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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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Closely watching the US 10yr treasury note like a hawk. It is hinting that an equities winter is coming... A break above that falling line and sustained pressure towards and above 4% will mean capital is flooding back to the into the USD. Bonds and equity prices will definitely tank. Septembers are notorious for sizable market drops...  $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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Bradley Manning sentenced to 35 years in Wikileaks case - http://www.bbc.co.uk/new...orld-us-canada-23784288
Quote:The US soldier convicted of handing a trove of secret government documents to anti-secrecy website Wikileaks has been sentenced to 35 years in prison.
Pte First Class Bradley Manning, 25, was convicted in July of 20 charges against him, including espionage. Uncle sam has failed the its own democratic test. #Foreignpolicy under water... $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/23/2010 Posts: 2,221 Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
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Dow does a 3 digit plunge to close at 14897,down 105points. 10year paper at 2.93% ATM. This tapering thing @SufficientlyP
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/25/2009 Posts: 4,534 Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
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The Taper is chocking folks in Asia...Africa is being spared at the moment...hold a bit of cash...in case we get hit next.
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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Nasdaq halts all trading after technical problem http://www.reuters.com/a...E97L0V420130822?irpc=932$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 7/22/2011 Posts: 1,325
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[quote=hisah]Nasdaq halts all trading after technical problem http://www.reuters.com/a...97L0V420130822?irpc=932[/quote] Its halting trading of options trades, not all trades.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/23/2010 Posts: 2,221 Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
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To resume 3.25pm ET @SufficientlyP
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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Nabwire wrote:Its halting trading of options trades, not all trades. That was the Reuters headline. Other reports by WSJ, FT and CNBC also confirm the same.
http://www.cnbc.com//id/100968086
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/26/2012 Posts: 15,980
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hisah wrote:Nabwire wrote:Its halting trading of options trades, not all trades. That was the Reuters headline. Other reports by WSJ, FT and CNBC also confirm the same.
http://www.cnbc.com//id/100968086
Then it was the big stocks that could not trade FB, Google, etc...#Panic "There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/26/2012 Posts: 15,980
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"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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Last week it was NASDAQ. This week it's TA25 as the market yesterday experienced a sudden crash due to a trader's 'typo' while selling a 'particular' stock. http://www.timesofisrael...ck-exchange-plummeting/
#TelAvivStockFatFingerEvent Meanwhile Russia tells off uncle sam on Syria's chemical weapons pretext show by reminding everyone about Bush and the Iraqi WMD 'true story' - http://www.cbsnews.com/8...raq/&catid=57600013 or this http://www.dailymail.co....ing-Philip-Doughty.html
#TangoDown - too much geopolitical distraction happening at the moment. Which show are we missing as Syria & Egypt get paraded? Debt ceiling, Greece, gold/silver market, US bonds, Chingland credit squeeze, Japs reflation madness... Remember Sept are notorious for sizable market volatility... $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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Central banks urged to cooperate on QE exit - http://www.cnbc.com//id/100985628 Btw this Greece issue was always going to reappear after the German election. Kick the can down the road until ze election passes then pull Greece out of the bailout magic hat. But after the Cyprus shock & awe event successful prototype, I expect Greece to have a bail in event... $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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the deal wrote:The Taper is chocking folks in Asia...Africa is being spared at the moment...hold a bit of cash...in case we get hit next. Visualized courtesy of dareconomics blog.
Btw JSE has somehow manage to survive the Rand smackdown against my expectation.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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the deal wrote:The only thing you can bet on in Zimbabwe is Mugabes health & life expectancy.... Here we go again. This man Mugabe...
http://www.aljazeera.com/se/2013825134210814148
Btw after the dust settles, the zim market will be the best bet for a few years... For now let the selling continue with sizable fat tails (discounts).
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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Lynn Szymoniak - in the near future when the housing market will be stuck on the iceberg, this woman will be honoured for her work on exposing those fraudulent mortgages. The consequence will be a mortgage restructuring event across the globe. Definitely property bursts will be everywhere. Impossible... So was GFC... $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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In Asia the liquidity squeeze is raising a nasty capital flight storm as per Asia USD index nosedive since May 2013 . The most of the top asian equity markets are officially in bear zone... Will the rest of the global catch up? This Asia USD index thing is about to fall very badly... And with it asian currencies will go bananas. 1997 deja vu...  Indonesian rupia looking pretty bad... $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/25/2009 Posts: 4,534 Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
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hisah wrote:the deal wrote:The Taper is chocking folks in Asia...Africa is being spared at the moment...hold a bit of cash...in case we get hit next. Visualized courtesy of dareconomics blog.
Btw JSE has somehow manage to survive the Rand smackdown against my expectation.
Yep JSE trading at All time high's....earnings have been quiet strong though...also Rand hedge stocks helping keep the JSE afloat...waiting for some GDP data this week.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/25/2009 Posts: 4,534 Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
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hisah wrote:In Asia the liquidity squeeze is raising a nasty capital flight storm as per Asia USD index nosedive since May 2013 . The most of the top asian equity markets are officially in bear zone... Will the rest of the global catch up? This Asia USD index thing is about to fall very badly... And with it asian currencies will go bananas. 1997 deja vu... Indonesian rupia looking pretty bad... Asia in a tailspin...blame globalisation 
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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Definitely not liking oil price behaviour...  This Syria thing is creating geopolitical risk pressure... $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/26/2012 Posts: 15,980
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hisah wrote:Definitely not liking oil price behaviour... This Syria thing is creating geopolitical risk pressure... Clearly all signals are out NATO is about to strike Syria. Gold and oil will def head to the skies. "There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
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