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How to tell NSE has bottomed out
hisah
#4241 Posted : Friday, October 25, 2013 4:38:23 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Aguytrying wrote:
guru267 wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
@Hisah. Is it time to buy NBK? Of the laggards its the one that has profit growth or profit for that matter. However heavy gava shareholding and the recent privatisation news bring uncertainty.
It has reached the point where everyone has lost interest in this counter, No talking about it even.


@Aguy have you considered the convertible prefs that gova holds.... Potentially very dilutive!


Thats the uncertainty with this share. makes it very unattractive




I have been expecting it to tank sub 20 for some time now since the 2013 vol spikes have not turned it bullish. Bollinger bands have constricted warning a looming huge move. RSI is neutral making it hard to judge which side the break will turn to. But being a bank with gok skeletals (preference shares etc) I don't follow it much.

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#4242 Posted : Friday, October 25, 2013 4:44:34 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
the deal wrote:
mkeiyd wrote:
the deal wrote:
I have been looking at Kenya Power...


What do you see? Glimmer of hope?

Yeah still crunching numbers...still looking at different scenarios that can pun out though...lets talk Monday Morning.

Constricting bollinger bands forming with bearish RSI. If the break dips to 10 and below I'll buy that panic crash.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#4243 Posted : Friday, October 25, 2013 4:47:10 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Ericsson wrote:
KCB has nicked the ksh.50 per share.Next target is now ksh.60

I expect the good news to push the price back to 45 for a reload! 60 will come later from that reload. Same script for member.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
murchr
#4244 Posted : Friday, October 25, 2013 8:08:40 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
How do we tell the NSE has bottomed out this year?
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
Cde Monomotapa
#4245 Posted : Friday, October 25, 2013 11:29:22 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
..when Brother, Comrade & Chief @ycsun shows and says hi! Uko wapi bruv?!?
Metasploit
#4246 Posted : Saturday, October 26, 2013 8:28:31 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 985
Location: Dar es salaam,Tanzania
hisah wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
KCB has nicked the ksh.50 per share.Next target is now ksh.60

I expect the good news to push the price back to 45 for a reload! 60 will come later from that reload. Same script for member.





“The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.”
murchr
#4247 Posted : Monday, October 28, 2013 1:29:14 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
hisah
#4248 Posted : Monday, October 28, 2013 3:35:01 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
mlennyma wrote:
So next week will see several announcements.

This week and next week result news bites will be make or break for 5000 barrier. Failure here again will be unpleasant for the bulls. A break above 5030 - 5100 range will be significant. If November confirms a top out, then Jan-Feb 2014 rally will be a sucker rally that will trap many bulls.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
mlennyma
#4249 Posted : Monday, October 28, 2013 6:57:58 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,182
Location: nairobi
It is however encouraging to note that the market has upto the moment defied the slow down which is common phenomena year in year out from october to december by always trading health volumes...this tells me the nse will grow steadly for the next 3yrs.
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
Ericsson
#4250 Posted : Monday, October 28, 2013 11:47:19 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,677
Location: NAIROBI
KENGEN where are the results.You are now the only listed company with financial year ending June 30 yet to announce full year results
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
mwekez@ji
#4251 Posted : Monday, October 28, 2013 12:56:48 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
..when Brother, Comrade & Chief @ycsun shows and says hi! Uko wapi bruv?!?

Cde Monomotapa
#4252 Posted : Monday, October 28, 2013 1:03:41 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
mwekez@ji wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
..when Brother, Comrade & Chief @ycsun shows and says hi! Uko wapi bruv?!?


Like seriously..where's this guy?
murchr
#4253 Posted : Monday, October 28, 2013 2:51:32 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Last seen: Saturday, August 10, 2013 4:51:44 PM
Number of Posts: 6,777
[1.41% of all post / 5.15 posts per day]

Was looking for him another day too...@ycsun please show up
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
Ericsson
#4254 Posted : Monday, October 28, 2013 4:03:43 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,677
Location: NAIROBI
Housing Finance has just released results for the first 9 months of 2013 with a 71% growth in net income;
http://www.businessdaily...22/-/i29odf/-/index.html
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
streetwise
#4255 Posted : Monday, October 28, 2013 4:33:48 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 6/23/2011
Posts: 1,740
Location: Nairobi
How did they do it..
Cde Monomotapa
#4256 Posted : Monday, October 28, 2013 4:46:03 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
streetwise wrote:
How did they do it..


The HF PDF http://bit.ly/1cceJfZ and good question. Smh...
Cde Monomotapa
#4257 Posted : Monday, October 28, 2013 4:56:44 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
streetwise wrote:
How did they do it..


The HF PDF http://bit.ly/1cceJfZ and good question. Smh...


I think as VVS mentioned elsewhere, and specifically HF, all those properties provide for good security so provisions aren't much a headache in a buoyant property mkt like Kenya's.

Now to await those of the commercial banks with un-secured/personal & SME loans.
murchr
#4258 Posted : Monday, October 28, 2013 5:07:56 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Ericsson wrote:
Housing Finance has just released results for the first 9 months of 2013 with a 71% growth in net income;
http://www.businessdaily...2/-/i29odf/-/index.html



smile
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
sparkly
#4259 Posted : Monday, October 28, 2013 5:58:34 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
murchr wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Housing Finance has just released results for the first 9 months of 2013 with a 71% growth in net income;
http://www.businessdaily...2/-/i29odf/-/index.html



smile


Lovely lovely lovely. I will be adding to this baby very soon.
Life is short. Live passionately.
mlennyma
#4260 Posted : Monday, October 28, 2013 6:02:07 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,182
Location: nairobi
Its 30bob or never.
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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