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Kenya Airways FY 2012/13 after tax loss of 7.8bn
Obi 1 Kanobi
#31 Posted : Friday, June 14, 2013 2:42:46 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/23/2008
Posts: 3,017
Do airlines make money?

KQ is just following the trail left by the mega US flops, JAL, Qantas,BA,SAA,Alitalia etc.

Don't be fooled by Emirates and the other middle East carriers that get subsidised fuel and interest free loans to purchase aircrafts.
"The purpose of bureaucracy is to compensate for incompetence and lack of discipline." James Collins
murchr
#32 Posted : Friday, June 14, 2013 3:52:17 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
mwekez@ji wrote:
results written in dip red ink but the shareholders seem to be colour blind .... ama ni PPT ananunua at this levels ...


I remember arguing with ppl here when they said that it will hit 5/- by March, I reiterate, Wanjiku left this plane a while ago. I think its bottomed up now
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
murchr
#33 Posted : Friday, June 14, 2013 4:12:05 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Obi 1 Kanobi wrote:
Do airlines make money?

KQ is just following the trail left by the mega US flops, JAL, Qantas,BA,SAA,Alitalia etc.

Don't be fooled by Emirates and the other middle East carriers that get subsidised fuel and interest free loans to purchase aircrafts.


Some do, it all depends on strategy

Southwest Airlines US, delta airlines (operates a refinery too), virgin atlantic, US Airways (expected to merge with the bankrupt American Airways), TAM Airlines Brazil, etc,

The second half of KQ was an improvement clearly we were all expecting worse than this
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
maka
#34 Posted : Friday, June 14, 2013 5:04:22 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
murchr wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
results written in dip red ink but the shareholders seem to be colour blind .... ama ni PPT ananunua at this levels ...


I remember arguing with ppl here when they said that it will hit 5/- by March, I reiterate, Wanjiku left this plane a while ago. I think its bottomed up now

You believe the results have been factored in the share price?This thing will slip to 8-7.50 thereabout...
possunt quia posse videntur
Obi 1 Kanobi
#35 Posted : Friday, June 14, 2013 5:26:11 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/23/2008
Posts: 3,017
murchr wrote:
Obi 1 Kanobi wrote:
Do airlines make money?

KQ is just following the trail left by the mega US flops, JAL, Qantas,BA,SAA,Alitalia etc.

Don't be fooled by Emirates and the other middle East carriers that get subsidised fuel and interest free loans to purchase aircrafts.


Some do, it all depends on strategy

Southwest Airlines US, delta airlines (operates a refinery too), virgin atlantic, US Airways (expected to merge with the bankrupt American Airways), TAM Airlines Brazil, etc,

The second half of KQ was an improvement clearly we were all expecting worse than this


I would analyse KQ from a cashflow position as opposed to profitability. If they can generate positive cashflows from operations going forward, then they should be around for the future, however if they can't, then they are in trouble. Profitability alone may not give us a clear picture as they will be taking in huge depreciation costs as they acquire more planes and finance costs will also hit their bottomline.
"The purpose of bureaucracy is to compensate for incompetence and lack of discipline." James Collins
murchr
#36 Posted : Friday, June 14, 2013 5:33:31 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
maka wrote:
murchr wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
results written in dip red ink but the shareholders seem to be colour blind .... ama ni PPT ananunua at this levels ...


I remember arguing with ppl here when they said that it will hit 5/- by March, I reiterate, Wanjiku left this plane a while ago. I think its bottomed up now

You believe the results have been factored in the share price?This thing will slip to 8-7.50 thereabout...


The worst trading day was today for the moment. I think we'll see a 9 but not below that. Same pattern exhibited by KK
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
jerry
#37 Posted : Friday, June 14, 2013 5:38:02 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/29/2006
Posts: 2,570
I think their only asset left now is pride of Africa!
The opposite of courage is not cowardice, it's conformity.
VituVingiSana
#38 Posted : Friday, June 14, 2013 5:44:23 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,361
Location: Nairobi
murchr wrote:
maka wrote:
murchr wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
results written in dip red ink but the shareholders seem to be colour blind .... ama ni PPT ananunua at this levels ...


I remember arguing with ppl here when they said that it will hit 5/- by March, I reiterate, Wanjiku left this plane a while ago. I think its bottomed up now

You believe the results have been factored in the share price?This thing will slip to 8-7.50 thereabout...


The worst trading day was today for the moment. I think we'll see a 9 but not below that. Same pattern exhibited by KK

NAV for KQ = 20 [Revaluation done]
NAV for KK = 4.50 [Using Cost Basis]

Yet, I would buy KK over KQ... The Long-Term Debt:Equity ratio [& it is increasing] at KQ scares me!
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Mastermind
#39 Posted : Friday, June 14, 2013 6:11:13 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 1/25/2012
Posts: 1,624
Location: Langley
I thought they would do better than Air Mauritius smile
If you have built castles in the air, your work need not be lost; that is where they should be. Now put the foundations under them.
obiero
#40 Posted : Friday, June 14, 2013 6:31:04 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,251
Location: nairobi
mwekez@ji wrote:
ulcers centre …. @obiero must be at the ICU

having a bad fever my brother. i dint see this one coming. nonetheless, I wont sell at a loss. im a longtermer

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