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Kengen FY13 PAT up 86% on tax credit. PBT Flat
mwekez@ji
#1 Posted : Tuesday, October 29, 2013 5:33:38 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
mlennyma
#2 Posted : Tuesday, October 29, 2013 6:00:39 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,183
Location: nairobi
Kengen is paying alot of debts and if it can afford paying dividend unlike kenya power,its a share worth keeping.the only fear for me can be gvt share dilution in future.
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
murchr
#3 Posted : Tuesday, October 29, 2013 6:59:54 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
This one is for me to keep
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
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sparkly
#4 Posted : Tuesday, October 29, 2013 7:52:08 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
EPS without exceptional item? These tax credits must be resulting from Investment Allowance claims on new plant.
Life is short. Live passionately.
murchr
#5 Posted : Tuesday, October 29, 2013 8:39:37 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
@Ericsson waited for these results now he's nowhere to be seen
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
mwekez@ji
#6 Posted : Tuesday, October 29, 2013 11:47:40 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
... tax credit resulted from capital allowances enjoyed by the company following the completion of Sang’oro and Kindaruma power plants,” said acting KenGen managing director Simon Ngure in a statement.

Sang’oro power added 21 megawatts of power to the national grid while Kindaruma injected 24 megawatts in the year under review.

These investments are what allowed KenGen to earn tax rebates in a scheme started to promote investments outside the city due its economic dominance at the expense of other regions.

http://www.businessdailyafrica....42/-/albjdq/-/index.html
mwekez@ji
#7 Posted : Tuesday, October 29, 2013 11:50:31 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
^ The tax concessions on capital expenditure in new projects began in the 1980s and allows industrialist duty credits of up to 150 per cent of the value of their investment.
VituVingiSana
#8 Posted : Wednesday, October 30, 2013 12:09:06 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,124
Location: Nairobi
The problem with subsidies or 'favored' sectors or tax schemes is highlighted by KenGen's Tax Credit on the Sangoro & Kindaruma plants. KenGen could not have located them in an urban area so there is no real benefit to the 'rural' area. Furthermore, the power plants had to be located in areas where the fuel [water/hydro] was available so even without the Tax Credits, KenGen would have still gone ahead as long as the economics made sense.

What Kenya should do is encourage rural development by investing in infrastructure like roads or access to electricity rather than provide subsidies or breaks to a part of the business community. Most of the power generated by Kindaruma will end up being used in urban centers [not many jobs created that would not have been created] yet the Tax Concession on Capex was meant to foster (re)locating businesses to Rural areas that would otherwise have been located in congested urban areas.

Anyway, that is on a macro level. As far as KenGen is concerned, take the Tax Concession coz it contributes a lot of one-time boost for the EPS ... and there are other capital projects coming up!
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
VituVingiSana
#9 Posted : Wednesday, October 30, 2013 12:13:48 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,124
Location: Nairobi
Ahhh! Here we go...

http://mobile.nation.co....l/-/atyvvq/-/index.html

Instead of locating the assembly plant in Nairobi, it could have done it elsewhere [rural] & gotten tax credits while 'decongesting' Nairobi. Of course, there are many other reasons to have it in Nairobi including customer access & infrastructure [roads, water, electricity, rail].
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
murchr
#10 Posted : Wednesday, October 30, 2013 3:02:49 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Ericsson on Tuesday, July 16, 2013 1:01:27 PM wrote:
Kengen FY2012/2013 profits to hit ksh.5billion due to good hydrology for its hydro power stations and weakening of the Yen which reduces the debt/loan repayments when you convert kenyan shilling to Yen


Post 273

Close call but management's reasons are different. Kengen should expand its market now KPLC is not selling as much as KENGEN would like. But Aggreko is no longer selling power to KPLC.
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
the deal
#11 Posted : Wednesday, October 30, 2013 7:30:22 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
I like KenGen...I have been holding since Ksh7.50 but this results are way below par...ROI from all this new power plants is pathetic at the current tariff...
mwekez@ji
#12 Posted : Wednesday, October 30, 2013 9:28:05 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
KenGen, with the tax credit, now trades at P/E of 7.1x and P/B of 0.2x with an ROE of 3.2% which compares unfavorably to Kenya Power’s P/E of 6.4x and P/B of 0.6x with an ROE of 9.2%
Ericsson
#13 Posted : Wednesday, October 30, 2013 9:29:43 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,702
Location: NAIROBI
@murchr;I am still around.I have been perusing the results vis-a-vis the ones for the major customer (KPLC) and the following are my analysis;
--KENGEN is continuing to gain market share in terms of electricity sales from the IPPs and thermal producers.Good hydrology boosted this as it was able to avail relatively cheap power.
--The additional power to be brought online by the geothermal projects faces a challenge to inability of KPLC KPLC to absorb.This is due to the weak transmission and distribution network.By now we should be having an 800Kv transmission line from Olkaria and the eastern hydros.



Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Ericsson
#14 Posted : Wednesday, October 30, 2013 9:34:46 AM
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Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,702
Location: NAIROBI
--Weak economic growth will lead to a slower growth in the consumption/electricity sales.Our per capita consumption of electricity is still low and the Kenyan economy is growing at below the average sub-saharan economic growth.
--Alot of marketing needs to be done to encourage to consume more power akin to the one been done by mobile phone companies encouraging subscribers to consume more internet bandwidth/bundles.
--280Mw of geothermal power is being brought online by September 2014 with the first 70mw coming on-board in December 2013.
The results are good and even with the debt kengen currently has (ksh.85b)it is still able to give dividends.A good stock to buy and hold
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Kausha
#15 Posted : Wednesday, October 30, 2013 10:38:44 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 2/8/2007
Posts: 808
Kshs 3B financing costs and 16.5B revenue means 18% finance cost. Pity Equity owners, they will never see much dividend. So Kengen has spent 25B adding more than 400MW which is about 30% of it's 2009 capacity. Pity nothing much has flowed to the equity holders and importantly EBIT is barely growing.
mwekez@ji
#16 Posted : Wednesday, October 30, 2013 1:58:10 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
KenGen Plans to Raise $5.5 Billion to Fund Expansion

Kenya Electricity Generating Co., the East African nation’s biggest power producer, said it will raise $5.5 billion in debt and equity to more than double generating capacity over the next 40 months.

The company plans to generate 2,500 megawatts of additional capacity in that period, acting Chief Executive Officer Simon Ngure told reporters today in the capital, Nairobi. About 70 percent of the funds will come from development finance institutions, while the remainder will be sourced from equity including joint ventures, he said.

murchr
#17 Posted : Wednesday, October 30, 2013 2:09:16 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Kausha wrote:
Kshs 3B financing costs and 16.5B revenue means 18% finance cost. Pity Equity owners, they will never see much dividend. So Kengen has spent 25B adding more than 400MW which is about 30% of it's 2009 capacity. Pity nothing much has flowed to the equity holders and importantly EBIT is barely growing.



?????
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
murchr
#18 Posted : Wednesday, October 30, 2013 2:13:18 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Ericsson wrote:
--Weak economic growth will lead to a slower growth in the consumption/electricity sales.Our per capita consumption of electricity is still low and the Kenyan economy is growing at below the average sub-saharan economic growth.
--Alot of marketing needs to be done to encourage to consume more power akin to the one been done by mobile phone companies encouraging subscribers to consume more internet bandwidth/bundles.
--280Mw of geothermal power is being brought online by September 2014 with the first 70mw coming on-board in December 2013.
The results are good and even with the debt kengen currently has (ksh.85b)it is still able to give dividends.A good stock to buy and hold


I totally agree with you, its time to start looking elsewhere for mkt, being dependent on KPLC will hurt KENGEN in the future...and, its time this company got new mgt
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
Ericsson
#19 Posted : Wednesday, October 30, 2013 4:02:37 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,702
Location: NAIROBI
@Murchr and Kausha;
Kausha wrote:
Kshs 3B financing costs and 16.5B revenue means 18% finance cost. Pity Equity owners, they will never see much dividend. So Kengen has spent 25B adding more than 400MW which is about 30% of it's 2009 capacity. Pity nothing much has flowed to the equity holders and importantly EBIT is barely growing.

The reason for the high financing costs is due to repayment of the principal and interest of the PIBO that was issued in 2009.Ksh.3B financing costs is nothing unusual.What needs to be done is increment in electricity consumption like I mentioned earleir
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Pesa Nane
#20 Posted : Thursday, October 31, 2013 9:52:08 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 5/25/2012
Posts: 4,105
Location: 08c
mwekez@ji wrote:
KenGen Plans to Raise $5.5 Billion to Fund Expansion

Kenya Electricity Generating Co., the East African nation’s biggest power producer, said it will raise $5.5 billion in debt and equity to more than double generating capacity over the next 40 months.

The company plans to generate 2,500 megawatts of additional capacity in that period, acting Chief Executive Officer Simon Ngure told reporters today in the capital, Nairobi. About 70 percent of the funds will come from development finance institutions, while the remainder will be sourced from equity including joint ventures, he said.

I had missed the all important $ sign. There goes the rights issue confirmation.
Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.
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