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How to tell NSE has bottomed out
guru267
#3301 Posted : Wednesday, May 22, 2013 12:30:55 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
mwekez@ji wrote:
guru267 wrote:
I hear one of the dyer and Blair servers crashed so no online trading! Sad

Looks like we will have low volumes today given D&Bs market share!


>What D&Bs market share?

>Whats the frequency of their market research reports (daily, weekly, on material announcements)

>Whats the quality of the market research reports?



@Mwekez@ji I actually get daily reports... like clockwork!
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
guru267
#3302 Posted : Wednesday, May 22, 2013 1:56:53 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
kazee wrote:
guru267 wrote:
I hear one of the dyer and Blair servers crashed so no online trading! Sad

Looks like we will have low volumes today given D&Bs market share!


Only about 100m worth has traded and it is around 11:30.

ION, i am setting my EABL exit at 520. Let's how long it takes to get there!


Finally back online... over to the money! smile

Volumes should increase in the afternoon
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
mwekez@ji
#3303 Posted : Wednesday, May 22, 2013 2:05:21 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
guru267 wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
guru267 wrote:
I hear one of the dyer and Blair servers crashed so no online trading! Sad

Looks like we will have low volumes today given D&Bs market share!


>What D&Bs market share?

>Whats the frequency of their market research reports (daily, weekly, on material announcements)

>Whats the quality of the market research reports?



@Mwekez@ji I actually get daily reports... like clockwork!


Tx
Metasploit
#3304 Posted : Wednesday, May 22, 2013 2:40:33 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 985
Location: Dar es salaam,Tanzania
Metasploit wrote:
hisah wrote:
Britank's recovery is similar to that of Coop bank post listing hard selloff & rally. The listing price (9) is still a barrier until 9.50 is broken with volume spike. That 2nd upleg will be furious. For now insurance counters will consolidate till H1 results are availed. That upleg will sustain till year end. This is still the insurance counters year. Banks had their's last year.

Now I wait for mpesa bank results. Let's see if the good news will sustain the buy pressure since Nov 2012. I never expected this elephant to clock above 5.80 in 2013 and I can only watch mr market crazy move. Now that NSE20 is in a reversal mood that is expected to spread into May, any heavy selling (10 - 15%) on mpesa bank post results (if EPS < 0.40) will make the index to sag more.

For those still expecting 5400 to print this year, mpesa bank, eabl, member, bbk, coop, scbk, arm & bamburi need to rally at least 20% and sustain those levels. A big boost could also come from kk's recovery above 13. All these will need volume to spike on the bid side.



Interesting volume moves on Britank on an RSI less than 35.
Mid morning 2.5 M shares traded by locals.At about 1.00 PM ,foreigners did like 3M shares.Same pattern of behavior like Uchumi,last week when it was trading at 17.8-18 and at an RSI of 31.




96,646,200 shares traded.






“The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.”
Metasploit
#3305 Posted : Wednesday, May 22, 2013 5:51:19 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 985
Location: Dar es salaam,Tanzania
http://www.the-star.co.k...eadying-big-announcement

“The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.”
murchr
#3306 Posted : Wednesday, May 22, 2013 6:49:06 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Metasploit wrote:
http://www.the-star.co.ke/news/article-121049/market-readying-big-announcement


Great analysis by Mr. Rich

My highlights

Quote:
Egypt, in my view, has yet to reach the denouement and a denouement it shall be. The Egyptian pound is trading at a record low and the blackmarket rate is way higher. The Egyptian stock market has eked out a +1.65% gain this year.


Quote:
South Africa is also seriously problematic. The Rand is at a four-year low and that in itself is a signal that money is hitting the exit button. And in my business, you follow the money because the money trail is always the most honest messenger. And the Africa money trail is informing me that investors are now more enamoured with the African middle rather than the gateways.


Quote:
Kenya could attain double-digit growth if it properly manages wealth from its newly discovered natural resources. I completely agree with Ragnar. Let me finish this piece by a quick sweep through the Nairobi Securities Exchange. Of course, last week, the big set piece event was the release of Safaricom's FY earnings. Safaricom raised the dividend pay-out +40.9% year on year and that of itself tells you everything you need to know. Safaricom has returned more than 100% over the last 12 months.


Quote:
I have followed the markets since I was a young boy, I cannot recall such a sequence. The money trail is confirming an imminent announcement and I can only speculate that it must be around a geographical expansion or an acquisition. The Securities Exchange entered a bull market in May 2012. I said that we would rally between 30%-35% after the election on a 'de-risking' of Kenya Inc. In the last two weeks, we have experienced 1/3rd of that prediction.


@hisah, Mr Rich thinks like you....what say you about his article?
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
mwekez@ji
#3307 Posted : Wednesday, May 22, 2013 10:49:53 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
mwekez@ji wrote:
guru267 wrote:
I hear one of the dyer and Blair servers crashed so no online trading! Sad

Looks like we will have low volumes today given D&Bs market share!


>What D&Bs market share?



Got data for year 2011:-

1. Kestrel – 22%
2. Rencap – 12%
3. CFC – 10%
4. AA – 10%
5. D&B – 8%
6. Sterling – 6%
7. SIB – 5%
8. Apex – 5%
9. Faida – 5%
10. NIC – 4%
11. Others – 13%

Would like to see for 2012
murchr
#3308 Posted : Wednesday, May 22, 2013 11:37:22 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
mwekez@ji wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
guru267 wrote:
I hear one of the dyer and Blair servers crashed so no online trading! Sad

Looks like we will have low volumes today given D&Bs market share!


>What D&Bs market share?



Got data for year 2011:-

1. Kestrel – 22%
2. Rencap – 12%
3. CFC – 10%
4. AA – 10%
5. D&B – 8%
6. Sterling – 6%
7. SIB – 5%
8. Apex – 5%
9. Faida – 5%
10. NIC – 4%
11. Others – 13%

Would like to see for 2012


This whole week, Mon to Wed, the D&B server has been having issues and the volume at the NSE has been low too..look at the volume in the afternoon when the server was back up!! that should tell u something
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
mwekez@ji
#3309 Posted : Wednesday, May 22, 2013 11:51:26 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
Today afternoon was exceptional. Britam traded a whopping 101.307m shares which represents 0.535% of its shares worth 834.492m and represented 52.139% of the market turnover.
murchr
#3310 Posted : Wednesday, May 22, 2013 11:53:53 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
mwekez@ji wrote:
Today afternoon was exceptional. Britam traded a whopping 101.307m shares which represents 0.535% of its shares worth 834.492m and represented 52.139% of the market turnover.


What about Monday morning?
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
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