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Housing Finance: HFCK a diamond in the rough

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jerry		#701 Posted : Thursday, October 31, 2013 8:50:13 AM
Rank: Elder Joined: 9/29/2006 Posts: 2,570		guru267 wrote: I wasn't expecting to be able to get this share yesterday but Mr Market was ready to hand me some at 27bob... The resistance here is simply fighting a losing battle... This thing will one day explode like crazy! I'm ragerly waiting for that explosion. I ought to add more to achieve the critical mass! The opposite of courage is not cowardice, it's conformity.
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Metasploit		#702 Posted : Thursday, October 31, 2013 10:22:10 AM
Rank: Veteran Joined: 3/26/2012 Posts: 985 Location: Dar es salaam,Tanzania		Weak demand(Even with good results).Touch resistance at 27-28 level. “The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.”
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Horton		#703 Posted : Thursday, October 31, 2013 12:14:18 PM
Rank: Veteran Joined: 8/30/2007 Posts: 1,558 Location: Nairobi		jerry wrote: guru267 wrote: I wasn't expecting to be able to get this share yesterday but Mr Market was ready to hand me some at 27bob... The resistance here is simply fighting a losing battle... This thing will one day explode like crazy! I'm ragerly waiting for that explosion. I ought to add more to achieve the critical mass! Yup true dat. Eps should be Kes 4 plus. NAV 22. Growth of 58% pa,one of the best in the market! However, looking at carb, people prefer bonus and splits with mediocre growth than good solid earnings growth. Nonetheless,made a neat bundle on carb thanks to that and exited. I also didn't expect to get in @ 26.50-27. Now the waiting begins Conservatively, I'm looking at 40-60bob per share. That would be a pe of 10-15.
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VituVingiSana		#704 Posted : Friday, November 01, 2013 12:43:11 AM
Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,388 Location: Nairobi		HFCK - The largest risk are the new Land Laws. We know in Kenya, that it takes little for 'additional' wives to show up AFTER the guy has died. Or kids. Or other claimants including extended family members and clansmen. Look at mutula kilonzo who impregnated an under-age girl. Now she has a kid and who is claiming a share of mutula's fortune. BTW, this is a muck-raking site but there may be truth to the story/claim. http://kahawatungu.com/2...daughter-of-his-worker/ Kirima Family - http://allafrica.com/stories/201306071728.html though now resolved after a court battle & a settlement. And many more which do not make the news. If the mortgagee dies or defaults, the Lender may have a tough time selling the 'ancestral land' or other property that has been provided as collateral. This may not affect new lending but most of the current mortgages were given prior to the new Land Laws coming into effect. Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - *to paraphrase Warren Buffett*
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VituVingiSana		#705 Posted : Friday, November 01, 2013 12:53:36 PM
Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,388 Location: Nairobi		A huge boost for HFCK but at what price? http://www.reuters.com/a...d-idUSL5N0IM0EG20131101 Kenyan mortgage financier Housing Finance has secured approval to issue a 20 billion shillings ($234.33 million) corporate bond, the market regulator said on Friday. Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - *to paraphrase Warren Buffett*
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obiero		#706 Posted : Friday, November 01, 2013 1:51:05 PM
Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 14,341 Location: nairobi		Metasploit wrote: Weak demand(Even with good results).Touch resistance at 27-28 level. Expect KES 25 to be revisited as bigger players announce 'worthy' results.. Though growing, HF is not at full potential. Not even close.. Ireri has tried, but needs to do more COOP, IMH, KEGN, MTNU
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obiero		#707 Posted : Friday, November 01, 2013 1:52:39 PM
Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 14,341 Location: nairobi		Metasploit wrote: Weak demand(Even with good results).Touch resistance at 27-28 level. Expect KES 25 to be revisited as bigger players announce 'worthy' results.. Though growing, HF is not at full potential. Not even close.. Ireri has tried, but needs to do more COOP, IMH, KEGN, MTNU
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Horton		#708 Posted : Friday, November 01, 2013 2:25:21 PM
Rank: Veteran Joined: 8/30/2007 Posts: 1,558 Location: Nairobi		Obiero so KCBs miss is what ur talking about? Which other company is at a pe of 8, NAV very close to the market price, growing at a consistent 40%+ ? I personally hope it stagnates. Need to jaza proper!
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Aguytrying		#709 Posted : Friday, November 01, 2013 2:32:39 PM
Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2010 Posts: 5,040		obiero wrote: Metasploit wrote: Weak demand(Even with good results).Touch resistance at 27-28 level. Expect KES 25 to be revisited as bigger players announce 'worthy' results.. Though growing, HF is not at full potential. Not even close.. Ireri has tried, but needs to do more @Obiero. Don't be surprised to see HFCK back to 26.00-25.00, some times the market takes time to appreciate value generation. Ireri is doing a fantastic job and will still do more, how many other companies in the NSe can boast of 50% plus growth for 3 years ? Yes he can do more, and he will do more. What more can you ask of a CEO, look at his track record in numbers... HFCK PBT (millions) 2006- 127 2007- 131 2008- 196 2009- 354 2010- 560 2011- 975 2012- 907 2013- 1.3 billion (prediction, with estimate 50% growth) what more do you want from this man. That's 10 times growth in earnings over 8 yrs. The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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Pesa Nane		#710 Posted : Friday, November 01, 2013 6:21:50 PM
Rank: Elder Joined: 5/25/2012 Posts: 4,105 Location: 08c		CMA approves Ksh20billion Housing Finance Medium-Term Note Nairobi, November 01, 2013...The Capital Markets Authority (CMA) has granted approval to Housing Finance Limited to issue and list a medium term note of Ksh20 billion on the fixed income securities market segment of the Nairobi Securities Exchange........ Following review of the lender’s information memorandum, the Authority is satisfied that Housing Finance has made adequate disclosure of material information in accordance with the requirements of the Capital Markets Act, the Second Schedule and Part C of the Third Schedule to the Capital Markets (Securities) (Public Offers, Listing and Disclosures) Regulations, 2002, to enable investors make an informed decision on the programme. Housing Finance will be required to issue specific pricing supplements for each tranche of notes they will issue detailing the nature of the notes to be issued. Source: CMA Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.
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