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Kenya Airways FY 2012/13 after tax loss of 7.8bn
guru267
#181 Posted : Sunday, August 04, 2013 12:39:21 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
The NAV on this thing is not sooo bad... 31billion to be precise!

Even if they lost another 4.4billion this year we would still have a NAV per share of 17.95bob...

If you ask me after further analysis, I think its time to speculate on this one since at 8-9 bob we are at 50% of forward book value smile
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
mwekez@ji
#182 Posted : Monday, August 05, 2013 11:53:18 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
guru267 wrote:
The NAV on this thing is not sooo bad... 31billion to be precise!

Even if they lost another 4.4billion this year we would still have a NAV per share of 17.95bob...

If you ask me after further analysis, I think its time to speculate on this one since at 8-9 bob we are at 50% of forward book value smile


@guru, what do you have on the "further analyis"
Siringi
#183 Posted : Tuesday, August 06, 2013 1:41:07 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/8/2013
Posts: 2,517
Think Think Think
Every day I look how this stock has haemorrhaged... i console my self that my money did not go to waste but was a good investment in the Kenya's Rugby Sevens Team.



Those of us sailing in kwa hii Masua pigeni moyo konde for the patriotic duty our investment is doing for this country
every try counts



"😖😡KQ makes money for everyone except the shareholder 😏😏 " overheard in Wazua
jokes
#184 Posted : Tuesday, August 06, 2013 3:44:00 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 7/1/2008
Posts: 323
This is the time to buy, buy and buy.
sky5
#185 Posted : Tuesday, August 06, 2013 4:18:20 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 5/7/2010
Posts: 282
Location: Nairobi
jokes wrote:
This is the time to buy, buy and buy.


I AGREE.

"The time of maximum pessimism is the best time to buy, and the time of maximum optimism is the best time to sell." - Sir John Templeton.

obiero
#186 Posted : Tuesday, August 06, 2013 7:38:31 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,555
Location: nairobi
mwekez@ji wrote:
guru267 wrote:
The NAV on this thing is not sooo bad... 31billion to be precise!

Even if they lost another 4.4billion this year we would still have a NAV per share of 17.95bob...

If you ask me after further analysis, I think its time to speculate on this one since at 8-9 bob we are at 50% of forward book value smile


@guru, what do you have on the "further analyis"

@mwekezaji. hauoni? all indications favor KQ for a suprise push upwards circa KES 17 in mid term and possibility of KES 45 and above in next three years

HF 90,000 ABP 3.83; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
maka
#187 Posted : Monday, August 12, 2013 1:03:17 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
mwekez@ji
#188 Posted : Monday, August 12, 2013 2:57:23 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
hisah
#189 Posted : Monday, August 12, 2013 7:16:52 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
obiero wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
guru267 wrote:
The NAV on this thing is not sooo bad... 31billion to be precise!

Even if they lost another 4.4billion this year we would still have a NAV per share of 17.95bob...

If you ask me after further analysis, I think its time to speculate on this one since at 8-9 bob we are at 50% of forward book value smile


@guru, what do you have on the "further analyis"

@mwekezaji. hauoni? all indications favor KQ for a suprise push upwards circa KES 17 in mid term and possibility of KES 45 and above in next three years

I agree with both @guru and @obiero. The market has discounted the share too long as gross bearish extreme sentiments take effect more than a year now. The overselling will have to reset at some point. That overselling plus price crash make an interesting cocktail for a snappish rebound on any hint of a slightest of recovery. I look forward to trade that rebound where bad news will be good news and good news becomes very good news. Rebound very likely to post 50%, but 100% is also likely. However bullish case remains unseen for at least more 18 months using TA triangle projections. Turn window around May - June 2014 then Jan - Feb 2015. Yep, large time frames, no short term shortcuts for now.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Cde Monomotapa
#190 Posted : Monday, August 12, 2013 7:40:46 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Fundies must come through ASAP here, same goes for KK.
mwekez@ji
#191 Posted : Thursday, August 15, 2013 2:52:33 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
8.30 printed!!!
hisah
#192 Posted : Thursday, August 15, 2013 3:19:19 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
mwekez@ji wrote:
8.30 printed!!!

Flagging the intention; sub 9.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Aguytrying
#193 Posted : Thursday, August 15, 2013 9:02:09 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
hisah wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
8.30 printed!!!

Flagging the intention; sub 9.


ata kobole can print here
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
hisah
#194 Posted : Thursday, August 15, 2013 11:52:10 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Precision Air seeks $32 million state bailout... KQ owns 41% of this airline - http://www.businessdaily...6/-/i9t4a3/-/index.html

Bunker sentiments at KQ... Mr market still not merciful.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
murchr
#195 Posted : Friday, August 16, 2013 7:56:05 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
hisah wrote:
Precision Air seeks $32 million state bailout... KQ owns 41% of this airline - http://www.businessdaily...6/-/i9t4a3/-/index.html

Bunker sentiments at KQ... Mr market still not merciful.


Not good at all
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
mwekez@ji
#196 Posted : Friday, August 16, 2013 8:57:45 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
murchr wrote:
hisah wrote:
Precision Air seeks $32 million state bailout... KQ owns 41% of this airline - http://www.businessdaily...6/-/i9t4a3/-/index.html

Bunker sentiments at KQ... Mr market still not merciful.


Not good at all


Indeed not good ... Fate is against this counter.
mwekez@ji
#197 Posted : Friday, August 16, 2013 9:01:03 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
Aguytrying wrote:
hisah wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
8.30 printed!!!

Flagging the intention; sub 9.


ata kobole can print here


ata lower
Pierce
#198 Posted : Friday, August 16, 2013 9:57:56 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/16/2009
Posts: 1,464
15/Sept/2013 9.85

Purchase 50,000 shares

15/Dec/2013 13.85


Unit difference 4

Pesa ya Xmas Kshs 200,000
mwanahisa
#199 Posted : Friday, August 16, 2013 10:48:20 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/2/2008
Posts: 1,438
Shares at 9.00 begging for a taker. Bidders well below.

As expected, post the results the share price was headed in only one direction (DOWN) and it still is, unless there is a dramatic positive event, of which I can't see any on the horrizon ATM.
hisah
#200 Posted : Friday, August 16, 2013 1:06:34 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
VWAP currently 8.85 and likely to close sub 9/- Sad this in a bullish period spanning from May 2012...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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