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Kenya Airways FY 2012/13 after tax loss of 7.8bn
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guru267
#181 Posted : Sunday, August 04, 2013 12:39:21 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
The NAV on this thing is not sooo bad... 31billion to be precise!

Even if they lost another 4.4billion this year we would still have a NAV per share of 17.95bob...

If you ask me after further analysis, I think its time to speculate on this one since at 8-9 bob we are at 50% of forward book value smile
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
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mwekez@ji
#182 Posted : Monday, August 05, 2013 11:53:18 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
guru267 wrote:
The NAV on this thing is not sooo bad... 31billion to be precise!

Even if they lost another 4.4billion this year we would still have a NAV per share of 17.95bob...

If you ask me after further analysis, I think its time to speculate on this one since at 8-9 bob we are at 50% of forward book value smile


@guru, what do you have on the "further analyis"
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Siringi
#183 Posted : Tuesday, August 06, 2013 1:41:07 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/8/2013
Posts: 2,517
Think Think Think
Every day I look how this stock has haemorrhaged... i console my self that my money did not go to waste but was a good investment in the Kenya's Rugby Sevens Team.



Those of us sailing in kwa hii Masua pigeni moyo konde for the patriotic duty our investment is doing for this country
every try counts



"😖😡KQ makes money for everyone except the shareholder 😏😏 " overheard in Wazua
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jokes
#184 Posted : Tuesday, August 06, 2013 3:44:00 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 7/1/2008
Posts: 323
This is the time to buy, buy and buy.
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sky5
#185 Posted : Tuesday, August 06, 2013 4:18:20 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 5/7/2010
Posts: 282
Location: Nairobi
jokes wrote:
This is the time to buy, buy and buy.


I AGREE.

"The time of maximum pessimism is the best time to buy, and the time of maximum optimism is the best time to sell." - Sir John Templeton.
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obiero
#186 Posted : Tuesday, August 06, 2013 7:38:31 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,253
Location: nairobi
mwekez@ji wrote:
guru267 wrote:
The NAV on this thing is not sooo bad... 31billion to be precise!

Even if they lost another 4.4billion this year we would still have a NAV per share of 17.95bob...

If you ask me after further analysis, I think its time to speculate on this one since at 8-9 bob we are at 50% of forward book value smile


@guru, what do you have on the "further analyis"

@mwekezaji. hauoni? all indications favor KQ for a suprise push upwards circa KES 17 in mid term and possibility of KES 45 and above in next three years
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maka
#187 Posted : Monday, August 12, 2013 1:03:17 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
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mwekez@ji
#188 Posted : Monday, August 12, 2013 2:57:23 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
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hisah
#189 Posted : Monday, August 12, 2013 7:16:52 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
obiero wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
guru267 wrote:
The NAV on this thing is not sooo bad... 31billion to be precise!

Even if they lost another 4.4billion this year we would still have a NAV per share of 17.95bob...

If you ask me after further analysis, I think its time to speculate on this one since at 8-9 bob we are at 50% of forward book value smile


@guru, what do you have on the "further analyis"

@mwekezaji. hauoni? all indications favor KQ for a suprise push upwards circa KES 17 in mid term and possibility of KES 45 and above in next three years

I agree with both @guru and @obiero. The market has discounted the share too long as gross bearish extreme sentiments take effect more than a year now. The overselling will have to reset at some point. That overselling plus price crash make an interesting cocktail for a snappish rebound on any hint of a slightest of recovery. I look forward to trade that rebound where bad news will be good news and good news becomes very good news. Rebound very likely to post 50%, but 100% is also likely. However bullish case remains unseen for at least more 18 months using TA triangle projections. Turn window around May - June 2014 then Jan - Feb 2015. Yep, large time frames, no short term shortcuts for now.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Cde Monomotapa
#190 Posted : Monday, August 12, 2013 7:40:46 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Fundies must come through ASAP here, same goes for KK.
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