The Somali piracy menace has significantly decreased over the years, with only 10 incidents
reported so far this year. Their money is not what is currently driving the fake real estate house boom although it may have contributed at the beginning. Corruption proceeds have so distorted the market it’s led to many people believing there is no bubble since most purchases are financed in cash (CBK data). Very few realize that corruption proceeds are, in a sense, extremely cheap loans (0% interest and no need to pay back!) being ploughed into real estate. Since 9/11, it’s quite obvious why and partially explains how the real estate boom started in 2002 i.e. Murungaru’s woes hiding money and later Okemo’s extradition case.
The knock-on effects: we now have a situation where the ordinary mwananchi is having difficulty finding a place to call home, even far from Nairobi, where the pirate money never entered but corruption money has:
Property boom turns tide against Kiambu., something being replicated across the country where the real estate boom has gotten a foothold.
Now add the poverty level which according to the WB has remained constant for the last few years:
Kenya fails poverty reduction test, putting paid to arguments that Kenyans are getting richer.
As the title of this thread states, one of the very few avenues left to make a fortune is to get into real estate and speculate, further escalating the problem i.e.
Express Kenya to build houses 15-acre land. Quote from the article: ”
Express Kenya joins a growing list of NSE listed companies that are turning to the vibrant real estate sector to boost their growth.” These companies are sidelining their main business, competing against corruption proceeds (extremely hot money), all leading to a vicious bubble that can and must end with misery, a situation which is aptly summed up by one of Warren Buffet’s most famous quotes : “Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful”.
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