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Banking Sector Valuation and Recommendation - Year 2013
mwekez@ji
#41 Posted : Monday, June 10, 2013 4:20:03 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
mwekez@ji wrote:
symbols wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
Bank | Share price | Fair value | Return | Rating

CFC | 62.50 | 95.05 | +52.1% | BUY
NIC | 56.50 | 67.73 | +19.9% | BUY

StanChart | 300.00 | 243.39 | -18.9% | SELL
Barclays | 17.95 | 15.05 | -16.2% | SELL

KCB | 41.50 | 47.00 | +13.3% | HOLD
Equity | 36.00 | 39.29 | +9.1% | HOLD
Co-op Bank | 16.70 | 18.00 | +7.8% | HOLD
DTB | 166.00 | 166.89 | +0.5% | HOLD

I&M Holdings | Fair Price | 111.87 ;-) BUY

Source: Standard Investment Bank, 05.06.2013


CFC, the journey to 95/- is ON. 70/- has printed today smile


The way I had been targeting this counter.Only problem I have with it is the timing and the recommendation.


Mate, it pays “being in the market” as opposed to “timing the market”


"No, I don’t believe in market timing. I’ve been around this business darn near a half-century, and I know I can’t do it successfully.– In fact, I don’t even know anyone who knows anyone who has ever successfully timed the market over the long term." Jack Bogle
symbols
#42 Posted : Monday, June 10, 2013 4:22:30 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 3/19/2013
Posts: 2,552
mwekez@ji wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
symbols wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
Bank | Share price | Fair value | Return | Rating

CFC | 62.50 | 95.05 | +52.1% | BUY
NIC | 56.50 | 67.73 | +19.9% | BUY

StanChart | 300.00 | 243.39 | -18.9% | SELL
Barclays | 17.95 | 15.05 | -16.2% | SELL

KCB | 41.50 | 47.00 | +13.3% | HOLD
Equity | 36.00 | 39.29 | +9.1% | HOLD
Co-op Bank | 16.70 | 18.00 | +7.8% | HOLD
DTB | 166.00 | 166.89 | +0.5% | HOLD

I&M Holdings | Fair Price | 111.87 ;-) BUY

Source: Standard Investment Bank, 05.06.2013


CFC, the journey to 95/- is ON. 70/- has printed today smile


The way I had been targeting this counter.Only problem I have with it is the timing and the recommendation.


Mate, it pays “being in the market” as opposed to “timing the market”


"No, I don’t believe in market timing. I’ve been around this business darn near a half-century, and I know I can’t do it successfully.– In fact, I don’t even know anyone who knows anyone who has ever successfully timed the market over the long term." Jack Bogle


Time is money
Metasploit
#43 Posted : Monday, June 10, 2013 4:41:17 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 985
Location: Dar es salaam,Tanzania
mwekez@ji wrote:


Very unfitting headings those.

Banking sector has been rated HOLD and not SELL. Most counters still have headroom albeit small. CFC has huge headroom.

Also, government is not crowding out private lending. Government is on a monetary easing cycle. Check 91day paper is a low 6.721%. …. And soon, government will be offering a euro bond.


That is deliberate shakeout.
I have yesterday's standard paper on the Treasury's Minister's interview.
He pointed it out clearly that Jubilee will put focus on Monetary easing to stimulate the economic.

“The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.”
mwekez@ji
#44 Posted : Monday, June 10, 2013 4:57:15 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
symbols wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
symbols wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
Bank | Share price | Fair value | Return | Rating

CFC | 62.50 | 95.05 | +52.1% | BUY
NIC | 56.50 | 67.73 | +19.9% | BUY

StanChart | 300.00 | 243.39 | -18.9% | SELL
Barclays | 17.95 | 15.05 | -16.2% | SELL

KCB | 41.50 | 47.00 | +13.3% | HOLD
Equity | 36.00 | 39.29 | +9.1% | HOLD
Co-op Bank | 16.70 | 18.00 | +7.8% | HOLD
DTB | 166.00 | 166.89 | +0.5% | HOLD

I&M Holdings | Fair Price | 111.87 ;-) BUY

Source: Standard Investment Bank, 05.06.2013


CFC, the journey to 95/- is ON. 70/- has printed today smile


The way I had been targeting this counter.Only problem I have with it is the timing and the recommendation.


Mate, it pays “being in the market” as opposed to “timing the market”


"No, I don’t believe in market timing. I’ve been around this business darn near a half-century, and I know I can’t do it successfully.– In fact, I don’t even know anyone who knows anyone who has ever successfully timed the market over the long term." Jack Bogle


Time is money


Time is money. &over time, those who dont time the market make much more
mwekez@ji
#45 Posted : Monday, June 10, 2013 5:01:24 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
Metasploit wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:


Very unfitting headings those.

Banking sector has been rated HOLD and not SELL. Most counters still have headroom albeit small. CFC has huge headroom.

Also, government is not crowding out private lending. Government is on a monetary easing cycle. Check 91day paper is a low 6.721%. …. And soon, government will be offering a euro bond.


That is deliberate shakeout.
I have yesterday's standard paper on the Treasury's Minister's interview.
He pointed it out clearly that Jubilee will put focus on Monetary easing to stimulate the economic.


cheers cc @the_deal
symbols
#46 Posted : Tuesday, June 11, 2013 1:33:03 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 3/19/2013
Posts: 2,552
mwekez@ji wrote:
symbols wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
symbols wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
Bank | Share price | Fair value | Return | Rating

CFC | 62.50 | 95.05 | +52.1% | BUY
NIC | 56.50 | 67.73 | +19.9% | BUY

StanChart | 300.00 | 243.39 | -18.9% | SELL
Barclays | 17.95 | 15.05 | -16.2% | SELL

KCB | 41.50 | 47.00 | +13.3% | HOLD
Equity | 36.00 | 39.29 | +9.1% | HOLD
Co-op Bank | 16.70 | 18.00 | +7.8% | HOLD
DTB | 166.00 | 166.89 | +0.5% | HOLD

I&M Holdings | Fair Price | 111.87 ;-) BUY

Source: Standard Investment Bank, 05.06.2013


CFC, the journey to 95/- is ON. 70/- has printed today smile


The way I had been targeting this counter.Only problem I have with it is the timing and the recommendation.


Mate, it pays “being in the market” as opposed to “timing the market”


"No, I don’t believe in market timing. I’ve been around this business darn near a half-century, and I know I can’t do it successfully.– In fact, I don’t even know anyone who knows anyone who has ever successfully timed the market over the long term." Jack Bogle


Time is money


Time is money. &over time, those who dont time the market make much more


I'm not disputing the benefits of patience in a market but I've come to appreciate the opportunity presented by market timing.
mwekez@ji
#47 Posted : Tuesday, June 11, 2013 11:26:54 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
symbols wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
symbols wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
symbols wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
Bank | Share price | Fair value | Return | Rating

CFC | 62.50 | 95.05 | +52.1% | BUY
NIC | 56.50 | 67.73 | +19.9% | BUY

StanChart | 300.00 | 243.39 | -18.9% | SELL
Barclays | 17.95 | 15.05 | -16.2% | SELL

KCB | 41.50 | 47.00 | +13.3% | HOLD
Equity | 36.00 | 39.29 | +9.1% | HOLD
Co-op Bank | 16.70 | 18.00 | +7.8% | HOLD
DTB | 166.00 | 166.89 | +0.5% | HOLD

I&M Holdings | Fair Price | 111.87 ;-) BUY

Source: Standard Investment Bank, 05.06.2013


CFC, the journey to 95/- is ON. 70/- has printed today smile


The way I had been targeting this counter.Only problem I have with it is the timing and the recommendation.


Mate, it pays “being in the market” as opposed to “timing the market”


"No, I don’t believe in market timing. I’ve been around this business darn near a half-century, and I know I can’t do it successfully.– In fact, I don’t even know anyone who knows anyone who has ever successfully timed the market over the long term." Jack Bogle


Time is money


Time is money. &over time, those who dont time the market make much more


I'm not disputing the benefits of patience in a market but I've come to appreciate the opportunity presented by market timing.


According to you, what is the appropriate time for CFC?
mwekez@ji
#48 Posted : Wednesday, June 26, 2013 5:33:31 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
Bank assets grows to Sh2.5 trillion in May 2013


The banking sector grew with assets rising 16 per cent to Sh2.5 trillion last month, from Sh2.2 trillion recorded in May 2012.

Central Bank records show the sector's deposits increased by 15 per cent from Sh1.6 trillion in May 2012 to Sh1.9 trillion at the end of May 2013.

Mukiri
#49 Posted : Wednesday, June 26, 2013 7:34:51 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2012
Posts: 5,222
mwekez@ji wrote:
symbols wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
symbols wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
symbols wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
Bank | Share price | Fair value | Return | Rating

CFC | 62.50 | 95.05 | +52.1% | BUY
NIC | 56.50 | 67.73 | +19.9% | BUY

StanChart | 300.00 | 243.39 | -18.9% | SELL
Barclays | 17.95 | 15.05 | -16.2% | SELL

KCB | 41.50 | 47.00 | +13.3% | HOLD
Equity | 36.00 | 39.29 | +9.1% | HOLD
Co-op Bank | 16.70 | 18.00 | +7.8% | HOLD
DTB | 166.00 | 166.89 | +0.5% | HOLD

I&M Holdings | Fair Price | 111.87 ;-) BUY

Source: Standard Investment Bank, 05.06.2013


CFC, the journey to 95/- is ON. 70/- has printed today smile


The way I had been targeting this counter.Only problem I have with it is the timing and the recommendation.


Mate, it pays “being in the market” as opposed to “timing the market”


"No, I don’t believe in market timing. I’ve been around this business darn near a half-century, and I know I can’t do it successfully.– In fact, I don’t even know anyone who knows anyone who has ever successfully timed the market over the long term." Jack Bogle


Time is money


Time is money. &over time, those who dont time the market make much more


I'm not disputing the benefits of patience in a market but I've come to appreciate the opportunity presented by market timing.


According to you, what is the appropriate time for CFC?

Isn't KCB CURRENTLY more attractive than CFC?

Proverbs 19:21
symbols
#50 Posted : Wednesday, June 26, 2013 8:06:02 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 3/19/2013
Posts: 2,552
Mukiri wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
symbols wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
symbols wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
symbols wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
Bank | Share price | Fair value | Return | Rating

CFC | 62.50 | 95.05 | +52.1% | BUY
NIC | 56.50 | 67.73 | +19.9% | BUY

StanChart | 300.00 | 243.39 | -18.9% | SELL
Barclays | 17.95 | 15.05 | -16.2% | SELL

KCB | 41.50 | 47.00 | +13.3% | HOLD
Equity | 36.00 | 39.29 | +9.1% | HOLD
Co-op Bank | 16.70 | 18.00 | +7.8% | HOLD
DTB | 166.00 | 166.89 | +0.5% | HOLD

I&M Holdings | Fair Price | 111.87 ;-) BUY

Source: Standard Investment Bank, 05.06.2013


CFC, the journey to 95/- is ON. 70/- has printed today smile


The way I had been targeting this counter.Only problem I have with it is the timing and the recommendation.


Mate, it pays “being in the market” as opposed to “timing the market”


"No, I don’t believe in market timing. I’ve been around this business darn near a half-century, and I know I can’t do it successfully.– In fact, I don’t even know anyone who knows anyone who has ever successfully timed the market over the long term." Jack Bogle


Time is money


Time is money. &over time, those who dont time the market make much more


I'm not disputing the benefits of patience in a market but I've come to appreciate the opportunity presented by market timing.


According to you, what is the appropriate time for CFC?

Isn't KCB CURRENTLY more attractive than CFC?


In what way?
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