2,074
Location: Lagos, Nigeria
hisah wrote:
young wrote:
hisah wrote:
10/- will likely be tested tomorrow. But maintaining that level will need impressive PBT as well as a div pay hike to 40cts or more as well as rosy mgmt guideline outlook esp on cashflow.

My PBT expectation is 15 - 20% growth (H1 10% and H2 20%) as well as EPS for full year. For H1 I'll be scanning revenues and mpesa growth plus its spinned product mshwari. Mbenki by kcb will be captured in H2. Btw H2 is usually stronger than H1.

I know you are a witty guy @hisah but you
will get it wrong when the results are out.
Safaricom is now a super brand, the most
highly capitalized stock with much leg room
for growth, the toast of foreigners. While
locals are selling foreigners including my tiny
self are taking positions for long term benefits.
You will see Mpesa at 10 this year, 15 in
2014 and even more growth a few years after.
It is a counter you can buy and go to sleep
at least in the next 3 years whether in terms of
income for long termers or capital gain for
speculators.
My advise to speculators is do not
jump ship fast, realise the full potentials
before taking profits, a bountiful one.
It will be interesting within 2 years to go
from say 5 bob in early 2013 to 15 bob in
late 2014 than to jump now from 5 to 9.7
You guys are always in a hurry to take
profits , the typical wananchi way to jump
to another counter.

I'm a trader. I've actually remained in this counter longer than expected as price targets got smashed fast. But I'll be alighting the bus after H2 results. Only CFC do I intended to hold longer. The laggards are my next play i.e. KK, KQ & KPLC. MSC is too risky. Their correction is coming in the next rotation.

HFCK is indeed looking cheap.



Hope you are convinced dear @hisah that the result is above 30% PAT that I predicted NOT your 10%?
The wazua spirit as members is to educate and inform and learn from others within the limit of what we know in any chosen area irrespective of our differences in tribes, nationalities, etc. .
young
#9 Posted : Tuesday, November 05, 2013 4:43:59 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/20/2007
Posts: 2,074
Location: Lagos, Nigeria
hisah wrote:
10/- will likely be tested tomorrow. But maintaining that level will need impressive PBT as well as a div pay hike to 40cts or more as well as rosy mgmt guideline outlook esp on cashflow.

My PBT expectation is 15 - 20% growth (H1 10% and H2 20%) as well as EPS for full year. For H1 I'll be scanning revenues and mpesa growth plus its spinned product mshwari. Mbenki by kcb will be captured in H2. Btw H2 is usually stronger than H1.



Nobody is perfect in this game, myself also.
The wazua spirit as members is to educate and inform and learn from others within the limit of what we know in any chosen area irrespective of our differences in tribes, nationalities, etc. .
hisah
#10 Posted : Tuesday, November 05, 2013 5:02:03 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
young wrote:
hisah wrote:
10/- will likely be tested tomorrow. But maintaining that level will need impressive PBT as well as a div pay hike to 40cts or more as well as rosy mgmt guideline outlook esp on cashflow.

My PBT expectation is 15 - 20% growth (H1 10% and H2 20%) as well as EPS for full year. For H1 I'll be scanning revenues and mpesa growth plus its spinned product mshwari. Mbenki by kcb will be captured in H2. Btw H2 is usually stronger than H1.



Nobody is perfect in this game, myself also.

Yes I've seen the PAT and EPS strong growth which far more than I expected. Applause

Definitely H2 will be stronger if H1 is this strong.

Div pay hike is also assured with that cashflow spike and this should keep the bid pressure on the price past 10.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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