I personally believe Kenya could have beaten Nigeria under the following circumstances :
1. Oliech, Mariga, Masika, & Origi are available
2. Good planning including build up matches.
3. Kenya takes a more offensive stance.
In 2009, I watched as a hurriedly assebled harambee stars side coached by Twahir Muhiddin who had only been in charge for a few days completely outplayed Nigeria. Yes Nigeria won 3-2 but the two goals they scored were offside because CAF desperately wanted Naija to qualify instead of Tunisia. I dare say Kenya were the better side that day.
I saw Oliech give Naija pure hell. I saw Wanga was in sublime form. Emmanuel Ake was very good as a playmaker.
This Naija team from 2013 is actually weaker than the one from 2009 that had Obafemi, Yakubu, Yobo, Kanu et al.
But under Amrouche, Kenya has become so conservative to the point that they did not even have a shot on goal.
I am starting to loose faith in Amrouche especially with the way he treats Oliech. And I am sorry but you cannot bvuild a team around Wanyama who is a defensive midfielder.
I also think they should give Oboya and Blackberry a chance. Oboya plays well almost everytime he dons a stars jersey so I am baffled why he never gets called.
At the end of the day however, what is killing Kenya is the lack of youth development structures. I am amazed and appalled that after all these years, we still dont get it.
10 years from now we will loose to Naija again and will sing the same tune because we still will not have youth development structures.