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KQ up,up & away
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McReggae
#61 Posted : Tuesday, November 24, 2009 1:07:00 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/17/2008
Posts: 23,365
Location: Nairobi
kizee.....wat was that again,sijaelewa swali lako?

The chief value of money lies in the fact that one lives in a world in which it is overestimated.
..."Wewe ni mtu mdogo sana....na mwenye amekuandika pia ni mtu mdogo sana!".
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Pierce
#62 Posted : Tuesday, November 24, 2009 1:09:00 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/16/2009
Posts: 1,464
@kizee,impossible!Perhaps the opposite
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VituVingiSana
#63 Posted : Wednesday, November 25, 2009 7:57:00 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,103
Location: Nairobi
LOL... I thot there would be resistance at 30 but it shot past that in a hurry (though there was resistance at 29.25)...

I saw a trade at 33... IMHO the price should be closer to 42/- since the profits will increase in 2H 2009-10 (vs prior year) as well the NAV of 42...

As far as the price resistance levels... I do not know but I think many folks who bought at 17-30 will start selling at some point...

Greedy when others are fearful,Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase WB
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Pierce
#64 Posted : Wednesday, November 25, 2009 8:04:00 AM
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Joined: 3/16/2009
Posts: 1,464
@VVS,

Are you implying that those who bought at between 17-30 will sell at around 42 bob!
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VituVingiSana
#65 Posted : Wednesday, November 25, 2009 8:53:00 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,103
Location: Nairobi
@Pierce - No... LOL... (I would have little idea...)

What I am saying it that I expect some sort of profit-taking to happen between now & wherever the price goes... Not everyone is in it for the 'longer-term' & many may/will take their profits...

Greedy when others are fearful,Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase WB
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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mlefu
#66 Posted : Wednesday, November 25, 2009 12:16:00 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/11/2007
Posts: 1,680
Location: nairobi
wewewewe...what`s going on bwana...started the fight last week at 23 and now growing strong at 33....pierce..wanaume ni kusaidiana ..whats up?


i love your smile....
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Impunity
#67 Posted : Wednesday, November 25, 2009 1:11:00 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 3/2/2009
Posts: 26,328
Location: Masada
I think KQ is going back to where it belonged;The 70-ntish bracket.If u didnt check in on time,then just wave at the aircraft.Its gone for good by the way.Am not seeing this stock touching the below 20 mark in the near future.

The Hague...or Local Triburnal ama TJRC.
Portfolio: Sold
You know you've made it when you get a parking space for your yatcht.
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ecstacy
#68 Posted : Wednesday, November 25, 2009 1:13:00 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2008
Posts: 4,449
Glad the KQ doomsdayers are warming up albeit late,better than never. KQ is targetting the lucrative African market that can only grow.... Imagine if they took the battle to the Arabian turf.....sooner rather than much later..for a counter that had a negative P/E and hedges now working better for them..
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Bangkok
#69 Posted : Wednesday, November 25, 2009 3:17:00 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 4/6/2007
Posts: 31
I have just sold all mine at Ksh 32.50 and made some profit after a very long time!

I have figure that these shares can go up to Ksh 50 or fall back down to Ksh 20. But why wait to find out what will happen if thee is a window of making some hay when the sun is shining? I have had enough suffering in this market to take more chances.


Bangkok
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ecstacy
#70 Posted : Wednesday, November 25, 2009 3:58:00 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2008
Posts: 4,449
KQ is an accumulation counter. some sold at 20. 23,25,27,30,32.50..thank god. at these prices KQ and NBK are likely headed in the same direction north...next year march peaks not this week especially for the former..you will thank SK.
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sparkly
#71 Posted : Wednesday, November 25, 2009 4:10:00 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
@bangkok,are you not making your hay too early? the market is just waking up. And it is waking up big!


The economy is recovering. World Bank predicts a growth of 3.5% in 2010.
The corporates are returning improved profitability.
Tourism and tea & coffee are booming
The draft constitution has been published,showing signs of political stability in the coming years,hence lowering the perceived political risks
Look across the counters,all the stocks look to be recovering,some slower than others. As a rule the large Caps recover first i.e safricom,EABL,NMG,KCB,your KQ on and on. The mid Caps follow shortly and the small caps will bring in the rear.

This is the time you need to stay invested,or increase your investment in your preferred counters.

You need to pick your counters wisely though,as a good investor should
Life is short. Live passionately.
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sparkly
#72 Posted : Wednesday, November 25, 2009 4:16:00 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
@bangkok,one more thing ... the stock market is being demutualised,this will boost investor confidence,in addition to the regulations the CMA has already published e.g. financial disclosures,Know your customer,corporate governance of the capital market players etc
Life is short. Live passionately.
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ktr
#73 Posted : Wednesday, November 25, 2009 4:32:00 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 5/6/2009
Posts: 30
If wishes were horses beggars might ride.just waving it soaring steadily into the sky.

...better bitter butter.
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Bangkok
#74 Posted : Wednesday, November 25, 2009 6:38:00 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 4/6/2007
Posts: 31
@sparkly,

I am not out of the market as yet but what I did was to do away with KQ since I could not find any good reason to justify such a steep increase in prices withinn such a short time save speculation. I may be wrong on this but I have seen such before.

I am now watching NBK which seems to be waking up a deep slumber.


Bangkok
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ecstacy
#75 Posted : Wednesday, November 25, 2009 7:04:00 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2008
Posts: 4,449
totally unconfirmed reports that some good thing with KQ expected in December
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VituVingiSana
#76 Posted : Wednesday, November 25, 2009 9:37:00 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,103
Location: Nairobi
@bangkok - There has to be a buyer & a seller... Not to worry... coz you have your profits locked in no matter what!

KQ was oversold... I have said the NAV is 42 or higher if the hedges go their way & profits are made this year.

I hope KQ can find more planes asap since that is critical to maintaining the growth in Africa. Their main competitor (Ethiopian) is buying planes left & right!!!

Due to lack of mid-size Boeings... Ethiopian is buying A350s... What is KQ doing???

Greedy when others are fearful,Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase WB
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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VituVingiSana
#77 Posted : Wednesday, November 25, 2009 9:39:00 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,103
Location: Nairobi
Why December?

And do share with us...

KQ does not release financials for quarter (Oct-Dec)... Next set of financial results will be in 2010...

Greedy when others are fearful,Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase WB
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Pierce
#78 Posted : Thursday, November 26, 2009 5:35:00 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/16/2009
Posts: 1,464
My sincere advice: Earliest ANYONE should think of selling KQ is END OF FEBRUARY 2010.

don't ask why................................
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VituVingiSana
#79 Posted : Thursday, November 26, 2009 5:53:00 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,103
Location: Nairobi
@Pierce - LOL.. I gotta ask... why?

BTW,the year end is 31 March...

Greedy when others are fearful,Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase WB
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Pierce
#80 Posted : Thursday, November 26, 2009 6:03:00 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/16/2009
Posts: 1,464
Because I assume there will be soo much hype in the international media about Sevens,WCup etc etc and the World.....(yes the World) will rush for this stock. Then you can consider exiting depending on your risk apetite....(mine ni kama ya fried fish pale Lwangni Group of hotels).............very high.
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