Egypt - not looking good at all. KE exporters trading with Egypt will experience a revenue squeeze like back in 2011. An unstable Egypt is bad news for the middle east region with immediate effect being high oil prices.
If oil spikes back to $120/BB & KE passes that VAT bill as it is, inflation esp on food will pop its ugly head again. As usual equities will nosedive.
And I hope that VAT proposal on equity transations is scrapped. That will definitely squeeze volumes in the market. The market thrives on volume (liquidity). Drain the volumes and market deflates. Some of these tax proposals are just crazy to say the least.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!