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Matiba sells 2m Carbacid Shares to Centum
stockyt
#21 Posted : Wednesday, May 20, 2009 8:57:00 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/15/2006
Posts: 41
My 2cents.

Cant see much in centums acquisition of 20%carbacid unless smebody should tell us at what price. that is the most important point. centum's value is based on their diversified portfolio,acquiring so much of one company is not necessarily great opportunity unless at big bargain- remember RVR which has much greater potential.

I mean there are bargains all over the place- perhaps the only advantage in carbacids case is that they will be able to get the big chunk without having to disrupt supply/demand as would be with other bargain counters currently trading.

And I bet the pricing/valuation will not be very different from current status of other trading counters.
The General
#22 Posted : Wednesday, May 20, 2009 9:09:00 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 6/3/2006
Posts: 553
@stockyt,Maybe this could answer your question on the value of carbacid to Centum:

The company mines carbon dioxide,and fills the gas in cylinders at its Nairobi plant. The largest consumers of Carbacid products are soft drink and beer manufacturers.


The thicker the thigh the sweeter the pie.
The thicker the thigh the sweeter the pie.
Ruchwarsteve
#23 Posted : Wednesday, May 20, 2009 9:51:00 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 4/8/2009
Posts: 34
The time to jump out is now. Stay if Mworia has won your heart.

RUCHWARSTEVE -super surfing
jammo
#24 Posted : Wednesday, May 20, 2009 10:01:00 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 2/12/2008
Posts: 345
Centum..
What's their main source of income?
..dividends from other investments
..share of profits from other businesses
..nini ingine?..occasional trade off of an investment..
My point..it's not a collective investment scheme..with constant flow of cash..regardless of market status..bull..bear..pig..etc

so..cost averagin by centum in stocks is limited by cash they have..fact of the matter..whole stock portfolio is down more than 50%...buying more to easen loss burden in very much limited by the cash the hold..especially when all businesses had a slump last year n not everyone was keen on declaring dividend...




+If ur investment lost 50% value..and u bought more of it..same cash value as earlier purchase..assumin its kcb bought earlier at 30 n it's at 15..it would mean that at 23 u'd hav broken even..the more u buy..the better for u..especially if price is goin up... But do you have that much cash to do so..not only one counter..but all others? ..plus everytime index turns red u r totally petrified!
The perception that most institutions hav some genius of sorts locked in a room to come up with excellent investment especially in the NSE is a lie!! If anyone had approached u to buy their carbacid/Boc shares i doubt u'd hav hesitated to buy.
On that note...the alliance nominees that sold to centum must hav clawed in a good profit..so until centum tables the figures.Talk is cheap..even for CEOs. Please look for another thing to buy! Especially if the ur investment in centum is likely to be more than 10% overall portfolio.
But again.. I could be wrong.


DISCLAIMER: This is the opinion of one Jammo,CFA,CPA,Opinionated and Loud,based in nairobi. Whilst care has been taken in compiling the data to be as most factual n logical,he doesn't accept any responsibility of accuracy or completeness of info contained herein..neither does he purport to be a genius!
The Real Shaft
#25 Posted : Wednesday, May 20, 2009 10:25:00 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/19/2008
Posts: 839
right said ....

however....

why does an investor.... such as myself.......

need to know what a company does.... i thought it was how........

and that is why i still have msc.....

and not kcb....

I'm the real Massey F.....shut your mouth
I'm the real Massey Fergu...... Shut your mouth....
The General
#26 Posted : Wednesday, May 20, 2009 10:33:00 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 6/3/2006
Posts: 553
@ Jammo,i don't think your wrong,i think you are spot on especially with this comment:

The perception that most institutions hav some genius of sorts locked in a room to come up with excellent investment especially in the NSE is a lie!!

To prove this,one only has to look at the NSE listed portfolio that Centum has.

The thicker the thigh the sweeter the pie.
The thicker the thigh the sweeter the pie.
Mainat
#27 Posted : Wednesday, May 20, 2009 11:12:00 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/21/2006
Posts: 1,590
If my source is correct (and I&rsquo;m doubting it now),that Centum paid Ksh350m for the stake (its 22.5% btw),then this could well be the bargain deal of yr so far. Carbacid's interim dps was Ksh5 and annualised EPS is 19.53 based on interim PBT of KSh155m.

www.mjengakenya.blogspot.com
Sehemu ndio nyumba
jammo
#28 Posted : Wednesday, May 20, 2009 11:37:00 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 2/12/2008
Posts: 345
@mjengakenya...that translates to about 137bob a share..closing price when the suspension took effect.. I don't get this...the seller didn't factor in value growth over period of suspension? Kwani how desperate r they for the 350million!

DISCLAIMER: This is the opinion of one Jammo,CFA,CPA,Opinionated and Loud,based in nairobi. Whilst care has been taken in compiling the data to be as most factual n logical,he doesn't accept any responsibility of accuracy or completeness of info contained herein..neither does he purport to be a genius!
Mainat
#29 Posted : Wednesday, May 20, 2009 11:53:00 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/21/2006
Posts: 1,590
@jam- hence the caveat...But I seem to recall reading about some cash issues/unpdaid loans affecting some if not most of Matiba's businesses akina Hillcrest; Alliance hotels et al-so maybe immediate cashflow injection was too tempting...

www.mjengakenya.blogspot.com
Sehemu ndio nyumba
mozenrat
#30 Posted : Wednesday, May 20, 2009 11:55:00 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/18/2008
Posts: 796
@Jammo.... Can't say whether the 350 figure is correct but as to desperation... Oh yes they are... That I know... visited their hotels lately?... They need the money...
Moibutu
#31 Posted : Thursday, November 05, 2009 9:15:00 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/12/2008
Posts: 58
Assuming matiba sold each share at 140 bob,he must be crying now!!! Investment is really very tricky

die trying
VituVingiSana
#32 Posted : Thursday, November 05, 2009 11:03:00 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,107
Location: Nairobi
Its is about ego. If matiba had accepted 137 (Nairumours say he got 160 in 2009) for his Carbacid in 2005... the interest at 10% would have given him 50+. overall he has lost money by playing games with BOC.
**** If matiba had gained control of BOC,the only beneficiary would have been matiba. The other shareholders would have been cleaned out like at olympia.

Greedy when others are fearful,Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase WB
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Nairoberry
#33 Posted : Friday, November 06, 2009 9:46:00 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/24/2009
Posts: 20
Lets look at it this way? If you think Matiba made a loss,how much do you think he had bought the shares at? What was the opportunity cost of pulling out when he did?

Carbacid shareholders are lucky their share was shielded from all that drama that has happened in the last year..Matiba was a blessing for them,but thats a story for another day. Now the question is how much did they lose out in that period if they had invested the money elsewhere? Just food for thought.

Nairoberry-'The darker the berry the sweeter the juice'
Pretty
#34 Posted : Friday, November 06, 2009 10:58:00 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 5/8/2009
Posts: 263
Location: Gigiri, Nairobi
@Nairoberry

v To add on what you&rsquo;ve said,if Matiba had not sold his 22.6% (or is it 26.2%) shares of Carbacid to Centum,would BOC and Carbacid agreed to settle out of court? Maybe,the whole strategy was to make Matiba pull out from Carbacid. Remember,even in business,out maneuvering opponents is a fair game.

v Thinking outside the box is crucial in business as well as in politics. That&rsquo;s why you need to read 'The Art of War'. It applies in Marketing and Business. Look at fibre optic wars,you aint seen nothing yet.

v By the way,Nairoberry,where had you disappeared to? Welcome back.


>>>>>>It saves you hell if you treat new acquaintances as enemies consistently until each proves otherwise or confirms - Jsanchiazh.
>>>>>>>In life,there are three classes of people,those who make things happen,those who watch things happen and those who ask what happened. Where do you fall?
>>>>>>
A thing of beauty is a joy for ever:
Its loveliness increases;
It will never pass into nothingness;
But still will keep a bower quiet for us,
and a sleep full of sweet dreams,
and health, and quiet breathing. - Keats

>>>>>>>In life,there are three classes of people,
1. Those who make things happen,
2. Those who watch things happen
3. And those who ask what happened.

Where do you fall?
Mainat
#35 Posted : Friday, November 06, 2009 11:33:00 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/21/2006
Posts: 1,590
Matiba only sold out bcos of 2 main reasons


His Alliance empire is monetarily-challenged. Very
The buyer wasn't a chute or foreigner. Go back to his presidential campaigns if u don't believe

But @ Ksh160,he didn't do his mathabu.


www.mjengakenya.blogspot.com
Sehemu ndio nyumba
VituVingiSana
#36 Posted : Friday, November 06, 2009 12:30:00 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,107
Location: Nairobi
@mainat: Carbacid shareholders are lucky that matiba does not control Carbacid... he wud have stolen from it... guaranteed... to prop up his failing (unholy) alliance... He tried to take control of Carbacid but was rebuffed (thus he was pissed at the other significant shareholders)... U know what happened at olympia... the benefits were one-sided (management)... matiba hails pretty close to where matu hails from... And kirubi speaks the same language as matiba...

Greedy when others are fearful,Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase WB
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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